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Central PA & The Fringes - February 2014 Pt. VI


2001kx

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Wow, sneak squall event on the way tomorrow?? Check out the instability!! 

 

Yeah...been thinking the same thing. Radar watching tomorrow. 

 

Timing? I have a second interview tomorrow morning at 8:30AM for a potential job. The trucking gig out of Spring Grove fell through, but I have something hopefully much better in the works. If/when I get it, I'll let you guys know!

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Welcome! I'm no met, but I think it's a little early to start throwing out numbers. Anything discussed right now is just done so for discussion sake. Once the players start being sampled we'll have a better idea.

Eric horse said that this type of setup is notoriously difficult fir both Mets and models outside of 60-72 hours.

 

Did you get that info straight from the Horse's mouth??? :lmao:

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I cant see any levels other than 850mb temps right now so not sure if there is a warm layer as north as us... 0C 850mb line runs closer to Shrewsberry than Harrisburg... maybe closer to turnpike... but it is warmer than the 0z ensemble mean by a hair for what it is worth at this range

at 120 850 0 looks like it runs right through central pa to me on the eps. It looks better at 132 but precip is mostly over by then. At a glance I thought the eps agreed with the op.
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Timing? I have a second interview tomorrow morning at 8:30AM for a potential job. The trucking gig out of Spring Grove fell through, but I have something hopefully much better in the works. If/when I get it, I'll let you guys know!

gd luck Voyager
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Timing? I have a second interview tomorrow morning at 8:30AM for a potential job. The trucking gig out of Spring Grove fell through, but I have something hopefully much better in the works. If/when I get it, I'll let you guys know!

Good luck with the job interview Voyager!!

It's Horst not Horse. haha.

Damm spellcheck got ya Neff :-)

Boy today was cold with the wind! 12:30 it was 6 with the windchill. I was out in it a little while and it was almost unbearable. Should of had my Carharts on.

Thanks to everyone for the updates and thoughts about this upcoming storm.

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And after the 9" of snow, the GFS forecasts the coldest airmass of the winter...which is exceptional since it will be March!

 

140304/0000Z 126 36007KT 13.5F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.012 8:1| 8.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.07 100| 0| 0
140304/0300Z 129 33005KT 1.3F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 8:1| 8.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.07 0| 0| 0
140304/0600Z 132 33004KT -8.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 8:1| 8.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 1.07 0| 0| 0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140304/0900Z 135 33003KT -13.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140304/1200Z 138 34004KT -11.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140304/1500Z 141 36004KT 6.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140304/1800Z 144 01005KT 13.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140304/2100Z 147 03005KT 16.6F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140305/0000Z 150 06005KT 9.0F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140305/0300Z 153 02006KT 0.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140305/0600Z 156 36005KT -5.7F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140305/0900Z 159 36004KT -9.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140305/1200Z 162 35004KT -15.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140305/1500Z 165 35003KT 3.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140305/1800Z 168 35003KT 13.5F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---
140305/2100Z 171 VRB02KT 16.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140306/0000Z 174 VRB02KT 0.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140306/0300Z 177 02004KT 6.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
140306/0600Z 180 36005KT -1.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0
============================================================================================================================

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