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Tuesday over running event


Mitchel Volk

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Look like a decent 2"-4" over running snow event for Tuesday morning. This is looking to be the last snow event for the short term. Giving a chance of NYC getting just shy of 60" so far this season.

The models hav trended colder w the system with about .3 so far through minus 6 air and sitting w 60 in colts neck

Don't think 8 to 10 between todays system combined with Tuesdays are impossible so we many get really close to the 70 mark and if we r shy. We get there last week of Feb or first week in March. Think the cold is just reloading

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The models hav trended colder w the system with about .3 so far through minus 6 air and sitting w 60 in colts neck

Don't think 8 to 10 between todays system combined with Tuesdays are impossible so we many get really close to the 70 mark and if we r shy. We get there last week of Feb or first week in March. Think the cold is just reloading

The cold may be reloading, but we are also going to be starting to fight climo, as our average high temps goes up a degree every 5-6 days and the sun angle increases.

 

So we may get colder than normal temps, but I do not think it will be that bitter cold we saw a couple weeks ago.

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The cold may be reloading, but we are also going to be starting to fight climo, as our average high temps goes up a degree every 5-6 days and the sun angle increases.

 

So we may get colder than normal temps, but I do not think it will be that bitter cold we saw a couple weeks ago.

You may not see cold like that for 5 years . Very rare stretch

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Just north of NYC looks to make out well on this event according. To the GGEM

 

The trof dipping into the Upper Midwest tends to allow NYC to do better on these sort of events than they usually do in these SW flow type systems...if you look at some of the best SWFEs here alot have that shallow trof into the NRN Rockies, Pac NW or Upper Midwest....the reason is likely that it forces the wave to dampen out vs. intensifying and possible ending up more north which is more likely with ridging out west.

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Won't the temps be warm though, my forecast high is 43 for Tuesday with showers.

You have to do a little more work than look at some computer driven number you are pulling off a point and click map

NYC hour 72 850`s are minus 4 surface is 32 - 33  hour 80 the 850`s are minus 5 and the surface is 30 .

By then .7 has fallen

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