Johnno Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I think this is good for everyone except potential screwzone W CT. Why not let's make it two for two lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 Ukmet has me more in now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Ukmet has me more in now.about time, yesterday hurt your confidence, you got a hit but wanted a HR so you brooded , back at bat, always another at bat, swing away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 about time, yesterday hurt your confidence, you got a hit but wanted a HR so you brooded , back at bat, always another at bat, swing away. Yesterday didn't really bother me. It was a snowy day ...a beautiful snow, I was in the woods getting snowed on...nothing wrong with that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 about time, yesterday hurt your confidence, you got a hit but wanted a HR so you brooded , back at bat, always another at bat, swing away. He was styling in the batters box but the ball hit the top of the monster and he only got a single...can be a bit deflating, but with another round coming up, can't lose focus. I think most are good for adivosry type snows...but N MA and NE MA/S NH will have to watch for a sneaky stripe of high end advisory stuff...maybe even a spot low end warning total, but I think most of that would be confined to S ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Yesterday didn't really bother me. It was a snowy day ...a beautiful snow, I was in the woods getting snowed on...nothing wrong with that!forecaster wise it stung you, it showed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Hmmm. I may have to put up a watch tonight. Short-duration mauler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I think most are good for adivosry type snows...but N MA and NE MA/S NH will have to watch for a sneaky stripe of high end advisory stuff...maybe even a spot low end warning total, but I think most of that would be confined to S ME. We've had a lot of 4" events here this year... I'll take another one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Hmmm. I may have to put up a watch tonight. Short-duration mauler. lol, Still licking the wounds from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 lol, Still licking the wounds from yesterday I'm not licking anything, it is what it is. Bust potential was always high with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Hmmm. I may have to put up a watch tonight. Short-duration mauler. Think I get in on it in Andover? Or too far south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I'm not licking anything, it is what it is. Bust potential was always high with that one. Ah, Not you, I am still licking them, That was just another stinger for here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Think I get in on it in Andover? Or too far south? Could be a nice brief band of S+ that cuts through you but I'd rather be somewhere on the Maine coastal plain where the 700mb low closes off and throws back a nice ccb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Ah, Not you, I am still licking them, That was just another stinger for here Yeah that sucked...watching the band nail downeast was a downer for sure. But, hey, perhaps we make up for it Tue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 Cmc is mighty robust! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Yeah that sucked...watching the band nail downeast was a downer for sure. But, hey, perhaps we make up for it Tue? Looks like a good track for us here, 59" on the season here when looking at totals in the region overall is not that awe inspiring, Due to get lucky on one, Our totals here and at the WFO looks to be similar on many occasions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Yeah that sucked...watching the band nail downeast was a downer for sure. But, hey, perhaps we make up for it Tue? This has a nice look for your area once this thing closes off a nice mid level low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Could be a nice brief band of S+ that cuts through you but I'd rather be somewhere on the Maine coastal plain where the 700mb low closes off and throws back a nice ccb. That's what I was pretty much thinking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 This has a nice look for your area once this thing closes off a nice mid level low. I agree...it's just that the speed of the system will limit amounts. Could be one of those situations where 5 or 6" falls in 4-6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Could be a nice brief band of S+ that cuts through you but I'd rather be somewhere on the Maine coastal plain where the 700mb low closes off and throws back a nice ccb. Duration is limiting factor down here...but man, the soundings look nice. we could get smoked for a couple hours (esp north of pike)...it goes to like -21C at 600mb from -6C at 800mb...thats like 7C/km lapse rate for a brief time. edit: 7C/km..I accidently type 9C/km the first time, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Duration is limiting factor down here...but man, the soundings look nice. we could get smoked for a couple hours (esp north of pike)...it goes to like -21C at 600mb from -6C at 800mb...thats like 7C/km lapse rate for a brief time. edit: 7C/km..I accidently type 9C/km the first time, lol One interesting fact to note is this hits right during the PM commute on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Duration is limiting factor down here...but man, the soundings look nice. we could get smoked for a couple hours (esp north of pike)...it goes to like -21C at 600mb from -6C at 800mb...thats like 7C/km lapse rate for a brief time. edit: 7C/km..I accidently type 9C/km the first time, lol This and "esp ern areas" are probably your two most used phrases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 This and "esp ern areas" are probably your two most used phrases. Lol this one looks better for both eastern areas and north of the pike! I do think there could be a bit of a jackpot in litchfield Co. They do pretty well with developing SE flow. Orographic lift helps them some in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Lol this one looks better for both eastern areas and north of the pike! I do think there could be a bit of a jackpot in litchfield Co. They do pretty well with developing SE flow. Orographic lift helps them some in this setup. Haha, I thought your post was going to be reprimanding me for being OT. I noticed the GFS had a weenie 0.25 contour in Litchfield County tonight on one of the panels of the GFS. I'm hoping to get 3" to crack 50" for the season but if I had to guess I'd say I'll probably get 2". These awesome jackpot rules don't apply to the southern extreme of the county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Haha, I thought your post was going to be reprimanding me for being OT. I noticed the GFS had a weenie 0.25 contour in Litchfield County tonight on one of the panels of the GFS. I'm hoping to get 3" to crack 50" for the season but if I had to guess I'd say I'll probably get 2". These awesome jackpot rules don't apply to the southern extreme of the county. I cracked 50" a while ago in Southern Brooklyn. What's the problem? In all seriousness, this is looking like a slop storm for the coast but does have some resemblance to 2/22/08 which had some surprises with 6" in NYC and 8" in the northern suburbs. We have to see how the boundary layer holds out with a long duration easterly fetch but this is almost a certainly suburbs/interior event in terms of major accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Duration is limiting factor down here...but man, the soundings look nice. we could get smoked for a couple hours (esp north of pike)...it goes to like -21C at 600mb from -6C at 800mb...thats like 7C/km lapse rate for a brief time. edit: 7C/km..I accidently type 9C/km the first time, lol I agree...I think this thing will begin blossoming right over your head...probably as far west as the Berks/Litchfield Hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 EURO is similar to all the other modeling really. advisory event for all. jackpot sw me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I cracked 50" a while ago in Southern Brooklyn. What's the problem? In all seriousness, this is looking like a slop storm for the coast but does have some resemblance to 2/22/08 which had some surprises with 6" in NYC and 8" in the northern suburbs. We have to see how the boundary layer holds out with a long duration easterly fetch but this is almost a certainly suburbs/interior event in terms of major accumulation. Horrendous event for the coast, at least you and I are concerned. I wouldn't be surprised with such a long SE fetch that at best there's a coating for most in NYC/Long Island outside the very north shore. NAM has pretty much all rain south of White Plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 06z nam is a nice hit for SNE too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Nice trends overnight. Amounts upped to 4-6.. If trends continue..possible watches for most of SNE at 4:00pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.