paweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS holds serve starting to snow 1pm Sunday it looks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Wow... GFS is looking awesome. Heavy snow for most of PA by 90 hours with over 6" already on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 All PA smoked. Huge huge run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 One solid night of radiational cooling next week and we might have a shot. What's the coldest temp State College has ever recorded in March? Currently 4° and windy here...really awful. Not sure about state college but I know Harrisburg has never had temps dip below 0 in March... Currently 8 here and as the other Harrisburg crew has stated the wind is still howling here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Good lord GFS. That's a Pa smoke special right here. IP at times in southern tier, but then pummeling after all columns below 0c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Just saw 90 on weather pa is getting rocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 As per the Mid-Atlantic forum there's a warm layer between 800-850, causing a massive sleet storm and wx meddler said it's sleet even up to Millersville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 One solid night of radiational cooling next week and we might have a shot. What's the coldest temp State College has ever recorded in March? Currently 4° and windy here...really awful. According to AccuWx, -4 with a few other negative lows. TODAY'S DATE: 27-FEB-14MAR-14 FOR PENN STATE, PA (1168') LAT=40.8N LON= 77.9W TEMPERATURE DATA ACTUAL NORMAL RECORD HI LO AVG HI LO AVG DEPT HDD HIGH YEAR LOW YEAR 1 M M M 41 24 32 M M 72 1972 0 1980 2 M M M 41 24 33 M M 70 1972 0 1980 3 M M M 42 24 33 M M 69 1946 -3 1925 4 M M M 42 25 33 M M 73 1974 1 1943 5 M M M 42 25 33 M M 71 1961 3 1926 6 M M M 43 25 34 M M 68 2009* -1 1901 7 M M M 43 25 34 M M 73 2000* 3 1999 8 M M M 43 26 34 M M 78 2000 -1 1989 9 M M M 44 26 35 M M 74 2000 1 1989 10 M M M 44 26 35 M M 72 1986 0 1984 11 M M M 44 26 35 M M 72 1977 3 1984 12 M M M 45 27 36 M M 77 1990 2 1984 13 M M M 45 27 36 M M 75 2006* 3 1984 14 M M M 45 27 36 M M 80 1990 -1 1993 15 M M M 46 28 37 M M 82 1990 0 1993 16 M M M 46 28 37 M M 77 1927 6 1916 17 M M M 47 28 37 M M 76 2012 4 1900 18 M M M 47 29 38 M M 73 2009 -4 1916 19 M M M 47 29 38 M M 74 1945 3 1967 20 M M M 48 29 39 M M 77 1948 5 1967 21 M M M 48 30 39 M M 82 1938 9 1986 22 M M M 49 30 39 M M 80 1938 9 1986 23 M M M 49 30 40 M M 78 1910 5 1906 24 M M M 50 31 40 M M 76 1939 -3 1896 25 M M M 50 31 41 M M 78 1939 9 1940 26 M M M 51 32 41 M M 76 1949 14 1983*27 M M M 51 32 42 M M 81 1945 16 2001*28 M M M 51 32 42 M M 86 1907 12 1923 29 M M M 52 33 42 M M 79 1998* 5 1923 30 M M M 52 33 43 M M 84 1998 11 1970 31 M M M 53 34 43 M M 87 1998 11 1923 TOTALS FOR PSU HIGHEST TEMPERATURE LOWEST TEMPERATURE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE DEPARTURE FROM NORM HEATING DEGREE DAYS 0NORMAL DEGREE DAYS 859 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS does not back down. Big time consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 PA Special? GFS has a late phase that just juices this thing up. It's awesome how consistent the GFS has been (never thought I'd say that) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 As per the Mid-Atlantic forum there's a warm layer between 800-850, causing a massive sleet storm and wx meddler said it's sleet even up to Millersville. Maybe to start, but quickly goes to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Not sure about state college but I know Harrisburg has never had temps dip below 0 in March... Currently 8 here and as the other Harrisburg crew has stated the wind is still howling here Six records below zero in March at State College, latest March 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS says sorry Voyager. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Maybe to start, but quickly goes to snow. Probably with heavy rates, no doubt. The snow map shows the sleet pretty clearly for MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Probably with heavy rates, no doubt. The snow map shows the sleet pretty clearly for MD. Ya they get sleeted to death. GFS shifted south maybe another 10-15miles this run. It is pretty locked in it seems. Looks like most of the state is going to get railed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 5.6. Liking the chances of AOB 0 by sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS was way off yet locked in for the 2/13 storm right? If Euro stays south I'll be much more comfortable .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Another late night Euro run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS was way off yet locked in for the 2/13 storm right? If Euro stays south I'll be much more comfortable .... It was clearly wrong when it was all alone. It has support from the most reliable models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GFS was way off yet locked in for the 2/13 storm right? If Euro stays south I'll be much more comfortable .... GFS and NAM both got their arse kicked on that event...ECM/UK took them to school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 No 10-15" I am disappointed? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 28, 2014 Author Share Posted February 28, 2014 PA Special? GFS has a late phase that just juices this thing up. It's awesome how consistent the GFS has been (never thought I'd say that) Lock it in...would make most of us very happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Not sure what CTP is looking at. GFS and ECMWF both nail the southern regions with the most snow. Even their precious GFS ens are a crush-job north of the M/D line. Ah well. Looks like they'll be playing catch-up the entire time. I guess they anticipate a shift north again? I'm sure it happens often, especially in March. If not, if the next few days of run hold then I'm sure they'll adjust accordingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GGem insists on south model march madness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Here little seahorse! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GGem insists on south model march madness Doing the same thing NAM does with wave one. I don't believe that. Also doesn't have hardly anything out west. And they are expecting to get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GGEM would score a coup here only model that far south not even mentioning the NAM Of course MA forum is all over the Canadian lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 Doing the same thing NAM does with wave one. I don't believe that. Also doesn't have hardly anything out west. And they are expecting to get crushed.Agreed I don't know why I read the other sub forums the ny forum I spent an entire page reading through bickering of people bickering at red taggers lol trying to argue the duration of the storm too funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 28, 2014 Share Posted February 28, 2014 GGEM would score a coup here only model that far south not even mentioning the NAM Of course MA forum is all over the Canadian lol When the progressive usually south model NAVGEM is north of the GGEM I say it is too far south. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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