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2/15 Obs Thread


jm1220

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Radar blossoming in Central Jersey. Back up to moderate snow here. Would love to add 1-2" to our 1" new snow. One mistake people constantly make when looking at the radar is assuming that they have to rely on precip they "see" on the map moving to their area, somehow, for them to get that precip. No! Precipitation can often simply "form" in bands over an area, where there was no precip before, as the upper level conditions (especially lift) become more favorable for snow growth. That's what is going on now throughout the area as the low intensifies and interacts with those energetic jet streaks. Sometimes people need a little patience.

 

Moderate snow for the last 45 minutes or so has put down another 1/2", bringing us to 1.5" of new snow today. With temps at 32F and the sun angle much lower, snow is accumulating well on paved surfaces now, also - up to about 3/4" on my asphalt driveway. Things looking very nice right now. Those guys at the NWS kind of know what they're doing, lol.

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It's gonna swing out your way eventually

save for February blizzard on LI. seems almost every coastal storms hit NYC/NJ/HV and SWCT no matter what models say at times. not saying for this storm but for others the past decade

 

when I talk to some of my friends at work I say if I bet $100 that those areas would get hit the hardest i'd be making the $100 back more than losing it by far.

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save for February blizzard on LI. seems almost every coastal storms hit NYC/NJ/HV and SWCT no matter what models say at times.

There are definitely tendencies for some locations to see certain factors more than others such as the TSSN factor across northern NJ from EWR TEB into LGA but not so much at JFK...the placement of the Gulf Stream and where lows like to track can influence where heavy bands setup more often in storms

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