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Much Colder Than Normal March Pattern Continues


bluewave

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RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
0930 AM EST TUE MAR 04 2014

...DAILY AND MONTHLY MINIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORDS SET AT BALTIMORE
MD...

A DAILY RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 4 DEGREES WAS SET AT BALTIMORE
MD TODAY...BREAKING THE OLD RECORD OF 5 SET BACK IN 1873.

THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 4 DEGREES FROM TODAY WAS ALSO THE
LOWEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORDED ON ANY DAY IN MARCH FOR
BALTIMORE. THE PREVIOUS RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR MARCH WAS 5
DEGREES ON 4 MARCH 1873.

 

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
0940 AM EST TUE MAR 04 2014

...DAILY MINIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORD SET AND MONTHLY MINIMUM
TEMPERATURE TIED AT WASHINGTON DULLES DC...

A DAILY RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF -1 DEGREES WAS SET AT
WASHINGTON DULLES DC TODAY...BREAKING THE OLD RECORD OF 6 SET BACK
IN 1980.

THE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE OF -1 DEGREES FROM TODAY WAS ALSO TIED FOR
THE LOWEST MINIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORDED ON ANY DAY IN MARCH FOR
WASHINGTON DULLES DC. THE PREVIOUS RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR
MARCH WAS -1 DEGREES ON 15 MARCH 1993.

 

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
256 AM EST TUE MAR 4 2014

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE FOR ATLANTIC CITY BOTH FOR MARCH 3 AND
THE ENTIRE MONTH OF MARCH...

THE LOW TEMPERATURE OF 2 DEGREES ABOVE ZERO AT 1133 PM MONDAY
EVENING MARCH 3RD WAS A RECORD NOT ONLY FOR THE DATE BUT ALSO THE
ENTIRE MONTH OF MARCH. THE PREVIOUS RECORD LOW FOR MARCH 3 WAS 5
ABOVE ZERO IN 2009. THE PREVIOUS ALL TIME LOW FOR THE MONTH OF MARCH
WAS 3 ABOVE SET ON MARCH 4 2009.

OFFICIAL RECORDS FOR THE ATLANTIC CITY AREA DATE BACK TO 1874.

LOOK FOR WINDS AND TEMPERATURES TO DECREASE AGAIN TOWARD SUNRISE
THIS MORNING.

$

Chris
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12z Euro is going to lose the system now for the middle of next week.

Are there any models showing any significant precip threats (rain or snow) between now and middle of next week?  Latest GFS showing less than 0.25" total from now through Sat the 15th.

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This is turning out to be one of our coldest first weeks of March in some time as 

NYC is -10.1 through the 5th with another double digit down departure day today

staying below freezing. I think the last time the first week of March finished  below

-10 was 1960.

 

http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS-714C94E6-FBD5-4D73-9CF5-2C9EB5C6DD42.pdf

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This is turning out to be one of our coldest first weeks of March in some time as 

NYC is -10.1 through the 5th with another double digit down departure day today

staying below freezing. I think the last time the first week of March finished  below

-10 was 1960.

 

http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS-714C94E6-FBD5-4D73-9CF5-2C9EB5C6DD42.pdf

1978 might be another very cold start...

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1978 might be another very cold start...

 

That's right. March 1978 started out with a -11 for the first week. It was the last January and February

below freezing at NYC with March under 40. So we just need to maintain a -2.6  or lower departure

through the end of the month to do it again.

 

http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/orders/IPS-23065C93-E226-4D5A-8CC9-7511E8ED14C7.pdf

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Warmth will typically over perform especially on any southerly or SW winds but it always tends to underperform with any cloud cover or onshore easterly winds. In a strong backdoor situation it could be full sunshine but temperatures could be stuck in the low 40s under brisk winds in late March/April.

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Will there be more backdoor cold front situations this spring with the cooler ocean? I'd like to see another "epic" backdooring with NYC in the low 50s, New Brunswick in the upper 50s, Trenton in the upper 60s, and Philly in the mid 70s.

Uh, no. Just no. I hate back door season with a passion.
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KNYC has 80 days with a minimum of 32 or lower so far...It's possible it could get another 5-10 before it's over...even if we get to 90 days it isn't near the record...the most since 1930;

min days
101 1940-41
99 1933-34
99 1939-40
97 1969-70
96 1942-43
96 1943-44
96 1976-77
95 1947-48
93 1955-56
92 1958-59

........................

recent years...

67 2005-06
63 2006-07
64 2007-08
86 2008-09
63 2009-10
84 2010-11

37 2011-12 least amount on record

60 2012-13

80 2013-14 as of 3/8

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KNYC has 80 days with a minimum of 32 or lower so far...It's possible it could get another 5-10 before it's over...even if we get to 90 days it isn't near the record...the most since 1930;

min days

101 1940-41

99 1933-34

99 1939-40

97 1969-70

96 1942-43

96 1943-44

96 1976-77

95 1947-48

93 1955-56

92 1958-59

........................

recent years...

67 2005-06

63 2006-07

64 2007-08

86 2008-09

63 2009-10

84 2010-11

37 2011-12 least amount on record

60 2012-13

80 2013-14 as of 3/8

That's an important stat because minimum temperatures have a large effect on vegetation, animal populations, and the spread of infectious diseases. I'm hoping the trend towards more <32F nights in the past couple of years (high totals in Winter 10-11 and this year) means a safer climate in many ways for us. 

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That's an important stat because minimum temperatures have a large effect on vegetation, animal populations, and the spread of infectious diseases. I'm hoping the trend towards more <32F nights in the past couple of years (high totals in Winter 10-11 and this year) means a safer climate in many ways for us. 

where I live it has many more days...The norm in Central park since 1930 is 75 days...the heat island is a big factor for less amounts the last 40 years...the 1990's averaged only 59 days...the 2000's averaged 72...so far as of today the 2010's are averaging 65...

decade...............total.min..ave..

1930-31-1939-40.'.799.....80....

1940-41-1949-50.'.845.....85...

1950-51-1959-60.'.755.....76...

1960-61-1969-70.'.806.....81...

1970-71-1979-80.'.756.....76...

1980-81-1989-90.'.711.....71...

1990-91-1999-00.'.594.....59...

2000-01-2009-10.'.716.....72...

1930-31-2009-10.'.748.....75...

2010-11-2010-14.'.261.....65

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Guest Pamela

That's an important stat because minimum temperatures have a large effect on vegetation, animal populations, and the spread of infectious diseases. I'm hoping the trend towards more <32F nights in the past couple of years (high totals in Winter 10-11 and this year) means a safer climate in many ways for us. 

 

In the long run...a colder climate might potentially reduce some infectious diseases that are common in the tropics such as malaria...but overall, a warmer climate is far more beneficial to the earth overall because it allows more agriculture to take place...and the food supply is absolutely essential to the survival of the human race...right up there with breathable air & water.  It is a little known fact...but if the mean temperature across the Prairie Provinces of Canada were to go down by 1 C...grain production would be drastically affected.  Food cannot be grown in the cold...and anyone who thinks that a general increase in global temperature would have a more deleterious impact on human life than a general decrease is quite simply mistaken.   

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