aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I enjoyed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Measured .25 here, just prior to sunrise. And it's already history on any surface touched by the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I enjoyed it Deck picks or it didn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Got a total of 5 ice pellets and like 3 flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I enjoyed it Me too. It's a nice way to go into a mild'ish pattern. Hopefully we get some melting before Friday's summer'ish thunder deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Got .9" on average from 6 measurements of snow topped with shredded styrofoam cooler. I'm calling it an inch and going home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Got .9" on average from 6 measurements of snow topped with shredded styrofoam cooler. I'm calling it an inch and going home. The rest of the 5-6" sneak attack is sneaking still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 The rest of the 5-6" sneak attack is sneaking still. It could have snuck up and robbed my beer fridge last night. I slept like a granite boulder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I haven't checked the rest of the thread, but was I the only one that heard thunder when that heavy line went through around 12:30AM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 The rest of the 5-6" sneak attack is sneaking still. but...but...models don't know what to do when [insert meteorological term] runs into [insert random barometric pressure]..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Thats about what I got. Lotta graupel to boot Me too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 but...but...models don't know what to do when [insert meteorological term] runs into [insert random barometric pressure]..... This has been a good winter for the snowy forecasters.. almost 09-10esque up north which is probably why JB2 is having a strong year. But I don't completely get where these giant surprise ideas come from. As far as I can tell that doesn't really happen much anymore.. though Dec 8 reminded us it can I guess.. or reminded PHL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 This has been a good winter for the snowy forecasters.. almost 09-10esque up north which is probably why JB2 is having a strong year. But I don't completely get where these giant surprise ideas come from. As far as I can tell that doesn't really happen much anymore.. though Dec 8 reminded us it can I guess.. or reminded PHL. I feel it coming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I feel it coming... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 This has been a good winter for the snowy forecasters.. almost 09-10esque up north which is probably why JB2 is having a strong year. But I don't completely get where these giant surprise ideas come from. As far as I can tell that doesn't really happen much anymore.. though Dec 8 reminded us it can I guess.. or reminded PHL. even as NWP improves they'll be small "surprises" -- low qpf / high ratio clippers will always be "surprise" material or like Dec 8 which was a smaller regional impact storm -- the idea that'll we'll continue to see high-impact "surprises" is probably wrong going forward -- can't have both: improved NWP and "surprise" storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 even as NWP improves they'll be small "surprises" -- low qpf / high ratio clippers will always be "surprise" material or like Dec 8 which was a smaller regional impact storm -- the idea that'll we'll continue to see high-impact "surprises" is probably wrong going forward -- can't have both: improved NWP and "surprise" storms yeah that's true on the clippers etc. busting to 6" last night would be a pretty big bust given the qpf forecasts and is pretty much wishcasting.. dec 8 at least had the liquid to work with that was more of a bust on location/intensity of banding. i think also this again shows that the euro usually owns most everything else even in the really short range. DC had pretty good consensus for .2-.35" liquid midday yesterday apparently and didn't come close. even 12z ended up too wet though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 yeah that's true on the clippers etc. busting to 6" last night would be a pretty big bust given the qpf forecasts and is pretty much wishcasting.. dec 8 at least had the liquid to work with that was more of a bust on location/intensity of banding. i think also this again shows that the euro usually owns most everything else even in the really short range. DC had pretty good consensus for .2-.35" liquid midday yesterday apparently and didn't come close. even 12z ended up too wet though. yeah -- last night was not really in the category where you could squeeze 4 or 5 inches out of 0.2 liquid (although it was a very interesting event wrt crystal size/composition..) -- that's a good point about the euro -- seems foolish to see people discount in the short range and usually for odd logic -- how a model can be best in the medium range and poor in the short range is a bit baffling to me (good medium range forecasts start with smaller errors early in the forecast cycle), but that seems to be the weenie logic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I haven't checked the rest of the thread, but was I the only one that heard thunder when that heavy line went through around 12:30AM? Someone else from Balto reported thundersnow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I got 1.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Symblized Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I haven't checked the rest of the thread, but was I the only one that heard thunder when that heavy line went through around 12:30AM? mitchnick, I reported TSSN around that time. I only personally witnessed one flash followed by thunder, but it was clearly thunder and lightning and not a blowing transformer or anything else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Bad forecast for JB2. I think he had some areas with 3-5. Looks like 2 was the max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Considering I got an inch and you need this kind of stuff to stats pad, seemed like an okay event to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I got 1.5". Wow, low for you. I was expecting a 3-5" report from Mt. Westminster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 all of the usual jackpot spots came in low....Sparky 1.5, mappy 1.5, crazzyblizz 1.75 and the glen rock poster at 2. Wow, low for you. I was expecting a 3-5" report from Mt. Westminster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 all of the usual jackpot spots came in low....Sparky 1.5, mappy 1.5, crazzyblizz 1.75 and the glen rock poster at 2. but still higher than everyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Naturally, yes. Although I think I saw some reports around Baltimore of 1.5. but still higher than everyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I think HighStakes said he picked up 2.5" in Manchester. That's the highest I've seen so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Considering I got an inch and you need this kind of stuff to stats pad, seemed like an okay event to me. stats padding is still important right now....it is less important on say 3/10 than in a winter when you are sitting on 5"...If we have a 0.5" event on 3/14, I am going to care much less about padding though I will still care...I'm still chasing 3"+ events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 stats padding is still important right now....it is less important on say 3/10 than in a winter when you are sitting on 5"...If we have a 0.5" event on 3/14, I am going to care much less about padding though I will still care...I'm still chasing 3"+ events I sure don't mind chasing the larger events god knows, was just noting that even a "bust" of 1" (or even a 1/2" in your case) helps raise totals. In past years, a bust of that type of system would have been no flakes at all... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 mitchnick, I reported TSSN around that time. I only personally witnessed one flash followed by thunder, but it was clearly thunder and lightning and not a blowing transformer or anything else. There was a single flash and boom SW of Clarksburg last night just before midnight. I posted the DC LMA image for it a few pages back. Seems to line up timing and storm track-wise for your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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