Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 On 2/15/2014 at 10:06 PM, stormtracker said: I'm fine with the GFS. Yea, me too. My personal bar is 1" on cold ground and streets. 2" would pretty pretty solid. Anything over that is an over performer considering it's pure luck that we have an airmass supportive of snow with the lp track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Pretty good ratios? 0.3->4.5inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 No. On 2/15/2014 at 10:17 PM, peribonca said: Pretty good ratios? 0.3->4.5inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 On 2/15/2014 at 10:17 PM, peribonca said: Pretty good ratios? 0.3->4.5inches? No... more like 8:1 SR... 10:1 at most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Quick scan. Correct if wrong 12z euro .45 18z gfs .31 18z nam .15+/- 12z gem .80 12z jma .80+/- Ukmet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 On 2/15/2014 at 11:00 PM, Bob Chill said: Quick scan. Correct if wrong 12z euro .45 18z gfs .31 18z nam .15+/- 12z gem .80 12z jma .80+/- Ukmet? 12z UKIE -- 0.15-0.20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 1"-4" will be gone by the end of the week, so it's a no lose proposition more importantly, it's another event to follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 On 2/15/2014 at 7:30 PM, HighStakes said: This could be a classic system/event preceding a warm up. Exactly what I was thinking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 On 2/15/2014 at 11:00 PM, Bob Chill said: Quick scan. Correct if wrong 12z euro .45 18z gfs .31 18z nam .15+/- 12z gem .80 12z jma .80+/- Ukmet? Those numbers seem high to me for the most part. Certainly GGEM is nowhere remotely close to 0.8. 0.35-0.4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 On 2/15/2014 at 11:23 PM, zwyts said: Those numbers seem high to me for the most part. Certainly GGEM is nowhere remotely close to 0.8. 0.35-0.4". Yea, I'm not sure what the heck I was looking at with the gem. It's .35-40 as you said. 18z nam is .08 in dc. .15 line starts in howard county. GFS and Euro are from the high res close in panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I'm half out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I'm mostly in with a side order of out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I'm half in. Maybe 3/4 in after 0Z tonight. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/16/2014 at 12:11 AM, MDstorm said: I'm half in. Maybe 3/4 in after 0Z tonight. MDstorm 5/8 for me...Hey MDstorm, are you anywhere close to Long Corner Rd? I'm about 1.5mi from the MoCo/HoCo line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 I'm all in. Why not? Already a great winter. So let's get our gamble on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/16/2014 at 12:23 AM, jnis said: 5/8 for me...Hey MDstorm, are you anywhere close to Long Corner Rd? I'm about 1.5mi from the MoCo/HoCo line. I'm about 4 miles east of Long Corner Road in Northwestern HoCo (3 miles south of Carroll County line). Nice winter so far in these parts. Hopefully more to come before Spring. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/16/2014 at 12:45 AM, MDstorm said: I'm about 4 miles east of Long Corner Road in Northwestern HoCo (3 miles south of Carroll County line). Nice winter so far in these parts. Hopefully more to come before Spring. MDstorm No doubt about the winter...beautiful country where you are...some of my favorite "clear my head drives" are in your neck of the woods. I frequent the Orchard near you...the name escapes me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/15/2014 at 9:10 PM, Highzenberg said: I know you guys hate Philadelphians, but at least we can join together & hate New Yorkers. I'm jealous of Boston right now looking at the radar. Boston proper looks ok but not great.. Cape looks to get slammed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/15/2014 at 11:58 PM, Ian said: I'm half out The bottom half? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/15/2014 at 10:06 PM, stormtracker said: I'm fine with the GFS. 6 day weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/16/2014 at 12:57 AM, Yeoman said: Boston proper looks ok but not great.. Cape looks to get slammedI was just looked jealously at the radar on the cape. Some beautiful banding starting to set up out there. Storms looks a little east for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/16/2014 at 12:59 AM, Yeoman said: 6 day weekend? It's never enough, is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 GFS has been deadly on northern stream systems. I think we are in for a 2-4 type event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 Nam improved .15-.20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/16/2014 at 2:39 AM, Bob Chill said: Nam improved .15-.20 Can't wait till we get in nam range in about 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/16/2014 at 2:41 AM, Ji said: Can't wait till we get in nam range in about 48 hours Yea, plenty of time to get to .01 - .02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/16/2014 at 2:39 AM, Bob Chill said: Nam improved .15-.20 The QPF did but the vort and low tracking to our north usually isn't great for us. We do have some confluence up to the north that sort of kills the low but it's a funny looking system but it is coming in at the right time of day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/16/2014 at 2:47 AM, usedtobe said: The QPF did but the vort and low tracking to our north usually isn't great for us. We do have some confluence up to the north that sort of kills the low but it's a funny looking system but it is coming in at the right time of day Sim. radar looks like a squall line. Reminds me of a quick hitting powerful warm front that essentially ended the good period in 87 after the two storms. Some areas got 2-4 inches in a 1-2 whiteout. Most areas got 1-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 On 2/16/2014 at 2:47 AM, usedtobe said: The QPF did but the vort and low tracking to our north usually isn't great for us. We do have some confluence up to the north that sort of kills the low but it's a funny looking system but it is coming in at the right time of dayIt's definitely a goofy way fo get snow. If the wave spacing wasn't so tight it would be rain for sure. Kinda lucky with the fresh cold hp hanging on and overnight period. We could be good for a quick 1-3. Hard to think much upside unless the vorts digs. Kinda short lead. Non American models seem to wait to dig it further south. It's a bonus event so if it goes to heck I won't lose much sleep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 wxbell snow maps for the NAM look like 1-2 for DC north. Could be a random 3" in a favored location. I'm intrigued even though I know I probably am just getting my hopes up for nothing..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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