Brian5671 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 6:58 PM, triniiphone said: please say sunday. i have an international flight on saturday. will i be screwed? Good lord dude, it's 9 days away-relax Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 description of the snowmaps anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 6:58 PM, LongBeachSurfFreak said: With records 15 degrees warmer. That would be one of our most insane events ever. Not going to happen IMO. This winter will be remembered as epic regardless even if you chop off 25%, it's still a very cold look for the period Monday and going out 7-10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:03 PM, alwaysready126 said: description of the snowmaps anyone? Useless to describe right now….it will change..just know the pattern looks great for next week..plenty of storm chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:04 PM, Allsnow said: Useless to describe right now….it will change..just know the pattern looks great for next week..plenty of storm chances true. thanks for keeping it in perspective brother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 weve seen this fantasy pattern in the LR before. I would caution all of those who are getting too excited right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I generated this run from my basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:11 PM, Snow88 said: I generated this run from my basement. Already factored that in. The Snow88 algorythym that is ran with the EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:09 PM, alwaysready126 said: weve seen this fantasy pattern in the LR before. I would caution all of those who are getting too excited right now. are you talking about the fantasy pattern that gave us 60" of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 19, 2014 Author Share Posted February 19, 2014 The Euro has a weaker wave around 120 hrs along the leading edge of the cold followed by a stronger low on the Arctic front at 168. The strongest PV in the Northern Hemisphere settles in over Southern Canada around this time and a piece of energy cuts underneath toward the end of the run. The Very strong -EPO +PNA Arctic high holds in to the north as moisture with low pressure overruns the Arctic boundary. This would have to be the strongest PV in a long time to drop down into Southern Canada for the last few days of February and the beginning of March. Plenty of potential with this pattern so we just have to wait and see how the models handle the individual storms once we get closer in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:17 PM, Zir0b said: are you talking about the fantasy pattern that gave us 60" of snow? No, Im talking about a picture perfect set up. Most of our storms this year threaded the needle. Edit: just to reitterate. The pattern we just went through this winter generated many 6-12 inch events. All good in my book. This pattern is screaming Cat 4-5 KU measuring snow in feet (for many) which we have seen before in the LR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 The pattern moving forward supports a big storm. Different setup than we we have seen this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:11 PM, Snow88 said: I generated this run from my basement. I think you can do better then that. 1888 and 1890 combo becomes the 93 superstorm and doesn't cut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:26 PM, Snow88 said: The pattern moving forward supports a big storm. Different setup than we we have seen this winter. Not really, we dont have a 2009-10 type block, just the PV acting as a 50/50 low and the -EPO/+PNA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:28 PM, +SNfreak21 said: Not really, we dont have a 2009-10 type block, just the PV acting as a 50/50 low and the -EPO You don't need 2009-10 type blocks to get nice storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:28 PM, +SNfreak21 said: Not really, we dont have a 2009-10 type block, just the PV acting as a 50/50 low and the -EPO[/quote We do not need a big block for a big storm a transient block will do the trick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 6:53 PM, PB GFI said: Mid JAN temps For NYC, latest recorded temp of the following: Below 0: Feb 24 (-4) Below 5: March 5 (3) Below 10: March 19 (8) The inexorable movement of the sun angle in the northern hemisphere will make such temps a near impossibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:28 PM, +SNfreak21 said: Not really, we dont have a 2009-10 type block, just the PV acting as a 50/50 low and the -EPO/+PNA I dont know man... have we seen this type of energy out in the Pacific leading up to our snow producing patterns this year? and we do have some west based blocking developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:29 PM, TWCCraig said: You don't need 2009-10 type blocks to get nice storms. We have been getting 6-12" deals, transient storms that have threaded the needle multiple times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 The MJO will move into phase 8 on some of the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I think we have as good a shot as you are going to get at a big time storm to close winter out. The said pattern doesnt get much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
+SNfreak21 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Just to reiterate my statement, I was mentioning the 2009-10 block in reference to a crawling, slow moving KU storm in a non-progressive pattern (1996, 2003) not the thread the needle 6-12" progressive events we have seen this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alwaysready126 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 any chances of significant blcoking developing during this time frame..or is that out of the question? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:04 PM, Allsnow said: Useless to describe right now….it will change..just know the pattern looks great for next week..plenty of storm chances Awww. Come on. I want to put it on my facebook account and tell everyone we are getting 30 inches two weeks from now!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:09 PM, alwaysready126 said: weve seen this fantasy pattern in the LR before. I would caution all of those who are getting too excited right now. disagree, at least if you are talking about this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:44 PM, alwaysready126 said: any chances of significant blcoking developing during this time frame..or is that out of the question? sure, look at today's Euro for starters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:31 PM, pazzo83 said: For NYC, latest recorded temp of the following: Below 0: Feb 24 (-4) Below 5: March 5 (3) Below 10: March 19 (8) The inexorable movement of the sun angle in the northern hemisphere will make such temps a near impossibility. Couldn`t you have just said unstoppable ? lol JK The Euro is too cold there UHI , plus it sees a foot of snow down . And those lows are before the Day 9 storm , ( which will prob not be there at 0z ) . But this air mass that's coming is Highs in the 20`s and lows in the single digits - in the burbs . DAY 5 -15 look redic . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 7:45 PM, tdp146 said: Awww. Come on. I want to put it on my facebook account and tell everyone we are getting 30 inches two weeks from now!!I still can't believe CNN and local media outlets ran a story based on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 On 2/19/2014 at 8:20 PM, USCG RS said: I still can't believe CNN and local media outlets ran a story based on that The amount of gullible people in this world that take news station propaganda as gospel. Cant even remember when the last time i sat down and watched any news stations for more than a couple minutes. IMO its a waste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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