CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 EURO has the low east of Weymouth lol. Me and Ray actually get several inches. Ha, well it probably will waver a bit, but this is one of those deals where to the east of it will exist a band of rather moderate precip. It looked fairly cold aside from cape cod, for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Are there any trends to "hope" for to get the most out of this guy Stronger vort another 25-50 miles south? Would that bring out 6 inch amounts or too fast moving Stronger vortmax a bit south would give us a chance at 6" amounts...but we're getting pretty close in. We'll see how it trends tonight...for now I'd be expecting 2-3" mostly...maybe 4"+ lollis N MA/S NH...we'll see. Could be a nice omega burst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Ha, well it probably will waver a bit, but this is one of those deals where to the east of it will exist a band of rather moderate precip. It looked fairly cold aside from cape cod, for most. It has 2m temps in the single digits N&W of 495 at 12z Tuesday, lol...not sure its that cold in reality, but this is not a rotted out airmass...its pretty fresh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 One thing I have noticed about these northern stream s/w' is they've had a propensity to come S. Yesterdays was a perfect example. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 This will end up being a better storm than last night's, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Ha, well it probably will waver a bit, but this is one of those deals where to the east of it will exist a band of rather moderate precip. It looked fairly cold aside from cape cod, for most. Based on model progs, I can envision a sort of NW/SE oriented band of snow knifing across the area. Maybe like the radar presentation across the Midwest yesterday, but a more compact precip shield? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 One thing I have noticed about these northern stream s/w' is they've had a propensity to come S. Yesterdays was a perfect example.And be shorter duration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Based on model progs, I can envision a sort of NW/SE oriented band of snow knifing across the area. Maybe like the radar presentation across the Midwest yesterday, but a more compact precip shield? Agreed. Nice frontal boundary with flow coming in out of the SE into the primary low over the GL. That looks to weaken as the main low transfers to developing secondary on the coast. I see a relative "sucker hole" wherever that happens. I'd favor coastal ME for the highest totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Agreed. Nice frontal boundary with flow coming in out of the SE into the primary low over the GL. That looks to weaken as the main low transfers to developing secondary on the coast. I see a relative "sucker hole" wherever that happens. I'd favor coastal ME for the highest totals. I came up with 3-5" across southern NH into coastal ME. Sadly this almost certainly will be a bigger snowfall than last night for our CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I came up with 3-5" across southern NH into coastal ME. Sadly this almost certainly will be a bigger snowfall than last night for our CWA. And far less hype to boot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 May be tough for the S Coast east of HVN. SErlys may have something to say about accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 May be tough for the S Coast east of HVN. SErlys may have something to say about accumulating snow. It's not a good look for the coast down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Also... pretty ugly looking snow growth. Omega is very low in the troposphere. Centered around 850mb where the strongest isentropic lift is. Temperatures are around -5C there. There will be ice crystals in the cloud (seeder-feeder) but it's not a setup that screams "thump" to me south of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 Trending meh for folks below the borders of NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 That said RGEM is pretty far south and that high and cold means business. Tomorrow should be quite cold and tomorrow night as well. We dawn in the singles and teens Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Give it time, I'm sure you guys down south will get in on it, SNE will probably end up in the jack like most storms this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Trending meh for folks below the borders of NNE.Huh? 2-4 or 3-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Also... pretty ugly looking snow growth. Omega is very low in the troposphere. Centered around 850mb where the strongest isentropic lift is. Temperatures are around -5C there. There will be ice crystals in the cloud (seeder-feeder) but it's not a setup that screams "thump" to me south of the Pike. Never looked up seeder-feeder now. Cool mechanism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 It's not a good look for the coast down there. Dynamics probably too far north for us including Andover though you are better positioned. Head up to the old haunt in bridgton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 Huh? 2-4 or 3-5 You look good for 1-3. Will is 2-5. Dendrite 3-6. Me 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Huh? 2-4 or 3-5 His post confused me . I thought it looked pretty good and will liked it, Euro Ens look decent and better than Op. RGEM on board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Dynamics probably too far north for us including Andover though you are better positioned. Head up to the old haunt in bridgton. Not sure I can raise the guts for that drive anytime soon. Weird though, Girl I know who goes to school in Biddeford asked me to come up on Tuesday, two weeks ago. Talk about timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 This smacks of a Chicago-Detroit-GC-ORH-CON-PWM jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 His post confused me . I thought it looked pretty good and will liked it, Euro Ens look decent and better than Op. RGEM on board Giving you what I see when looking at upper levels. Looks meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 You look good for 1-3. Will is 2-5. Dendrite 3-6. Me 1-2.my thinking is 3-5 entire region . Maybe far s coast 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 my thinking is 3-5 entire region . Maybe far s coast 1-3 And king James had 10 more hours of heavy snow last night. As frank used to croon..."fairy tales can come true...." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 And maybe I'll be wrong but what's to push it all under us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 And king James had 10 more hours of heavy snow last night. As frank used to croon..."fairy tales can come true...."Ok. When you're posting you got 4 inches on Tues nite we can revisit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Giving you what I see when looking at upper levels. Looks meh. This one still seems like it'll drop a few inches despite. I also think this track is far from pinned down. Either way it will be in and out of here quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I would agree with Ryan about a month ago but its so cold prior to SE winds with climo, ice cold ocean and surface winds not cranking I think if anything it draws in some better moisture. If the antecedent day was like yesterday mornings non accumulating stuff the day of I would agree too, different setup it seems.2-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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