ge0 Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 pavement didn't even get wet here tonight. a couple lightning flashes but that's it. damn you, dc split Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodbineWX Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 I'm right by the bay... so not done yet ....but soon. BTW... it is still rippin here. You may sink into the bay before this is all said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane M. Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 I'm right by the bay... so not done yet ....but soon. BTW... it is still rippin here. I'm right by the bay also on the eastern shore, and it's just starting to really get going here. Flash Flood Warning issued for areas of northeastern MD as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 You may sink into the bay before this is all said and done. This is certainly not out of the question. The duration of this event is much longer that what we normally experience. The non stop light show is now measured by hours. I would expect it to continue for at least a another half hour due to my proximity to the bay. It is not uncommon to watch these storms blossom over the bay as they approach the eastern shore. At least that is my experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Alot of people without power in PG county where that southern storm went through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 I'm right by the bay also on the eastern shore, and it's just starting to really get going here. Flash Flood Warning issued for areas of northeastern MD as well It is amazing how well I can see storms as they approach the eastern shore from here (I am on the western shore). The eastern shore is going to get rocked as well. Edit: I am done here....but will probably see strobes and thunder for another half an hour. Enjoy the storms eastern shore. Also, glad I didn't water the lawn today. Thanks, mother nature!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shane M. Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 New Day 1 Outlook: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 New Day 1 Outlook: 2/15/15 are the probs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodbineWX Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Best lightning show I have seen since the Derecho of 2012, may have even topped it...my eyes are still seeing flashes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Best lightning show I have seen since the Derecho of 2012, may have even topped it...my eyes are still seeing flashes Definitely beat the derecho for me. I am still see flashes as well... not sure if they are real or not.... LOL! I am pretty sure they are real.... maybe? Edit: My magical blankets survived the storms.... yaaay!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 2/15/15 are the probs I'm thinking it looks favorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 The 00z LWX WRF-NMM4N model brings a "complex" of storms through us around dinner or just after tomorrow evening... the 00z LWX 4KM WRF-ARW sort of agrees... but has storms in our area by 2pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 LWX morning disco .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...FIRST FEW HOURS OF THIS SHIFT WERE QUITE ACTIVE...WITH LOTS OFCAPE CONTRIBUTING TO SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSSNORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND AND INTO THE GREATER WASHINGTON METRO AREA.THESE HAVE SINCE MOVED EAST OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...WHILE THE LINEOF THUNDERSTORMS WHICH HAD BEEN ACROSS SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIAEARLIER IN THE NIGHT HAS GENERALLY DISSIPATED. THIS LEAVES LITTLEIN THE WAY OF LINGERING CONVECTION AT 07Z...SAVE FOR ISOLATEDCELLS APPROACHING THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS FROM THE WEST.BUT THIS WILL ONLY BE A BREAK FROM WHAT COULD BE AN ACTIVE SEVEREDAY. THERE/S STILL LOTS OF MOISTURE OUT THERE...AND IT/S HARD TORULE OUT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE REST OFTHE NIGHT PARTICULARLY FROM THE POTOMAC HIGHLANDS INTO WESTERNMARYLAND. WE ARE ALSO WATCHING A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERCENTRAL OHIO. BY THE TIME IT MAKES IT INTO THE CWA LATER THISMORNING IT MAY WEAKEN BUT ITS BOUNDARY MAY COMBINE WITH OTHERFORCES TO PRODUCE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS THISAFTERNOON.ON THE SYNOPTIC SCALE...THERE IS STILL A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSSPENNSYLVANIA THAT WILL SAG SOUTHWARD INTO THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON.GFS AND NAM ALSO SHOW A POTENT VORT MAX/SHORTWAVE /SUPPORTING THEOHIO CONVECTION NOW/ TREKKING INTO THE CWA BY 18Z. MODELS AREFORECASTING LESS CAPE THAN WEDNESDAY...BUT ALSO SUGGEST MORESHEAR WHICH MAY COMPENSATE FOR LESS BUOYANCY. STILL...1000-1500J/KG IS SUFFICIENT ENOUGH AND THERE MAY BE HIGHER POCKETSTHEREFORE EXPECT SOME STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON WITHDAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Best stuff must have missed me south, only .3 in the gauge this morning. Slept through the light show, but the hubby said it was a hell of a light show all around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Only 0.58", most of that falling in a span of 20 minutes throughout the night. Looks like Baltimore proper was pushing 3"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Southern MD anti-rain dome held firm last night- I watched that line run from Cecil county and cut off right where Calvert starts. Saw some lightning to the north, thats it. This is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NinjaWarrior2 Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Good stuff last night, only had about 0.80" but we had nonstop lightning for 3 hours straight, 38mph gust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Quite a few large limbs/small trees down in the 'hood this morning. One missed a street parked car by a matter of inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Quite a few large limbs/small trees down in the 'hood this morning. One missed a street parked car by a matter of inches. There wasn't much wind at all IMBY, only a couple miles NW of Piney Orchard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Appeared to be a small area. A mile or two east on Waugh Chapel Rd towards 301 and I stopped seeing any signs of tree damage. There wasn't much wind at all IMBY, only a couple miles NW of Piney Orchard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Had a storm in Columbia ahead of the main line around 10-10:30. Then the big boomers came through and woke me up at 12:30. Lots of lightning. Didn't end up with much in the gauge...<0.3" for all of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 MLCAPE lagging this morning, but already 1500 SBCAPE along I95 including Baltimore and DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Plus, you can def tell where the front is... 64 in Garrett County MD and 87 at EZF and 85 at DCA for 10am OBS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Plus, you can def tell where the front is... 64 in Garrett County MD and 87 at EZF and 85 at DCA for 10am OBS It'll be interesting to see where the storms set-up today. Would seem south of DC is where the outflow from overnight convection/best heating will create strong/severe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Some of the local models have storms dropping in from the north this afternoon... they look decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 Hmmm... LWX thinks along a line from DC to Petersburg WV and south has best threat for storms in their updated morning AFD. Is there a slight chance of a TOR threat this afternoon? I keep seeing words like "primary threat" and "main threat" being damaging winds and large hail in the AFD and HWO from LWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted June 19, 2014 Author Share Posted June 19, 2014 Hmmm... LWX thinks along a line from DC to Petersburg WV and south has best threat for storms in their updated morning AFD. Is there a slight chance of a TOR threat this afternoon? I keep seeing words like "primary threat" and "main threat" being damaging winds and large hail in the AFD and HWO from LWX They always say primary threat will be damaging winds - seems pretty normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 They always say primary threat will be damaging winds - seems pretty normal. I figured that... just seems a bit weird to me saying primary threat, because to me it means there is a secondary threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 HRRR ranges from mostly meh to rather meh.. well for me. It coalesces after passing. We always screw something up in DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted June 19, 2014 Share Posted June 19, 2014 I figured that... just seems a bit weird to me saying primary threat, because to me it means there is a secondary threat I've found discussions with more than 15 "the" uses tend to indicate higher end threats. We should give this one a count. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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