Whitelakeroy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 A tiny bit off topic but Google Maps updated its satellite view recently over Washington IL. Some incredible overlooking views of the damage, and then there is this https://maps.google.com/?ll=40.725568,-89.40455&spn=0.018766,0.027595&t=h&z=15 . You can see where the tornado went into the field northeast of the town and you can see where the individual vortices rotated around the parent circulation, just incredible imagery. That's pretty awesome from a Meteorological stand point. Thanks for sharing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 A tiny bit off topic but Google Maps updated its satellite view recently over Washington IL. Some incredible overlooking views of the damage, and then there is this https://maps.google.com/?ll=40.725568,-89.40455&spn=0.018766,0.027595&t=h&z=15 . You can see where the tornado went into the field northeast of the town and you can see where the individual vortices rotated around the parent circulation, just incredible imagery. That's pretty nuts, can see the wind rowing in some areas, especially crossing Wellington Drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 26, 2014 Author Share Posted March 26, 2014 bump Marginal risk across the far SW portion of the sub-forum for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Pattern looks like it may become increasingly supportive of severe weather in a portion of the subforum toward the middle of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 The key thing I'm noticing is the development of the eastern ULL around 72-120 hrs happens too late to cut off most of the return flow from the western Gulf of Mexico, this should ensure there is at least some instability available over some part of the central US when the trough ejects around this time next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Pattern looks like it may become increasingly supportive of severe weather in a portion of the subforum toward the middle of next week. Yeah the Euro was pretty incredible for the midweek system for next week. My interest is also what is behind it, I think that could be a bigger show for 10-15 days from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 I think that could be a bigger show for 10-15 days from now. Seeing a pretty good signal in that range with the new 12z Euro ensembles right now. That Pacific trough on the heels of next weeks system digs deep into the southern Plains with ridging in the East. Something to keep an eye on for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 27, 2014 Share Posted March 27, 2014 Seeing a pretty good signal in that range with the new 12z Euro ensembles right now. That Pacific trough on the heels of next weeks system digs deep into the southern Plains with ridging in the East. Something to keep an eye on for sure. Yeah the Euro had 110kt at 500mb and 170-180kt at 300mb diving into the backside of that later trough, those would be incredible kinematics for a winter storm let alone a spring storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 All I can say is it is nice to talk severe weather again on here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 FWIW, there is a Centra/Western medium range thread (with severe weather talk) and an "April 1-3 Severe Weather" thread on the Central/Western forum regarding this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 10, 2014 Author Share Posted April 10, 2014 bump. See text/slight risk-type event likely on Sat/Sun/Mon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 10, 2014 Share Posted April 10, 2014 bump. See text/slight risk-type event likely on Sun/Mon. I wouldn't sleep on Saturday with the warm front either, there is a see text for parts of the region already as well. Could be modestly interesting when originally this weekend had no convective chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 10, 2014 Author Share Posted April 10, 2014 I wouldn't sleep on Saturday with the warm front either, there is a see text for parts of the region already as well. Could be modestly interesting when originally this weekend had no convective chances. Forgot to add it originally...Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 Saturday actually looks like it could be fairly interesting in N IL and nearby areas. Forecast soundings look pretty decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 It will be interesting to see how things evolve as that weak area of low pressure moves along the front Saturday morning. Still not confident we reach the instability shown on the NAM, given the possible clouds. Edit: It doesn't help that the NAM shows dew points approaching 60, which probably won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 Surprised by the new day 2 outlook. I think you could easily make a case for a see text/slight risk extending farther east unless I'm missing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 It will be interesting to see how things evolve as that weak area of low pressure moves along the front Saturday morning. Still not confident we reach the instability shown on the NAM, given the possible clouds. Edit: It doesn't help that the NAM shows dew points approaching 60, which probably won't happen. GFS also has dew points near to slightly above 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 Surprised by the new day 2 outlook. I think you could easily make a case for a see text/slight risk extending farther east unless I'm missing something. New Day 2 shifted considerably east along the warm front. They make mention of all severe modes initially before the winds become parallel to the front. That last part actually leads to another issue, there is going to be a heavy rain issue with this system as well, we very well could see some training of storms from Saturday evening and into Sunday. Models are showing some places getting 2-3" of rain with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted April 11, 2014 Author Share Posted April 11, 2014 New Day 2 shifted considerably east along the warm front. They make mention of all severe modes initially before the winds become parallel to the front. That last part actually leads to another issue, there is going to be a heavy rain issue with this system as well, we very well could see some training of storms from Saturday evening and into Sunday. Models are showing some places getting 2-3" of rain with this event. The disco is pretty much a carbon copy of what the 4KM NAM shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 The disco is pretty much a carbon copy of what the 4KM NAM shows. I guess they finally realized that the GFS is going to be wrong and it won't be 60-65 tomorrow in northern IL/southern WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 New Day 2 shifted considerably east along the warm front. They make mention of all severe modes initially before the winds become parallel to the front. That last part actually leads to another issue, there is going to be a heavy rain issue with this system as well, we very well could see some training of storms from Saturday evening and into Sunday. Models are showing some places getting 2-3" of rain with this event. Kind of like where I sit right now. Hopefully this area will see some decent t-storm action late Saturday and Sunday. Though severe should be further west like the Day 2 shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 looking forward to some training and boomer action…best climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted April 11, 2014 Share Posted April 11, 2014 for you Chicago folks, I saw that the 4km NAM has a squall line at Chicago at 39 hours (03z). This may be able to feed off of CAPE around 1000-1500 J/kg (36 hour regular NAM forecast) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted April 12, 2014 Share Posted April 12, 2014 A morning severe warning in Northwest Illinois today: ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERNSTEPHENSON AND JO DAVIESS COUNTIES UNTIL 930 AM CDT...AT 838 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SCHAPVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...SCALES MOUND...SCHAPVILLE...WOODBINE...APPLE RIVER...WARREN...NORA...LENA...WINSLOW...APPLE CANYON LAKE...APPLE RIVER CANYON STATE PARK...WADDAMS GROVE...LAKE LEAQUANA STATE PARK...MC CONNELL...BUENAVISTA...ONECO AND ORANGEVILLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Doctor Posted April 12, 2014 Share Posted April 12, 2014 A few reports of mainly pea to quarter sized hail coming in from Jo Daviess county with that storm. The reissued the warning for Stephenson county due to this. There's also another warning just north of La Crosse for 60 mph winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 12, 2014 Share Posted April 12, 2014 Pouring here...hailing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 12, 2014 Share Posted April 12, 2014 We had crazy winds move through...super dark and now its raining/lightning/hailing... best storms since last summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 12, 2014 Share Posted April 12, 2014 Pea size hail in Belvidere with the more organized cell not yet here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 12, 2014 Share Posted April 12, 2014 We had crazy winds move through...super dark and now its raining/lightning/hailing... best storms since last summer. It looks like you will be in storms for a while. Where do you live in relation to the interstate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 12, 2014 Share Posted April 12, 2014 I live very close to I90... just north of La Crosse. That was an insane downpour...front yard is full of water...and that rarely happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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