T. August Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Can't get away from the rain... Yellow blob crossing the M/D line now heading my way. The clouds are a little thinner at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 1630 OTLK -- 2 TOR/30 WIND/15 HAIL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 1630 OTLK -- 2 TOR/30 WIND/15 HAIL meh storms...clouds just were too persistent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 1630 OTLK -- 2 TOR/30 WIND/15 HAIL /Woo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 meh storms...clouds just were too persistent I see getting married hasn't caused you to stop being a Debbie downer all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Boom I hope you get one inch of tornadoes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Sun has emerged up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Pity MD and pity watch soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Nearly 1"/hr rates later tonight, but nothing to show for it at the moment. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014052112&time=INSTANT&var=PRATEI&hour=015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Slight for tomorrow too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 21, 2014 Author Share Posted May 21, 2014 Sun peaking out here finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Pity MD and pity watch soon? Hopefully coming soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 21, 2014 Author Share Posted May 21, 2014 Back to clouds. This is pretty meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 MD 637: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0637.html severe watch likely coming.... Mesoscale Discussion 637 < Previous MD MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0637 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0110 PM CDT WED MAY 21 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...NRN AND ERN VA...MD CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY VALID 211810Z - 212045Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH SEVERE HAIL AND WIND POSSIBLE. DISCUSSION...STRONG HEATING CONTINUES OVER VA AND SRN MD WITH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 80S F ALONG WITH LOWER 60S F DEWPOINTS. THIS HAS ERODED INHIBITION WITH CELLS BEGINNING TO FORM OVER N CNTRL VA AT 18Z. MEANWHILE...MIDLEVEL FLOW HAS INCREASED TO ABOUT 50 KT...CREATING FAVORABLY LONG HODOGRAPHS FOR SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR IS RATHER WEAK FOR A TORNADO THREAT...BUT SOME INCREASED SHEAR MAY EXIST ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS FAR ERN VA/SRN MD. STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER NRN VA...THEN SPREAD SEWD ACROSS ERN VA AND MD. ..JEWELL/HART.. 05/21/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Aren't supercells more of a hail than a wind threat? Or am I wrong on that assumption? And I don't see LWX's 18z SPEC sounding yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Aren't supercells more of a hail than a wind threat? Or am I wrong on that assumption? And I don't see LWX's 18z SPEC sounding yet As per NWS chat it probably won't be viewable until closer to 3:00 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 As per NWS chat it probably won't be viewable until closer to 3:00 pm. Oh okay, I don't see it and I don't think the public (like me) can see NWSChat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Oh okay, I don't see it and I don't think the public (like me) can see NWSChat Apparently the balloon is still ascending so I'd imagine another 30-40 min? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Apparently the balloon is still ascending so I'd imagine another 30-40 min? So more like a 1930z sounding then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 So more like a 1930z sounding then It's out...pretty meh. Wouldn't be surprised if and WW is south of I-66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 21, 2014 Author Share Posted May 21, 2014 Wow that is a realllllly weakly unstable sounding lol. 268 SBCAPE is nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Darn we are missing out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Mid-Level Lapse rates are pretty nice... 6.5 C/KM to 7 C/KM... could be some decent hailers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Severe weather around here almost never fails to be lolz. Was so different living in Nashville and then Memphis from 1996 - 2009.That said, I don't know that I really miss the terror of days and days of potential life-altering storm set-ups. Very different around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 21, 2014 Author Share Posted May 21, 2014 Darn we are missing out We were just wiped off the face of the Earth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 If the storms were coming from the SW we'd be in business, NW, not so much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Where is my STW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Really no need for a watch today. Meanwhile, Ian will rub it in that he's in the TOR WATCH zone today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 21, 2014 Share Posted May 21, 2014 Really no need for a watch today. Meanwhile, Ian will rub it in that he's in the TOR WATCH zone today. Well it would be a bust for the MD that SPC issued saying 80% chance of a watch for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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