Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 he tickled upYou beat me to it. Captures the models and associated meso features well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Harv has a big area of 3-6". 1-3" in SE Mass/cc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 The encouraging thing we have that wasn't modeled yesterday is this closing off @ 850 over SNE instead of east of us. Also, the further south track of the secondary originating over the Delmarva is good because it gives the storm a chance to mature. A few days ago it was over NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Pretty much agree on that. I would expand that 3-5 into part of worcester county, limiting 6 or so once you get to HubbDave and Whiteminster. But, that's pretty much noise. 4" for me 6" for you is what I'm feeling. Nice event, no surprises either direction here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 The euro was pretty cold actually. I'm already at 12F. Going to be a cold storm in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Nice...I'd probably extend the 6" up through SE NH though and reconnect it with the one in Maine. That seems to be a prime spot. I don't think we 6 down this way, maybe another 3-4; best banding ORH N&E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'm already at 12F. Going to be a cold storm in the interior.9.5F here. I wimped out for skiing, plus a sick kidRatios should be rather high I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 9.5F here. I wimped out for skiing, plus a sick kid Ratios should be rather high I think Wind made it brutal today. You will have better ratios than I with your elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I don't think we 6 down this way, maybe another 3-4; best banding ORH N&E You might sneak 6" if you can get into some really intense rates on the intial burst, I wouldn't rule that out...I do agree the chance for 6" is higher in N ORH county and up through NE MA and S NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Still skeptical down in sw ct. we might be between the primary slug of precip that falls apart and the secondary that pumps in lift to our NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Still skeptical down in sw ct. we might be between the primary slug of precip that falls apart and the secondary that pumps in lift to our NE. you never know. RGEM has been adamant that we see the goods, but in this setup, somewhere is going to get screwed - edit-the new NAM confirms your fear. .20 in BDR after close to .70 on the 12z run...short term models also killing this event for us...oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 NAM puts a little more focus on the Lakes Region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 NAM puts a little more focus on the Lakes Region. You'll do well. I bet I end with 5-6''...pretty good thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Over here its Foothills SW Maine to just east of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 You'll do well. I bet I end with 5-6''...pretty good thump.I think you jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Locked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Locked in. image.jpg Send it south, will ya? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 NAM sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Lol my TTs actually went up to 51 on the NAm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 This is going to be fun, Tstorm city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Is there still a lot of lightning to the SW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Some models like the ole 7-10 split wrt higher qpf wrt boston and 20 miles N and S B Irving is in a prime spot just west of MHT at 1k, went by that area today...nice snow pack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 18, 2014 Author Share Posted February 18, 2014 Nam seemed toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Do you guys have a link to the Albany map? Thanks! Here's a link to the BOX map with links to the surrounding offices on the map: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/StormTotalSnow/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 NAM sucks That it does, hope its wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 That it does, hope its wrong. Dendrite was all over, so I knew it sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Dendrite was all over, so I knew it sucked. It looks rather funky to me, cause 7h looks pretty good over ours heads. Wonder if the QPF fields are just playing games. Surface low track is not great though. Hey, at least its the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Ray, RGEM was really nice here but with a similar track. Fook the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 you never know. RGEM has been adamant that we see the goods, but in this setup, somewhere is going to get screwed - edit-the new NAM confirms your fear. .20 in BDR after close to .70 on the 12z run...short term models also killing this event for us...oh well. yea. its always looked like, to me at least, that the best stuff is from HFD towards northeast. never sold on mid level lows traversing east from Chicago that either pass overhead and or re-develop off LI. but i aint mad....just observing/learning from an awesome winter. I think 1-3" is a decent call for us. we cant jack in every system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Nam seemed toastyI'd hit it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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