SACRUS Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I got 3-4" from that one in Brooklyn... looked like a general 2 - 4 from that one. Unc what street is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Won't the temps be warm though, my forecast high is 43 for Tuesday with showers. Wherever you are getting that forecast from, I would stop looking for weather information there. The high on Tuesday will be in the low to mid 30's in East Brunswick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Milford Highlander Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Yrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I think that includes QPF from today's event. Still looks like 0.50-0.75" though Closer to the higher range probably. Yeah, it does, but I would say this looks like around .75 to me looking at it on SV. It is very much in line with the Canadian and Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Wherever you are getting that forecast from, I would stop looking for weather information there. The high on Tuesday will be in the low to mid 30's in East Brunswick. I looked at weather.com http://www.weather.com/weather/5-day/East+Brunswick+NJ+USNJ0125:1:US Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I looked at weather.com http://www.weather.com/weather/5-day/East+Brunswick+NJ+USNJ0125:1:US I don't look at them because I do my own weather forecasts. People tell me though that when I was forecasting 10-20 inches in Northern New Jersey the other day, at the same time they were forecasting 1-3 inches of snow accumulations mixed with rain. Just saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 NAM just took a pretty big leap towards the wetter guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 NAM just took a pretty big leap towards the wetter guidance. It shows light snow to rain though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Shows high of 43 for coastal Monmouth.. Looks like rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 It shows light snow to rain though. Nam in the long range. It def took a big step towards the globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Shows high of 43 for coastal Monmouth.. Looks like rainDude, stop trolling every thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Nam in the long range. It def took a big step towards the globals. Seeing the NAM has not been terribly far north with this at this range I still think it's possible a jackpot south of NYC may happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Shows high of 43 for coastal Monmouth.. Looks like rain It's the NAM late in its range. It means absolutely nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keith O Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 From latest PHL AFD: LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...A STRONG SHORTWAVE DRIVES EASTWARD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY 170 12 HR HFC WITHNEGATIVE TILT...STRONG WAA WITH VERY GOOD SNOW GROWTH FOR SEVERALHOURS (-14C 600MB) IN THE 06Z-18Z TIME FRAME SUGGESTS A WIDESPREADSNOW ADVISORY I95 NORTHWARD INCLUDING MONMOUTH COUNTY AND POTENTIALFOR A WARNING EVENT OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IN SOME PLACES NEAR ANDNORTH OF I78. SUB FREEZING PROFILES ALREADY IN PLACE AT THESTART. SMALL CHC SNOW ENDS AS RAIN AT DAYBREAK SOUTH OF KPHLCOASTAL SECTIONS OCEAN COUNTY SOUTHWARD THROUGH SE NJ AND THESOUTH PART OF DELAWARE.AM EXPECTING THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTEDWITH AT BEST...DELAYS ACROSS E PA AND MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Does everyone realize what day Monday is? Lol . You know it will snow because of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Does everyone realize what day Monday is? Lol . You know it will snow because of that. PRESIDENTS DAY! mother nature missed the memo to make an epic blizzard though, shes teasing us with this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 What i dont get is almost every storm people bring up a pd analog or reference and now the models are slowly bringing a decent amount of moisture late monday into tues. Not one person in the philly or NY forum mentioned that Monday was presidents day. Pretty hilarious. Especially yanksfan. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 From latest PHL AFD: LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...A STRONG SHORT WAVE DRIVES EASTWARD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY 170 12 HR HFC WITH NEGATIVE TILT...STRONG WAA WITH VERY GOOD SNOW GROWTH FOR SEVERAL HOURS (-14C 600MB) IN THE 06Z-18Z TIME FRAME SUGGESTS A WIDESPREAD SNOW ADVISORY I95 NORTHWARD INCLUDING MONMOUTH COUNTY AND POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING EVENT OF 5 TO 10 INCHES IN SOME PLACES NEAR AND NORTH OF I78. SUB FREEZING PROFILES ALREADY IN PLACE AT THE START. SMALL CHC SNOW ENDS AS RAIN AT DAYBREAK SOUTH OF KPHL COASTAL SECTIONS OCEAN COUNTY SOUTHWARD THROUGH SE NJ AND THE SOUTH PART OF DELAWARE. AM EXPECTING THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE TO BE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED