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2/15 Obs Thread


jm1220

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better chance for a more organized, increased snowfall for coastal sections? looks like it

Will see how the upper levels progress. Even though the nam/gfs had a weaker storm with it's 6z run at hr 6; The upper level features are matching up pretty well with the current observations.

 

NAM at hr. 6(12z)

 

f06.gif 

 

 

 

Current 500 mb feature

 

500mb.gif?1392470726412

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Its 33 in belle mead already...this storm will have issues imby

Look at the 850`s and try to understand what happens when precip rates increase later .

 

Monmouth County should finish with 3 to 4 , But you seem to be in a bad spot with all these systems  .

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As in earlier development, yes.

 

The system so far would seem to be west of where most models suggested it would be yesterday because the snow hole is west of where all guidance suggested as well as the WAA snow band inland, its overall 50-75 miles west on both areas of snow compared to where it was depicted 24 hours out.

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