FLweather Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Whatever is going to happen will happen. It doesn't matter if there is a thread now or later on. Might as well have one since it's about a week out and the threat is there. The point being... the pattern is favorable... Not game set. You haven't even been around to know whats going on. Even if you were still walking around in the dark like a blind person bc you dont look at models. Just bc you come in here see a euro map that show snow for raleigh doesn't mean its going to happen. The 12z is different from 0z. Just like the gfs. IMO you're way too gun ho on starting a thread where the possibility still may not exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'm never in a rush so to speak. Just a pride thing verifying past day 5 but even this weenie wouldn't pull the trigger yet Haha, I know. Just generalizing. The last threat was very consistently modeled (surprisingly so) and had a LOT of ensemble support at long leads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Lol no. I'm not in NC or rooting for a snowstorm.I'm not on board yet! Apparently , the GFS was close today, but I need a few more runs from both models, before I board the Brick shortbus through he:l,I mean Waycross ! We need a NW trend Stat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'll tell you what CR, if that march thing happens by a miracle from above, I'll send you some kind of door prize Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'm just gonna remind you guys. The euro gave me 16.5 inches of virtual snow 12 hours before start time of the last storm. I only got 7, which I was perfectly happy with. But I think as we watch the models this week nobody should get caught up in exact details. Meteorology is an inexact science, no model, no matter how well it performs on a broad scale can determine correctly exact amounts on a local level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 The point being... the pattern is favorable... Not game set. You haven't even been around to know whats going on. Even if you were still walking around in the dark like a blind person bc you dont look at models. Just bc you come in here see a euro map that show snow for raleigh doesn't mean its going to happen. The 12z is different from 0z. Just like the gfs. IMO you're way too gun ho on starting a thread where the possibility still may not exist. Maybe. But not sure what the harm is. If it doesn't happen, it doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I'll tell you what CR, if that march thing happens by a miracle from above, I'll send you some kind of door prize Outback gift card FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Maybe. But not sure what the harm is. If it doesn't happen, it doesn't happen. Again.... there has not been enough consistency to jump all in to start a thread. Thats probably why no else has. duh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Anyone know a location I can find out more about the Feb 24th 1989 storm that hit at least eastern NC, we had quite a bit here in Greenville and I seem to recall the NE corner of the state getting like 12-18", we had to have had 8-12" here but I cant seem to find anything about it anywhere....found some old pictures of it that I have to get scanned in but it snowed enough to fill 3 ft deep ditches to the point you couldnt see them. Then in Dec that year we had Dec 23rd 1989 hit so Jan 1 to Dec 31 is prolly the snowiest calender year we have ever had here. Surprised RAH doesnt have it on their past events page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I don't get the point of rushing to start a thread...it's not like you predicted the storm or anything, so why is it a contest? I don't think I've ever started a storm thread, actually I'll go on record that I haven't and I don't plan to ever do so. Just don't see the attraction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Downeast http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rah/events/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepSouthSC Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Anyone know a location I can find out more about the Feb 24th 1989 storm that hit at least eastern NC, we had quite a bit here in Greenville and I seem to recall the NE corner of the state getting like 12-18", we had to have had 8-12" here but I cant seem to find anything about it anywhere....found some old pictures of it that I have to get scanned in but it snowed enough to fill 3 ft deep ditches to the point you couldnt see them. Then in Dec that year we had Dec 23rd 1989 hit so Jan 1 to Dec 31 is prolly the snowiest calender year we have ever had here. Surprised RAH doesnt have it on their past events page. I've been looking for that particular storm, as well. Several years ago, I mistakenly found a link to that particular storm. I haven't been able to find anything on it during the few times I've actually looked for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Downeast http://www.erh.noaa.gov/rah/events/ Umm this storm is not up there, which sucks I have looked lots of places all i have ever seen is a mention on a "in this day in weather" that said Duck had 70 mph winds and Gates county had 18" but thats it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I was just screwing around, being a bit satirical. Mine wasn't serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I was just screwing around, being a bit satirical. Mine wasn't serious.Neither was Bricks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 They call me the bus driver, cause I take everyone to school. Okay, this was legitimately really funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Some may laugh at me starting a thread for next week's threat. Let's see if they are laughing next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Umm this storm is not up there, which sucks I have looked lots of places all i have ever seen is a mention on a "in this day in weather" that said Duck had 70 mph winds and Gates county had 18" but thats it. Oh Im not sure what to tell you. Thats usually the first place I look for NC. This I found for Dec. but still coming up empty