40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Sure, but at this point, raise your hand if you haven't heard his point of view. He was redundant and obsessive, but I think that: 1) He can't stand the fact that some ignore negative trends, so he continues to slam it down the throats of those in denial. 2) Like anyone else, he loves to champion an idea that benefits his BY, especially when he truly believes it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 He was redundant and obsessive, but I think that: 1) He can't stand the fact that some ignore negative trends, so he continues to slam it down the throats of those in denial. 2) Like anyone else, he loves to champion an idea that benefits his BY, especially when he truly believes it. Yeah I think he fears the taint.For the record, I don't even necessarily think he's definitely wrong...Boston will be fine, it could be a very big bust west of orh. It's just a bit intense for pleasurable reading and conversation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Disagree...many were calling for a big bust in E MA early that day when it was not coming down hard and Boston was light rain even back to Jerry's hood. Maybe you weren't personally, but go back and read the thread. Once the omega came in, it went crazy like predicted. And 8-10" amounts were widespread in the BOS metro-west suburbs. The deformation area was a lost cause by 30 hours before the event for eastern areas (central/western areas were still in question) The front end thump did bust further south down near Taunton. Ok, I wasn't....but I was slammed at work, thus I was reading the thread very attentively. Anyway, I can see why some would panic when it flipped to rain early on, I was speaking more of the lead up, and the whole forecasting evolution. I think what was more reprehensible was ignoring blatant trends to hold it west, which many did. Most of us originally thought that the EURO was too amped, but I think is had started to become pretty clear late Monday night, and definitely by the 12z suite on Tuesday that that was not the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 For the record, I went 3-6" inside of 128...the 3" obviously along the immediate coast, near Boston, which worked out quite well. Like Harv, the gradient was sharper than I had envisioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 This is a page right out of the 2004-05 handbook. Sweet spot near the canal, and just nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 This is a page right out of the 2004-05 handbook. Sweet spot near the canal, and just nw. Enjoy your 6-9" new (20"+ pack) and move along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Snow has begun here, on are way to 8-10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Enjoy your 6-9" new (20"+ pack) and move along. Enjoy your 6-9" new (20"+ pack) and move along. Move along? It was merely an observation that this is jackpotting the same area (Carver) that got crushed in 2004-05, which was my 2nd favorite season. You move along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Move along? It was merely an observation that this is jackpotting the same area that got crushed in 2004-05 (Carver area), which was my 2nd favorite season. You move along. Yeah, even if I didn't have the option to head home into the city still a great storm around us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Yeah, even if I didn't have the option to head home into the city still a great storm around us. So many events in 2004-05 nailed that area just nw of the canal...some coops in there had like 117"...won't happen again in our lifetimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 I need to get home before the spot saver nazi's invade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Move along? It was merely an observation that this is jackpotting the same area that got crushed in 2004-05 (Carver area), which was my 2nd favorite season. You move along. Lol. Moving. Misunderstood your post. And yeah this smells of 04-05 (my favorite winter). Cweat/messenger/polar vortex deserves this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I need to get home before the spot saver nazi's invade Try not to get stabbed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 So many events in 2004-05 nailed that area just nw of the canal...some coops in there had like 117"...won't happen again in our lifetimes. Lived in Wareham that year. Unforgettable and never to be repeated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Lol. Moving. Misunderstood your post. And yeah this smells of 04-05 (my favorite winter). Cweat/messenger/polar vortex deserves this. Lol. Moving. Misunderstood your post. And yeah this smells of 04-05 (my favorite winter). Cweat/messenger/polar vortex deserves this. Yea, I wasn't complaining....just drawing a parallel. LOL No worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Try not to get stabbed.We pay 200 a month for a single spot four blocks from my house. Imagine that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Lol we worked hard setting up Backyard Monsters through three snowstorms at the Mashantucket Pequot Museum, need some thing to do with the kids Vacation week? Bring them down, let me know if you are coming if I am not slammed I will stop by and say hello. This is just a small part I just filmed, lol looks like Cweat, and this spider is for you Wiz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 We pay 200 a month for a single spot four blocks from my house. Imagine that? Take the ferry to ptown, crushing out there