Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Dam mitch. that map makes an atari 2600 look like 1080p I'm 9 tenths out. If the euro sucks then back to the lr thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Dam mitch. that map makes an atari 2600 look like 1080p I'm 9 tenths out. If the euro sucks then back to the lr thread. hundred-mile wide pixels ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 euro another step backwards but still has some .1-.2 around the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 Awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Should be a fun event. Watching the huge amount of moisture on radar out west magically dry up as it heads towards us. Maybe some mood flakes for the morning commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 euro another step backwards but still has some .1-.2 around the area. Takes a negative tilt trof/vort north of us. That rockets the front through and then behind it we dry out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 lol is right, how could so many of us fall under the accumulating snow to mix to rain signals again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 18Z GFS says, 1", to maybe 2", with BWI at .17", DCA at .13" and IAD at .11" http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=045ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F18%2Fgfs_namer_045_precip_p12.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p12&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I'm in for an inch. Then torch phail followed by epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Hi-res nam .25 for MTN and near that for BWI. .2" for BWI on 4k NAM. Actually like the trends for I-95 east for a burst with this one as the coastal gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Hi-res nam .25 for MTN and near that for BWI. .2" for BWI on 4k NAM. Actually like the trends for I-95 east for a burst with this one as the coastal gets going. surprisingly (or not), 925 temps rise and peak when the max precip comes over at hr 36 and then cools again, but barely freezing, at hr 39, though surface and 850s are fine...go figure http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=036ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_036_925_temp_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=925_temp_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=L http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=039ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_039_925_temp_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=925_temp_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=L Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Pretty impressive max possibilities on the LWX winter page. I can't understand what that would be based on. One truth, however, is that we have come close to the "max" several time already this year. Even exceeded them a few times. I still don't see it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Silly LWX. My point and click shows 1-2 inches. Maybe they meant 1-2 flakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 surprisingly (or not), 925 temps rise and peak when the max precip comes over at hr 36 and then cools again, but barely freezing, at hr 39, though surface and 850s are fine...go figure http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=036ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_036_925_temp_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=925_temp_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=L http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=039ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F00%2Fnam_namer_039_925_temp_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=925_temp_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=L The precip doesn't really move over the DC/Baltimore corridor at 12z; it's done by then. Look at the 4 km NAM simulated reflectivity. It has a pretty impressive band crossing the area around 6z and then some lighter stuff behind it for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Gfs/nam give me between 1-2. I'm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Gfs/nam give me between 1-2. I'm in. RGEM is almost identical with the qpf distribution and amts as them too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Gfs/nam give me between 1-2. I'm in. I think I'm back in too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I think I'm back in too I set my bar at an inch a couple days ago. Just want to add to my total. I could care less if it's sunny and 95 tues afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 RGEM is almost identical with the qpf distribution and amts as them too Ah, just checked. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Silly LWX. My point and click shows 1-2 inches. Maybe they meant 1-2 flakes? Yeah, what the hell do they know? They got your phone number? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Yes. I called them earlier this winter to tell them that you Winchester guys were posting pics from 2010 and passing it off as snow from this winter Yeah, what the hell do they know? They got your phone number? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I guess this threat isn't high on many peoples list this morning -- anyways, Ava showed a swath of 1-3" for most of the Baltimore metro this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 6z GFS and NAM both look pretty similar and should be good for 1-2" for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I guess this threat isn't high on many peoples list this morning morningI'm surprised we aren't talking about this more. Should be a good 1-2" DC/Baltimore metro. I guess once you get KU'd, you get spoiled and 1-2" no longer deserves any mention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 I'm surprised we aren't talking about this more. Should be a good 1-2" DC/Baltimore metro. I guess once you get KU'd, you get spoiled and 1-2" no longer deserves any mention. I'd like to break 60", so I'm pulling for at least .25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Check out those bands of snow about to hit Chicago, I think tomorrow AM will have bands like that for short periods of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 NAM Hi res sim radar looks decent. Congrats 95 and East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Check out those bands of snow about to hit Chicago, I think tomorrow AM will have bands like that for short periods of time The vortmax is going south of Chicago. Big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 NAM Hi res sim radar looks decent. Congrats 95 and East. hires_snow_acc_washdc_10.png If I get more than Leestonburg ravensrule told me he will leave the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 06z RGEM looks pretty similar to the 4km NAM. 2-4" with the higher amounts east. edit - meteogram says 0.35" all snow at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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