for Feb http://www.weather.gov/mhx/Dec231989EventReview Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 I can assure you , whether it snows or not, we will be laughing at you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Brick is a snow wizard. I'm now all-in and going for broke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Oh Im not sure what to tell you. Thats usually the first place I look for NC. This I found for Dec. but still coming up empty for Feb http://www.weather.gov/mhx/Dec231989EventReview I got that site bookmarked trust me I use it all the time, Feb 24th 1989 was a monster, I was 17 and there was no interent etc so all I can really go on is MBY but we got hammered I know my dad said he measured a little over a foot here but apparently this was a wide reaching event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 No details, but here is confirmation of major winter storms during February 1989 in SE VA from NWS Sterling. I'm sure that translates into E NC. Interesting. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/Historic_Events/va-winters.htm February 1989: This was a month of big swings in the weather for Southeast Virginia. Twice, Norfolk saw record high temperatures in the mid 70�s followed by a significant snowfall. The two storms that struck dumped a record 24.4 inches of snow at Norfolk. Over 14 inches occurred during one 24 hour period. It was the most snow to occur in one month in southeast Virginia in the last 100 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chemprof Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 No details, but here is confirmation of major winter storms during February 1989 in SE VA from NWS Sterling. I'm sure that translates into E NC. Interesting. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/Historic_Events/va-winters.htm February 1989: This was a month of big swings in the weather for Southeast Virginia. Twice, Norfolk saw record high temperatures in the mid 70�s followed by a significant snowfall. The two storms that struck dumped a record 24.4 inches of snow at Norfolk. Over 14 inches occurred during one 24 hour period. It was the most snow to occur in one month in southeast Virginia in the last 100 years. There was a huge storm in late Feb. I remember it b/c I was in grad school in east central TX at the time and we had a monster ice storm - the only time I saw freezing precip in 5 years there. And if you think folks in Atlanta (or anywhere else in the SE) don't know what to do when it's slick, you ain't seen nothin' until you've seen Texans when the temp drops below 32. After it left Texas it went up the east coast and I remember being very jealous that I missed a huge snowstorm at home in NC....I think I remember my grandmother in W-S telling me it was up to her knees! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 No details, but here is confirmation of major winter storms during February 1989 in SE VA from NWS Sterling. I'm sure that translates into E NC. Interesting. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/Historic_Events/va-winters.htm February 1989: This was a month of big swings in the weather for Southeast Virginia. Twice, Norfolk saw record high temperatures in the mid 70�s followed by a significant snowfall. The two storms that struck dumped a record 24.4 inches of snow at Norfolk. Over 14 inches occurred during one 24 hour period. It was the most snow to occur in one month in southeast Virginia in the last 100 years. Yeah it was a crazy week I think on Monday we had severe storms with even tornado warnings in eastern NC then maybe a ice storm wed or thur and then a full on snowstorm Friday into Saturday......like I said I cant recall exactly but that seems like how it went down that week. I know the big snow was a Friday or Saturday though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Anyone know a location I can find out more about the Feb 24th 1989 storm that hit at least eastern NC, we had quite a bit here in Greenville and I seem to recall the NE corner of the state getting like 12-18", we had to have had 8-12" here but I cant seem to find anything about it anywhere....found some old pictures of it that I have to get scanned in but it snowed enough to fill 3 ft deep ditches to the point you couldnt see them. For some reason, there's not a lot published on that storm. There was accumulating snow with that one over most of NC/SC, and parts of GA. Charleston and Savannah had an inch or so...and as you mentioned, NE NC was hit the hardest up through Atlantic City, MD. There is a paper that had a snow totals map for that one...I'm trying to find it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 Some may laugh at me starting a thread for next week's threat. Let's see if they are laughing next week.Alright Nostradamus, no one said it's not going to happen it's just too soon for a storm thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 And the Euro ensemble mean looks piss poor compared to the OP. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 And the Euro ensemble mean looks piss poor compared to the OP. LOL Not good, but the the op picked up our last storm before the EPS (it showed the storm with little ensemble support for a few runs). FWIW... The EPS mean is pretty atrocious, though. The mean IMBY is about 0.25" SN (maybe...) and there's not a single member that shows as much snow as the op. It will probably be gone at 00z on the op, but we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted February 18, 2014 Share Posted February 18, 2014 And the Euro ensemble mean looks piss poor compared to the OP. LOL 12z gfs ensembles look bad too. Maybe some light snow back in the western sections of NC but wraps up the storm too far east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 19, 2014 Share Posted February 19, 2014 Y'all want to hear something crazy? The day of the Boston Marathon bombing I posted on another message board about that week in April being notorious for big news events often involving violence and how that time in April freeked me out. About an hour later the bombing happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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