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Lol Monday night sneaky event


Ji

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Dews are still super low, actually lower than earlier. That may take some time to erode.  NAM hi res also has the nice band pushing through around midnight. It's way off on initial dew points around here tho.

 

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if it thumps like the sim/rads seem to show, I don't think dp will be a problem

yeah maybe not. the euro seems to have a better handle on sfc dews.. as does the HRRR.  The HRRR is pretty lame though. it may not matter.. it's just quite dry at current.

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The NAM has backed off some so I think we're OK.  I might have put the 1-3 towards Baltimore but think the map is OK . 

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The NAM has backed off some so I think we're OK.  I might have put the 1-3 towards Baltimore but think the map is OK . 

Both Rap(2) and HRRR don't really do much with the first batch until it pushes east of DC and even there not a lot .  If the NAM is wrong on that being potent it's a pretty weak solution.  We do a lot of around 1" here in similar type of events.. I'll treat anything else as bonus. Good chance I miss the good stuff.

 

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