CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 This will probably be another Shelton special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 This thing without a doubt is going to do screwy things...it just will. I almost see two max zones...one near the deformation area which may be western CT and up through the Berks and into nrn MA/SE NH....maybe another near the low and just inland with max low level convergence.that fits with Phil's map of 6 NW ct into w mass and the other Ne CT N Ri up to ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 that fits with Phil's map of 6 NW ct into w mass and the other Ne CT N Ri up to ORH More or less...but those things could move around by 10-20 miles. I'm thinking 2-3 at home...couple of flags for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 By PhilFebruary 17, 20140 CommentsRead More → Tuesday Snowfall Forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Pretty skeptical of a track taking such a sharp left at UUU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 +TSSNPL at CMI (Champaign, IL) and that PL could just be heavily rimed flakes. Good sign all around. Very colorful radar out there. It really blew up between DEC (where we have family, hence my interest) and CMI. ChrisR's map is a little less optimistic for the foothills than the initial GYX map's 4-6", though this one might not have such an abrupt cutoff, smaller system though it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Some lucky weenie spot may pull 10" in that AFN-CON-PWM corridor if the mesos are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Some lucky weenie spot may pull 10" in that AFN-CON-PWM corridor if the mesos are right. Convective appeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 Euros nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I'd like to see the euro a little juicier though, but it highlights the best areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I'd like to see the euro a little juicier though, but it highlights the best areas.I don't see a 0.50" contour on my maps, but it has to be pretty damn close in S NH. It would've been nice to see it ramp up a bit more, I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I don't see a 0.50" contour on my maps, but it has to be pretty damn close in S NH. It would've been nice to see it ramp up a bit more, I agree. They'll probably be some mesoscale stuff the globals won't pick up anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 I like the euros temperatures for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I don't see a 0.50" contour on my maps, but it has to be pretty damn close in S NH. It would've been nice to see it ramp up a bit more, I agree. I have one on the 13km version, mainly the Lakes Region. Tickles back down to CON though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 NMM is a weenie model. ARW I think is better...but IMO take with caution. They both have .75-1.00" qpf for SNH and SW ME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 You can tell where BOX thinks the axis of heaviest qpf will set up. Odd looking map though. Too soon for WWA's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 They both have .75-1.00" qpf for SNH and SW ME 8-10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 10" is too robust I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 8-10? If its right, Probably someone sees 12", But who knows if it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 10" is too robust I think. I was just thinking if there were 1" qpf at 10:1 ratios, 8-10 could potentially maybe happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Like i sad, I have no idea how it does, I don't usually follow this model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Well 3" in the last hour north of DVN from a former coworker. That'll do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Like i sad, I have no idea how it does, I don't usually follow this model I can safely say that 1" QPF will not be in my forecast today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Well 3" in the last hour north of DVN from a former coworker. That'll do. Impressive I can safely say that 1" QPF will not be in my forecast today. Well i have my answer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 This will probably be another Shelton special. Now you're playing with my emotions. I like inland folks from hartford to de maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Overcast Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 How far inland is inland with this system? 5 Miles or 20? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Like i sad, I have no idea how it does, I don't usually follow this model Im always leary with those maps that look like a print out from a-rod's polygraph tests. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 The 101 region of new hampshire into york and Cumberland counties Maine look really good. My old haunt like Jerry said will be a jackpot region in the Maine foothills. These types of systems tend to be really dynamic so somewhere south of those areas could be absolutely pasted. Cape ann maybe and down into northern fringes of 128. If all breaks right maybe BOS commute disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Man...don't let Kevin see the SPC WRF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Man...don't let Kevin see the SPC WRF.6-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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