WITH AT BEST...DELAYS ACROSS E PA AND MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN NJ. Excellent discussion - whole thing is worth a read... http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Excellent discussion - whole thing is worth a read...http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off What I'm reallly liking is the .75 falling falling through potentially minus 10 air. It would be amazing if we pulled off another double digit Snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 What I'm reallly liking is the .75 falling falling through potentially minus 10 air. It would be amazing if we pulled off another double digit Snowfall Pauly will that get us in Monmouth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Pauly will that get us in Monmouth?Yes bud. Will have to wait for Sunday to throw accumulations. That's the earliest I've seen an office put numbers out Like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Yes bud. Will have to wait for Sunday to throw accumulations. That's the earliest I've seen an office put numbers out Like that. Just hope we get in on heaviest as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Shows high of 43 for coastal Monmouth.. Looks like rainBud. Could you please post in the banter thread. I don't think you know what you are looking at and its hard to read through . You should not be in a threat thread . At 66 850s are minus 8. The surface is in the upper 20s At 69 they are minus 2 for u at the coast. The surface at the coast ticks above 35 its 3 days out on the NAM and with SWFE its not uncommon to end as drizzle while most of you're snow has already fallen The entire 12 z was colder aloft and at the surface Please stop posting you're stuff here and stay in the banter. It's not helpful to the discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 The 18z gfs is not as enthused about this, probably an inch or two. It's a northern stream disturbance so I would think the gfs might be the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Bud. Could you please post in the banter thread. I don't think you know what you are looking at and its hard to read through . You should not be in a threat thread . At 66 850s are minus 8. The surface is in the upper 20s At 69 they are minus 2 for u at the coast. The surface at the coast ticks above 35 its 3 days out on the NAM and with SWFE its not uncommon to end as drizzle while most of you're snow has already fallen The entire 12 z was colder aloft and at the surface Please stop posting you're stuff here and stay in the banter. It's not helpful to the discussion this threat wasn't really on my radar per say but it looks like maybe another 6-10 inch event for NYC/NJ and LI to end as drizzle with the WAA towards the end. liking this now and think it is trending in the right direction paul. no worries paul I wont do a PbP with accumulated QPF anytime soon, I shot the **** in this storms thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 The 18z gfs is not as enthused about this, probably an inch or two. It's a northern stream disturbance so I would think the gfs might be the way to go. Why are you always so negative? It's an 18z run enough said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 this threat wasn't really on my radar per say but it looks like maybe another 6-10 inch event for NYC/NJ and LI to end as drizzle with the WAA towards the end. liking this now and think it is trending in the right direction paul. no worries paul I wont do a PbP with accumulated QPF anytime soon, I shot the **** in this storms thread I really like this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Why are you always so negative? It's an 18z run enough said So that means we get to completely dismiss it? I'm sure we'll get something but I doubt it'll be too significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 So that means we get to completely dismiss it? I'm sure we'll get something but I doubt it'll be too significant. Euro and Canadian are on board for a significant event. That's a hard alliance to beat. The way this winter is going, anything is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I really like this one. I really like spring right now. one huge thing we can take away from this winter when she finally decides to head back north till the end of this year is we made the absolute most of what any met would see was crappy teleconnectors. we had great timed transient blocking and poleward -EPO that really kept the snow chances plentiful from start to finish this winter. who would have thought many of us would be able to approach 95'-96' snowfall seasonal totals in a winter pattern like that compared to what we've had this year which was basically not really all that condusive for the seasonal totals we've accumulated so far. that said this threat has moderate-moderate/major impact for the PHL-NYC-LI area for Tuesday, you've been pretty damn good this year in pointing out the threats and great basis to support said threats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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