Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 And maybe I'll be wrong but what's to push it all under us?Every model right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I would agree with Ryan about a month ago but its so cold prior to SE winds with climo, ice cold ocean and surface winds not cranking I think if anything it draws in some better moisture. If the antecedent day was like yesterday mornings non accumulating stuff the day of I would agree too, different setup it seems.2-4 Winds do get pretty gusty out ahead of it. GON is such a snow hole... when in doubt go low. Probably not an issue 10-15 miles inland and even for HVN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Winds do get pretty gusty out ahead of it. GON is such a snow hole... when in doubt go low. Probably not an issue 10-15 miles inland and even for HVN. Oh you know it, yea after looking close yea GON WST UUU CHH are out of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 I just don't see it. Even the euro pushes bl temps above freezing so it will hve to thump. Inland areas per euro do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 Every model right now No. Other than RGEM beyond its useful range. Euro to some extent but I'm not yet buying it. Let's see how 0z shakes out. Maybe the good trends from 24 hours ago will resume. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 18z GFS is pretty juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 BOX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 That's a good map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 18z GFS is pretty juicy. Lock it in, because this is pretty much the pattern 90% of the systems have followed this season, lol. Except for the last storm, we just keep getting bent over up here in N.VT. Its like we get to enjoy 1 out of every 3 or 4 storms that CNE/SNE has been getting this season It is what it is, and why the I-95 big cities have more snowfall than BTV right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I just don't see it. Even the euro pushes bl temps above freezing so it will hve to thump. Inland areas per euro do well. Well thats Prob why box map has ne mass coastal plain within 15 miles at 1-2 while west of that area is 2-4. Maybe im crazy thou. I dont like mid day timing on Cp for maximizing qpf into inches box Doesnt seem to either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Here's my forecast for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Who is "King James"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 James Nichols Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 lol well im glad to see the mins showing up more and more here on the maps these days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 And king James had 10 more hours of heavy snow last night. As frank used to croon..."fairy tales can come true...." And I only ended up with 7.5" while parts of the northern Cape got 12". It was a matter of a few miles between the 6" along the south coast of Cape Cod and the north shore of Cape Cod getting 12"+. Sandwich, MA was the jackpot, 15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Plus, I busted pretty high with this last storm, went further east than modeled within 18 hours. EURO busted west as well. A lot of the models didn't see the east push. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I'm leaning 3" to 5" and that's no jive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Thinking 1-2, 3 would be the absolute max. Keep building the pack up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 This thing actually gets stronger as it goes east. Soundings are cold and 950 wetbulbs are like -1C for BOS. That's probably a 32-34 paste. It woul likely be cold enough if it came in at like 7am instead of noon. Temps a bit marginal but nothing a little lift can't do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Didn't do a total map yet...would wait until tomorrow but current thinking regarding where it's all snow and where it's more of a mix. Not overly impressed by this and while temps aloft are fine, lots of room for warmer air to really work into the surface and just above and given how precipitation rates shouldn't be too excessive...this will lead to more mixed precipitation. At most I would see 1-3'' for snow and up to 4'' above 1000'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 This thing actually gets stronger as it goes east. Soundings are cold and 950 wetbulbs are like -1C for BOS. That's probably a 32-34 paste. It woul likely be cold enough if it came in at like 7am instead of noon. Temps a bit marginal but nothing a little lift can't do.Looks like it moves into CT at daybreak. Hopefully out to you guys by 8:00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Didn't do a total map yet...would wait until tomorrow but current thinking regarding where it's all snow and where it's more of a mix. Not overly impressed by this and while temps aloft are fine, lots of room for warmer air to really work into the surface and just above and given how precipitation rates shouldn't be too excessive...this will lead to more mixed precipitation. At most I would see 1-3'' for snow and up to 4'' above 1000'. forecast map.jpg All rain for Moosup ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 All rain for Moosup ? mix to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Here's my forecast for Tuesday. The towering snow capped spires of the NE hills well represented. Good map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 mix to rainI don't agree with that at all. Even the coast is going to stay snow. Cold air mass and 950's, it's certainly not going to rain anywhere inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 torrington, new hartford, barkhamstead are not slush mixing in this. along the merritt, maybe. but way up in the ct rockies...not a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I don't agree with that at all. Even the coast is going to stay snow. Cold air mass and 950's, it's certainly not going to rain anywhere inland The Euro/GFS have 925mb temps across CT virtually around -2C to -3C...only the NAM is much colder. Each of these models also has 2M temps getting close or into the mid 30's. Plus precipitation rates are not going to be particularly heavy at all and that's evident by 6-HR QPF totals barely above 0.2''...although the GFS does imply we could see some heavier rates Even if these areas stay all snow I find it hard to see much accumulations going on...snow growth doesn't look all that favorable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 torrington, new hartford, barkhamstead are not slush mixing in this. along the merritt, maybe. but way up in the ct rockies...not a chance. areas above 700-800-900ft...I agree with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I wouldn't expect many people in this forum to really agree with a map that has something less than snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Lock it in, because this is pretty much the pattern 90% of the systems have followed this season, lol. Except for the last storm, we just keep getting bent over up here in N.VT. Its like we get to enjoy 1 out of every 3 or 4 storms that CNE/SNE has been getting this season It is what it is, and why the I-95 big cities have more snowfall than BTV right now.[/url]Yeh but come the middle of May when they are sitting around with nothing to do but watch coeds in bikinis throwing frisbees, we will get a 17 inch tulip flattening blue bomb. That'll show them.BTV calling for 1-3 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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