TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'm really not sure where the Lakes Region/foothills stuff is coming from. I know my forecast yesterday was interior Rockingham county for the highest totals, and I still feel pretty good about that. It wasn't anyones forecast but NAM argued dendrite to even as nw as IZG at points in time yesterday. NOBODY and I repeat NOBODY was actually forecasting it, just saying it moved SE. Hell, I'm looking at the latest mesos now and they argue the heaviest of the banding only tickles the Maine coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'm really not sure where the Lakes Region/foothills stuff is coming from. I know my forecast yesterday was interior Rockingham county for the highest totals, and I still feel pretty good about that. Agreed...SE NH into S ME has looked good for a while now on guidance. Monads though kind of get screwed on a east bump and they wer elookign good yesterday...but its not like SE NH and S ME were ever not the best looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I have had se winds all morning still ese, if it were SE of me I would have ene or ne winds Stop using logic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Agreed...SE NH into S ME has looked good for a while now on guidance. Monads though kind of get screwed on a east bump and they wer elookign good yesterday...but its not like SE NH and S ME were ever not the best looking. Yeah I was just commenting that I'm glad I kept Sullivan out of the warnings, because they may get stuck between the best forcing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I have had se winds all morning still ese, if it were SE of me I would have ene or ne winds Stop using logic. You could argue there is two circulations right now south of LI. The thing is still forming, of course there will be some funky wind directions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 It wasn't anyones forecast but NAM argued dendrite to even as nw as IZG at points in time yesterday. NOBODY and I repeat NOBODY was actually forecasting it, just saying it moved SE. Hell, I'm looking at the latest mesos now and they argue the heaviest of the banding only tickles the Maine coast... So if it was never being forecast why are we talking about it? What you are saying in effect is that models have trended towards the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 So if it was never being forecast why are we talking about it? What you are saying in effect is that models have trended towards the forecast. Were kinda splitting hairs as I was just pointing it out it had happened.. Nothing really more or less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Euro pretty much jackpots Rockingham with a bit over 0.50" for the event. Looks like about 0.40ish up here. The RAP/HRRR have trended west all day with QPF so no worries there. Looks good for 4-7" here...about 1" already and snowing hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Euro pretty much jackpots Rockingham with a bit over 0.50" for the event. Looks like about 0.40ish up here. The RAP/HRRR have trended west all day with QPF so no worries there. Looks good for 4-7" here...about 1" already and snowing hard. Obs took a big leap this hour towards 1/4SM across a lot of northeast MA. Just starting to really edge into NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Euro pretty much jackpots Rockingham with a bit over 0.50" for the event. Looks like about 0.40ish up here. The RAP/HRRR have trended west all day with QPF so no worries there. Looks good for 4-7" here...about 1" already and snowing hard. HRRR 16z RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 HRRR 16z FWIW, the HRRR is too far south on surface low position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'm interested to see where the circulation goes now that it is north of models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trat Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 NEMA screw hole again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 NEMA screw hole again? What the hell? Have you looked out the window? Or the radar.. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trat Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 heavy snow stops at bos north shore is meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 Getting dark now so I suspect it gets even heavier shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 heavy snow stops at bos north shore is meh. Getting dark now so I suspect it gets even heavier shortly. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/42934-21814-clipper-obs-thread/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Climo time of year for this to happen, put it in the database kids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Climo time of year for this to happen, put it in the database kids. yea SE winds torched me up to a whopping 33 degrees. With cold just above the surface and heavy dynamics, snow. SST's FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 heavy snow stops at bos north shore is meh.Look out the window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 I think trends are really going against the lake region into sw maine foothills jackpot that looked to be locked up last night.Damn.Maybe next time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Damn. Maybe next time. mid-level centers control the precip a lot more than sfc low tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Damn. Maybe next time. Mid levels FTW. HRRR FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 mid-level centers control the precip a lot more than sfc low tracks. heh...it's all in fun. I told him I wasn't concerned considering the mid-levels looked great here still. This is how we all learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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