dendrite Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 wagon's south. I've heard this song before......Huh? lolThat's another sweet NAM run. Even PF gets a little fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 there is no better than Walt Drag sniffing out this setup, sorry not an insult to anyone but his AFD two days ago was a classic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 NAM is pretty sweet. Should be awesome for a lot of people. Looks like a paste job here. At least for the coast and to TAN...the warming really gets going as this goes to town so lift helps offset it a bit..unlike last week when it really warmed prior to the big lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 nam is almost warning snows for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 there is no better than Walt Drag sniffing out this setup, sorry not an insult to anyone but his AFD two days ago was a classic. This was on every model though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Huh? lol That's another sweet NAM run. Even PF gets a little fun. He is using eeyore-ology rather than modelology... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 From the Lakes/Ohio Valley region thread on today's event. Not bad from Batavia, IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Looks like 4-6 hour period of heavier snows for SNE sandwiched around several hours of lighter stuff on either side. Maybe 5-8 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Huh? lol That's another sweet NAM run. Even PF gets a little fun. I know---I spoke before I saw everything. I'll temper enthusiasm until there's some agreement by other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 While I like the look of the NAM this run, remember just 3 days ago it was giving parts of the Cape 3" of precip... But the look is def what I want to see out of a fast mover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Hoping to get enough snow from this to minimize the overall snowpack loss that we will be experiencing through Sunday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 wagon's south. I've heard this song before...... It is actually an improvement for you Michael Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Hoping to get enough snow from this to minimize the overall snowpack loss that we will be experiencing through Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I know---I spoke before I saw everything. I'll temper enthusiasm until there's some agreement by other models. There is model agreement. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 LOL--not sure if that's a glass half-full or half-empty comment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 There is model agreement. lol As robust as the NAM's showing now?? This is what happens when one comes back from vacation and tries to catch up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Hoping to get enough snow from this to minimize the overall snowpack loss that we will be experiencing through Sunday...Friday is only potential big melt day and even that is very iffy. Cold front comes thru Fri pm and it's back in the 30's over the weekend with possible snow/ ice Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 This was on every model though. Dude even you were poo pooing it two days ago, no insult but every model did not have the dynamics that are really starting to show, sorry man. FWIW BDR on the Nam instability plus, TTs 44 Total Totals Index: 44.25 C Risk: Scattered moderate thunderstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 While I like the look of the NAM this run, remember just 3 days ago it was giving parts of the Cape 3" of precip... But the look is def what I want to see out of a fast mover Don't look at the qpf. Look at the 500/700/850mb levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Don't look at the qpf. Look at the 500/700/850mb levels. Potent Really wraps up well for a little system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Friday is only potential big melt day and even that is very iffy. Cold front comes thru Fri pm and it's back in the 30's over the weekend with possible snow/ ice Sunday It does look very iffy for NH. I'm not sure the warm front makes it that far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 This is pretty sweet. Strong vort plowing through Mass. H7 and H85 slightly closed off. A little Atlantic inflow with deep mid-level moisture and omega. Strong sfc convergence thanks to that mini sfc nuke. There isn't much to not like with that run up here unless you hate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 It does look very iffy for NH. I'm not sure the warm front makes it that far north.Not the right thread so I'll make it short, but the euro had 30s here 18Z Friday. An 18-00Z fropa would be best case scenario since the mixing/clearing at night would be more of a friend than foe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Dude even you were poo pooing it two days ago, no insult but every model did not have the dynamics that are really starting to show, sorry man. FWIW BDR on the Nam instability plus, TTs 44 Total Totals Index: 44.25 C Risk: Scattered moderate thunderstorms We had a big storm coming..I don't think it's worth sounding the alarms over....it was just a mention. Drag does like to get excited over 1-3" deals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Ginxy do you have a link to the W Drag disco Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Probably 2-5 region wide. Is this poo-pooing Ginxy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Hey did you see parts of western southern CT had an inch of snow last nite? Tomorrow looks like a day that is going to produce for most of New Eng LOL, dusting to half inch. OOOOHHH. C'mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Even down this way NAM has a quick-hiiter thump to maybe light rain/drizzle look. Freezing level ~1000ft so it's pretty low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 DGZ is up around H7, so yeah the low level lift isn't going to be ideal for areas south of the Pike it looks like. It's almost like a mini dry slot, if you want to think of it that way, that works through southern areas. Yeah you can see that we may struggle with snow growth for quite some time south of the Pike... but could put down a pretty impressive 1-2 hour window of snow when omega is deeper through the column. The GFS actually has the DGZ totally dried out for a window (NAM doesn't) so that could mess with thing. One thing I like for my viewing area is that boundary layer issues for the coast seem to have been wiped away on overnight runs. Some of those runs yesterday were a torch. Even GON may put down a couple inches. Probably a paste bomb for the valley/shore with us being isothermal around -1C for a good 100mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 What a nuke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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