DomNH Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 i dont see a north push with the heavier echoes to the south Modeled. The main show for SNE doesn't start til about noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 i dont see a north push with the heavier echoes to the south Dude relax. Seriously. Everything is going exactly as planned. You're getting 4-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 There is definitely a small shift NE and a bit of a later organization. Looks like SW ME FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 Final call: BDL: 3-4 ORH: 4-6 PVD: 1-3 BOS: 2-3 CON: 5-7 LEW: 6-8 Tolland. 3.9 Wilmington: 5.2 For posterity. Let's see how I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'm not a huge fan of the HRRR but I think this map highlights well the jackpot area. Stratford and York counties FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'm gonna bust low imby. I bet BOS gets 3-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'm not a huge fan of the HRRR but I think this map highlights well the jackpot area. Stratford and York counties FTW. That looks pretty good overall. Radar coming together nicely..and there's now more of a N push to the echoes as the secondary takes over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 There is definitely a small shift NE and a bit of a later organization. Looks like SW ME FTW. Yeah I agree...small but meaningful shift NE. I think NE MA/SE NE looks the best in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 There is definitely a small shift NE and a bit of a later organization. Looks like SW ME FTW. dentrite did mention a bit East overnite euro looks cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I think we'll be fine. It's just the jack shifting around. Our fun is what's over NJ/DE right now. The sooner we get the sfc/mid level centers cranking the better we'll be. You are sort of like ORH...always seems to be right in the thick of any New England regional snowfall...or at least just far enough south/north/east/west to get into the fun stuff, haha. No doubt you'll have like a 40" snowpack after the next couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 messenger has been thinkin Bos gets in the thick of it snow wise (since last eve) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 You are sort of like ORH...always seems to be right in the thick of any New England regional snowfall...or at least just far enough south/north/east/west to get into the fun stuff, haha. No doubt you'll have like a 40" snowpack after the next couple days.it's compressed down to 23-24" now. We'll be up around 30". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 The main area for SNE is actually over PA right now...it develops rapidly as the vortmax tracks close and the mid-levels back a bit more in response for a bit greater inflow off the Atlantic. IT almost expldoes overhead, so the radar is probably not going to look all that decent until the last minute. The further SW though, the greater chance for getting dryslotted quickly as that stuff develops. That's why S ME is in the best position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 i dont see a north push with the heavier echoes to the south Dude relax. Seriously. Everything is going exactly as planned. You're getting 4-6 There is definitely a small shift NE and a bit of a later organization. Looks like SW ME FTW. Yeah I agree...small but meaningful shift NE. I think NE MA/SE NE looks the best in SNE. Despite my appreciation for Kevin's optimism I feel like this is a 2-4" deal here and anywhere W of ORH county rather than the 4-6" (6-8") on the BOX map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 The main area for SNE is actually over PA right now...it develops rapidly as the vortmax tracks close and the mid-levels back a bit more in response for a bit greater inflow off the Atlantic. IT almost expldoes overhead, so the radar is probably not going to look all that decent until the last minute. The further SW though, the greater chance for getting dryslotted quickly as that stuff develops. That's why S ME is in the best position. The further this low tracks se the better I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Despite my appreciation for Kevin's optimism I feel like this is a 2-4" deal here and anywhere W of ORH county rather than the 4-6" (6-8") on the BOX map. Agreed...I think I'd lean a bit more toward the 4" side...maybe some spot 6" amounts in N MA/S NH. Should be a nice little burst though later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdgraves Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 If that "jackpot" spot moves literally 5 miles up the coast it'll be an early finish at work today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Despite my appreciation for Kevin's optimism I feel like this is a 2-4" deal here and anywhere W of ORH county rather than the 4-6" (6-8") on the BOX map. Probably the best way to look at it at this point. It may develop too late for those on the S and W fringes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 follow the bouncing ball, pretty much what Will is saying, going to rip for a while ECCT To Maine http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/displayMapLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?keys=hrrr_jet:&runtime=2014021810&plot_type=allcref_t3sfc&fcst=00&time_inc=60&num_times=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=t3&adtfn=1&threshold=&attfn=-1&wjet=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Probably the best way to look at it at this point. It may develop too late for those on the S and W fringes.Feel like this has been the case for a couple days though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Feel like this has been the case for a couple days though Northeast has always looked better...but relative to what it looked like yesterday, you can probably shave the totals a bit on the southwest side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 pretty much as I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 according to HRRR the 1-2 per hour stuff gets into Boston at rush hour, that should be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Ironically, Boston may get more snow from this storm than what it got from the last two "big" storms... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 There is definitely a small shift NE and a bit of a later organization. Looks like SW ME FTW.That's what I thought the GFS did. Did other models do that too? Seems the NAM still held course no?Sent from my VS980 4G using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Radar looking better HRRR seems good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 HRRR and RAP are very similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Eastern mass crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 From Skywarn.... ..As of 730 AM, Snow is overspreading portions of Western Massachusetts and Northwest Connecticut and Southern New Hampshire should spread into eastern areas later this morning and midday today. Snow will be light during the morning and into the early afternoon hours and then the snow is expected to become heavy with 1" per hour snow rates possible in the warning and advisory areas prior to and during the evening commute before ending later in the evening. Thundersnow is also possible during the late afternoon and evening.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Eastern mass crusher. Wow...seems like the heavier stuff will be shifting away from this area and be more Eastern MA, and SE ME focused...sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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