tonite Any mets comment on euro 850 low wrt atlantic inflow and or allignment stretched s to n or compact Scooter mentioned no ese 60knot inflow no sure what that means but i hope no one dont want to mention if the 850 low is stretched more s-n due to having to listen to a few posts of "panic" Im gonna let this play out as i learned my lesson last storm when 12z models went west and i cried about the front end thump needing to be reduced, i was wrong and that was a "panic post" or at least what i thought made sense but id like some feedback wrt wether 850 lows at 12z modeling were trending more comapact w better inflow or stretched , pretty please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Take the ferry to ptown, crushing out there tonite Any mets comment on euro 850 low wrt atlantic inflow and or allignment stretched s to n or compact Scooter mentioned no ese 60knot inflow no sure what that means but i hope no one dont want to mention if the 850 low is stretched more s-n due to having to listen to a few posts of "panic" Im gonna let this play out as i learned my lesson last storm when 12z models went west and i cried about the front end thump needing to be reduced, i was wrong and that was a "panic post" or at least what i thought made sense but id like some feedback wrt wether 850 lows at 12z modeling were trending more comapact w better inflow or stretched , pretty please I honestly don't even feel like traveling much for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I honestly don't even feel like traveling much for this one. It looks epic near the canal just epic w brutal sharp cutoffs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 It looks epic near the canal just epic w brutal sharp cutoffs Don't think it will be a brutal as you think. Nice widespread e ma snowfall. Jackpot might not be a tight area. Most of canal area and surrounding could see over a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Completely OT but euro is a snowy day Tuesday for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Just want to get this off my chest. There's a handful of folks that are masking overt and unrealistic pessimism and latching onto the worst modeled outcome which incidentally is from some of the worst performing models and try to mask it as being "objective". It's terrible analysis. That is all. And this isn't being "pro-snow" or "anti-snow". It seems some have a crazy neurosis about everything going wrong and they beat a dead horse with their worries by focusing on imaginary trends when reality is pretty obvious based on the best performing models as well as radar and current obs. Sorry for the rant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Completely OT but euro is a snowy day Tuesday for most of us. I debated starting up a thread for a medium probability for a short duration moderate burst. Could see it laying down 2-5" The GGEM has been gung-ho for that day, and the GFS is on and off. Heck, even the NAVGEM is onto it.... You may as well start a thread -- it'll garner attention when the current disappointment completes it's spiritual abuse of the collective --haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Just want to get this off my chest. There's a handful of folks that are masking overt and unrealistic pessimism and latching onto the worst modeled outcome which incidentally is from some of the worst performing models and try to mask it as being "objective". It's terrible analysis. That is all. And this isn't being "pro-snow" or "anti-snow". It seems some have a crazy neurosis about everything going wrong and they beat a dead horse with their worries by focusing on imaginary trends when reality is pretty obvious based on the best performing models as well as radar and current obs. Sorry for the rant. Wow, could not agree more. And no I'm not talking about you Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Just want to get this off my chest. There's a handful of folks that are masking overt and unrealistic pessimism and latching onto the worst modeled outcome which incidentally is from some of the worst performing models and try to mask it as being "objective". It's terrible analysis. That is all. And this isn't being "pro-snow" or "anti-snow". It seems some have a crazy neurosis about everything going wrong and they beat a dead horse with their worries by focusing on imaginary trends when reality is pretty obvious based on the best performing models as well as radar and current obs. Sorry for the rant. TBH, there is some of the opposite going on as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Completely OT but euro is a snowy day Tuesday for most of us.Yeah, really hits the three SNE states with 0.3-0.5" QPF. Naturally the 0.1" line is just south of this area. Even looks like NYC and PHL may get 0.5"-0.9" QPF. Man what an incredible winter for southern areas. Up here it seems this winter we get one storm for every three that happen in SNE, lol. Enjoy it while you got the pattern and rack it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 If we (Hillsborough NH) see a widespread 4-6" like the NWS says, I won't post again until April. Saved. Latest short range models... RAP says 3-6" HRRR is tighter and says 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 TBH, there is some of the opposite going on as well. Yup, there usually is, but I haven't seen all that much with this storm TBH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Does Phil just never post anymore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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