EasternUSWX Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 CTP acknowledging the day 5/6 threat... Hazardous Weather Outlook HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 805 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-270115- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND- ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 805 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. ISOLATED ICE JAMS ARE FORMING AND MAY CREATE HIGHLY LOCALIZED FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE SMALLER CREEKS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ISOLATED ICE JAMS ARE FORMING AND MAY CREATE HIGHLY LOCALIZED FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE SMALLER CREEKS. GUSTY WINDS ACCOMPANYING COLD TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR WIND CHILLS WELL BELOW ZERO WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE COLDEST VALUES WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN MOUNTAINS. A SIGNIFICANT AND POSSIBLY LONG-DURATION WINTER WEATHER EVENT IS LIKELY SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS ONE OR MORE WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...ALONG A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD START AS SNOW...THEN POSSIBLY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA BY MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Looks pretty damn chilly to me. Sunday i was wearing shorts, oiling my mitt, now i need my one piece long johns again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 CTP acknowledging the day 5/6 threat... Hazardous Weather Outlook HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 805 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-270115- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD- NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN- JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND- ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 805 PM EST TUE FEB 25 2014 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. ISOLATED ICE JAMS ARE FORMING AND MAY CREATE HIGHLY LOCALIZED FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE SMALLER CREEKS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ISOLATED ICE JAMS ARE FORMING AND MAY CREATE HIGHLY LOCALIZED FLOODING...MAINLY ALONG THE SMALLER CREEKS. GUSTY WINDS ACCOMPANYING COLD TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW FOR WIND CHILLS WELL BELOW ZERO WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE COLDEST VALUES WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN MOUNTAINS. A SIGNIFICANT AND POSSIBLY LONG-DURATION WINTER WEATHER EVENT IS LIKELY SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AS ONE OR MORE WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...ALONG A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD START AS SNOW...THEN POSSIBLY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA BY MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. yep our pals at EPAWA already have people talking that a big storm will happen.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 yep our pals at EPAWA already have people talking that a big storm will happen.... Yes sir, I just all my friends on FB yapping about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I used to razz my family for using accuweather, now these people are using weenie wishcasters as a reliable source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 I used to razz my family for using accuweather, now these people are using weenie wishcasters as a reliable source. Shame of it is, AccuWeather has some of the best mets in the business. Joe Lundberg is as good as they come, and Elliott Abrams is a legend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Shame of it is, AccuWeather has some of the best mets in the business. Joe Lundberg is as good as they come, and Elliott Abrams is a legend. Problem is Accu has been overrun by the Henry Ms of that company. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Well, most, if not all of us are now below freezing once again. It looks like we will now begin a 5 to 6-day period of continuously below 32. While that happening in January is even a little unusual especially down here in LSV-land (this winter excepted, of course), to be happening at the tail end of February into the first week of March is quite noteworthy. Normals around here are now 44/24, so a solid 10 to 15 degrees below normal has begun. djr will have to update us on the Feb statistics. I would think we're running at least 4 degrees below average after our 6.5 below last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 the problem with the weanie wishcasters (I like that term) is that they know enough to be dangerous, and they tend self correct when they see something. For example: local weenie wishcasters are stating that we "could get a big storm this Sunday to Monday"; they posted a few maps and they will say in a few days that they had this predicted a week out, better than *Name the local met*. But they will adjust their forecast as it gets closer "it is going to be close but it could miss". Weatherboy posted his 3 foot storm maps and then said that wasn't a prediction. 100,000 people saw that and they thought it was gospel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Holy crap these potholes are insane. 83 might as well be the surface of the moon. PennDOT f'n suuuuuuuuuuuuucks worse than any other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 the problem with the weanie wishcasters (I like that term) is that they know enough to be dangerous, and they tend self correct when they see something. For example: local weenie wishcasters are stating that we "could get a big storm this Sunday to Monday"; they posted a few maps and they will say in a few days that they had this predicted a week out, better than *Name the local met*. But they will adjust their forecast as it gets closer "it is going to be close but it could miss". Weatherboy posted his 3 foot storm maps and then said that wasn't a prediction. 100,000 people saw that and they thought it was gospel. That's just it. Even for the pros, if for example Jim Cantore says "and looking ahead to the weekend, some of the models are showing a major snowstorm for the East, but keep in mind that's still a ways out and lots of questions remain about whether there's even a storm. Just something to watch" and the public hears "blah blah blah blah GIANT BLIZZARD THIS WEEKEND blah blah blah blah blah" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lsv Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Holy crap these potholes are insane. 83 might as well be the surface of the moon. PennDOT f'n suuuuuuuuuuuuucks worse than any other. yes it's bad here in PA, but not as bad as it is in Indiana. Between the sub-zero temps an snow they had out there , there's long stretches of hwy where the road is completely ripped up. Feels like ur driving off road(dirt roads) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 The Scranton based bus line actually the county based line has changed routes due to road conditions being bad. There are roads I avoid because of how bad the roads are. The good mews is that the state has raised the gas tax and will continue to do so for the next few years to fix the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Massive snow storm on 0z GFS for most Sunday into Tuesday long duration storm should be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Wow all of PA sees 10+. I know it can change but the models are in good agreement right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Massive snow storm on 0z GFS for most Sunday into Tuesday long duration storm should be fun Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaand we're screwed lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaand we're screwed lol.Why? Euro 12z ggem and now GFS 0z showing it no screw job could change but consensus is happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Why? Euro 12z ggem and now GFS 0z showing it no screw job could change but consensus is happening. Wasn't being serious dude. Just referencing how people always say being in the GFS bullseye this far out is bad haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Wasn't being serious dude. Just referencing how people always say being in the GFS bullseye this far out is bad haha Ahh that's cool we have a serious threat coming up that's for sure long duration maybe some mix for me but March is going to come in like a roaring lion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Euro still looking good for a long duration event, it almost comes in two waves with an initial round of light to moderate precip arriving at hour 114 and going through 120. Somewhat of a lull at hour 126 before the main event traverses PA hours 132-144. Only potential p-type issues I saw was with the first batch where the far southern tier of the Sus Valley might mix initially. Other than that it's a snow bomb for all of us (and yes the Pittsburgh gang is heavily involved as well). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 0Z GFS says it starts snowing here by 7AM Sunday morning and continues non-stop until Tuesday afternoon!! If this happens it will be the longest duration snowstorm I have ever seen. I'm pretty sure that biggest and longest events for me were Feb 1978 and Jan 1996 both of which lasted around 36 hours. GFS says 54 to 60 hours non stop. I'm totally expecting it to change, but WOW from this vantage verbatim. Oh yeah, it dumps 15" of snow on us in the Harrisburg area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 If I see another snow map posted from the Euro I am going to scream. I am starting to get sick of trying to forecast responsibly and having to deal with all this crap pages backlash. It is getting freaking annoying that the NWS has to field calls about some snow map or stupid Kevin Martins violent tornado outbreak. Hope they do come out with the NWA social media accreditation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 -SN, dusting so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 omg GFS has 1.1" of zr for BWI... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 -SN, dusting so far.Same for Millersville. I was I had time to look at model runs. Sounds like a potential good one incoming. Trend held last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Moderate snow in Mount Joy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Light snow with the occasional dime sized flakes. About 1/4 inch so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 Moderate snow in Mount Joy. Yes sir, big 'ole flakes coming down now. Looks nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 26, 2014 Share Posted February 26, 2014 just came out of a meeting and our parking lot is covered! The weekend is starting to look interesting, don't put the shovels away yet fella's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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