OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Good stuff OceanStWx, Coastal, PV. OceanStWx, the gap between the Green spot and the Blue spot is critical. I think the Green dot was actually pretty well progged (ie., we thought maybe the Green dot would shift further east due to convection off Hatteras, but it didn't). The track looked pretty good until somewhere closer to the Blue dot when it started slipping more east of a BM track. Just from SPC mesoanalysis, I think this was around 6pm last night that the track started looking shaky, but I can't remember for sure. CoastalWx: The interaction with the shortwave in Quebec is something I was harping on yesterday and this morning... I wonder if a stronger ULL over Quebec would keep our storm tucked closer to the coast. Anyways, I'm out. Bottomline every single one of us was hoping this would be bigger. We wouldn't be so cranky if this busted high. I meant no disrespect to anyone with my posts, and none of my posts should be misconstrued as such. And as for weenie / knee-jerk / go to bed with false hopes... Look back at my posts prior to the Thursday storm... I was well on the "this is gonna bust" train, even when NWS still had Boston metro with 6-8" My goal is accuracy and learning, and disagreements are a healthy part of that. Keep in mind there is 5 hours between those two positions, a little longer than the previous center locations. I had to do it this way because as the low center skipped northeast, it became harder to determine which center was really dominant at the time. I think if the 20z (green) position had tucked a little more north we would have been in good shape farther NW, but instead it drifted east and the tuck happened outside the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FRWEATHA Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 8.5" total. Deep winter Yeah. I think 8.5 is a good call here in Fall River. Still have not had a double-digit storm here. But probably above for the season so far so not complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 The pwat theory is bogus IMHO. The reasons for the forecast errors are evident from the positioning of the system. Everything here was pedestrian including the wind. Cape got hit hard but even there it did not meet the hype of this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Very high impact traffic storm here yesterday. Had non accumulating snow from noon to 2, snow intensity increased, temp dropped from 35 to 31, visibility under 1/8 to mile, multiple accidents, congrats worker took 4.5 hrs to get home. I saw a dozen cars off the road. White knuckle commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Yeah. I think 8.5 is a good call here in Fall River. Still have not had a double-digit storm here. But probably above for the season so far so not complaining. Great winter. I haven't hit a foot yet either but I'm 15"+ above average Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Very high impact traffic storm here yesterday. Had non accumulating snow from noon to 2, snow intensity increased, temp dropped from 35 to 31, visibility under 1/8 to mile, multiple accidents, cf worker took 4.5 hrs to get home. I saw a dozen cats off the road. White knuckle commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 The pwat theory is bogus IMHO. The reasons for the forecast errors are evident from the positioning of the system. Everything here was pedestrian including the wind. Cape got hit hard but even there it did not meet the hype of this system.wind max being relative to LP placement. Could have been a contendah with blocking, as it is wind whipped blowing snow here. I guess the hype was worse there as around here peeps were surprised by the intensity of the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 toonces.jpglol could say saying from my youth but nah auto correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I replied to the Polar Vortex post here in the banter thread, didn't want to continue cluttering the obs thread but I feel it needs to be said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Overall, not quite what I was expecting to see, but a nice event nonetheless. This snow has staying power Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Measured 2" more after I cleared last night for a total of 10". Not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Here are a few shots from this morning as well as some non-snow shots in order to show comparisons (Obviously I've since taken the shaggy Hemlock trees down since prior to this winter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Here are a few shots from this morning as well as some non-snow shots in order to show comparisons (Obviously I've since taken the shaggy Hemlock trees down since prior to this winter) Nice pics, and excellent decision on the hemlocks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Some 1.5 mile obs coming out of that area of light snow in Pa/NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Beautiful Garth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Another. Nice crib. Is that a reproduction or an historic home with a newer wing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Surprised I didn't do the math myself, but an OCM in PWM just tweeted a fun fact. In Maine, Southwest Harbor 17.5", Union 5". That's a difference of a foot over 40 miles. High stakes stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Some 1.5 mile obs coming out of that area of light snow in Pa/NY Looks like we could get some mood flurries but nothing more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Nice pics, and excellent decision on the hemlocks! Yup. The few weeks of protection that we don't get now from the western sun in August was well worth deleting those eyesores Beautiful Garth Thanks, dude. Nice crib. Is that a reproduction or an historic home with a newer wing? 1780 main house and the part in back is somtime in the 1800's. Eitherway it is an oil guzzler. Roof raking this season FTL in order to prevent major ice daming. Been out there at least 5 times in the norhwest flat roof. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 White mountain - looking out from the inside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Binghamton..3/4 mile viz in snow right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Pretty sweet pack out there now. Looks awesome. Bryce approved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Flakes started flying. huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 60.25 FTY and that is about 12 above yearly climo Cool. I don't know why I thought climo was in the mid 50's here. 48" sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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