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Much Colder Than Normal March Pattern Continues


bluewave

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so far KNYC has 13 snowfalls of an inch or more...The 12.5" February storm I counted as two events...

1" or more...

1995-96 14

1993-94 13

2013-14 13

1963-64 11

1966-67 11

2002-03 10

2008-09 10

2010-11 10

1976-77 9

1977-78 9

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41518-nyc-snowfall/

Uncle, is this the full list? There nothing before 63-64?
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Why does every post have to have the word "Historic" in it? Just let things play out, I don't know how long you've been following the weather but even a very favorable pattern will only produce a HECS less than 10% of the time (hence the historic part). Just look at the pattern as being favorable for snow, as you get within 3 days you can start getting bullish.

understandable, pattern looks ripe and the potential is there for the taking, exciting times ahead and looking forward to next weeks tracking. ive been into weather since I was in high school and im 27 now so ive been tracking for a while and I do know a full blown HECS is difficult hence why they're are only a handful of the true ones on the NESIS chart

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Euro seems to be picking up a storm on the 26th 6 days from now.. What's thoughts on this? Any chance of a 2-4 3-6" event

 yes the EURO is seeing something and this is the type of event this season that has trended better as we got closer so its possible its a 3-6" event or even better. get through this weekend before taking the Wednesday one too seriously

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Thanks appreciate your thoughts.. I know the euro was seeing something for Tuesday also? What do you think

we'll see right now it looks to be sunday night into Monday and the Wednesday events as the weekday threats. beyond that its going to be a crapshoot at this range. I said wait till Monday as we'll know what we're expecting generally Wednesday and "should" have an idea onf what the weekend system looks like as far as what the pattern would yield. patience my friend :popcorn:

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Bring it on!! Just hoping for one more nice storm 6-10 or even more to end winter with a bomb. We will all be glued to computer next week an half

one word to the wise to you, try very hard to not post IMBY questions when threats ramp up in the short range. model/pattern analysis is strongly suggested, sit back and learn and you'll be better off here before you make a premature fool out of yourself. once again this is friendly advice before a moderator tells you instead of me :snowing:

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EURO went from 20"(total snow) to 0-4" in same locations in one run. GFS still does not have a big storm. Official outlook, 6-10 days is COLD and DRY with a high confidence. 8-14 day outlook has cold retreat so precip. is possible then.

This is just as bad as the HECS chasing posts. There's nothing "official" about a 6-10 day forecast.

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EURO went from 20"(total snow) to 0-4" in same locations in one run. GFS still does not have a big storm. Official outlook, 6-10 days is COLD and DRY with a high confidence. 8-14 day outlook has cold retreat so precip. is possible then.

GFS would not be my go to model on a big storm cause it totally blew the last one that dumped 19.2 inches in my city...

 

This looks like it says a shot at above normal precipitation from the 28th on..

post-342-0-08375100-1392960149_thumb.gif

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