michsnowfreak Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 50s back here to west. 50s in February aren't so much of a torch compared to late December. Should say that's a great example of what the EURO was showing. I was just going by ORD (61F) and DTW (62F) on 12-27-08. And while its true temps avg about 5F higher in late Feb than Dec, not to mention sun angle....frozen ground is more of a concern in Feb, so if anything, flooding could be worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 16, 2014 Author Share Posted February 16, 2014 00z GGEM is wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 00z GGEM is wet. 2"+ in spots in northern IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 16, 2014 Share Posted February 16, 2014 That might be a decent comparison but can't remember what the ice jams were like back then. This is almost a worst case scenario if we get rounds of heavy rain. Then after that it looks like we go back into a colder pattern...frozen floodwaters? Grand Rapids AFD made a brief mention of something along those lines happening with respect to heavy rain to cold: 850MB TEMPS ARE STILL PROGD TO REACH +8C WHICH WILL RESULT IN 40S TEMPS WITH FOG AND WIDESPREAD RAIN. THE WARMER AIR WILL SURGE IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS SNOW CHANGES OVER TO RAIN. ALL RAIN ON THURSDAY WITH DENSE FOG LIKELY AS THE WARM AIR RIDES OVER A MELTING SNOW PACK. THE COLD AIR SWEEPS IN QUICKLY BEHIND THE LOW THURSDAY EVENING WHICH WILL HALT THE SNOW MELT. WHAT THIS WILL DO THOUGH IS SET THE STAGE FOR POTENTIALLY BIGGER HYDRO ISSUES DOWN THE ROAD AS THE MOISTURE WILL GO UP IN THE SNOW PACK. THE SNOW WILL ABSORB QUITE A BIT OF THE RAINFALL WITH SNOW WATER EQUIVALENTS RISING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Bump this. GFS showing possible major flood event coming for IL, N IN, and S MI. Extreme SE WI too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 snow will sponge it up in the yard.. really gonna make the remaining ice pack hard to melt, awesome. Heavy heavy lawn damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Even if the snow pack did absorb most of the rain, there would be a lot of street flooding. Likely basement flooding as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 no doubt especially south of the border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Even if the snow pack did absorb most of the rain, there would be a lot of street flooding. Likely basement flooding as well. Actually you bring up a good point about street flooding, I know several side streets in my neighborhood that are completely snow covered still and it is a frozen snow pack at that. The storm drains are blocked off on these streets as well. If the GFS is right, it will be a complete disaster out on these streets. Even worse would be if we quickly drop in temperature right after the heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 0z GGEM is hideous with around 1.50" of rain here with the Thursday-Friday storm. Would not be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 985 over S. WI on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 0z GGEM is hideous with around 1.50" of rain here with the Thursday-Friday storm. Would not be good. The usual spots are going to suck. Thinking US 52 in particular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 The usual spots are going to suck. Thinking US 52 in particular. Everything is going to suck if that comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 Everything is going to suck if that comes to fruition. Can't disagree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 985 over S. WI on the euro. This storm will have some wind with it, should really bust up the ice on the lakes. Not as juiced, but still would cause problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 on the plus side, we're in for one lush spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 on the plus side, we're in for one lush spring If we can get it above freezing that is ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 ^ NAM coming in range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 models and the HPC all on board for a 1"+ rain event for NE IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 LOT can probably go ahead with the flood watch once this snow event is over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 It gets it down to 966 in Canada at HR 96 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 LOT can probably go ahead with the flood watch once this snow event is over Yeah it's pretty clear we are in for a soaker/slush fest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 GGEM: 991 over MKE at HR 84. 39 MM precip in N. IL which would be about 1.5 QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 1/4SM or less fog with +RA/+TSRA lol. Sent from my SCH-I535 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Elkhart Co. is being proactive regarding this event as they are already offering free self service sandbags and sand at several locations for residents to divert water from properties that could be affected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 17, 2014 Author Share Posted February 17, 2014 Added high wind to the thread title as it looks like there could be some pretty strong non-thunderstorm winds with this rapidly deepening low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 12z GFS, 972mb low crossing Whitefish Point, MI at 12am Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Added high wind to the thread title as it looks like there could be some pretty strong non-thunderstorm winds with this rapidly deepening low. It will be interesting to see what it does to the ice on the Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 Ice cover will take a beating for sure. Downwind beaches will have ice piling up. Any structure on the shore or near it could be compromised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 17, 2014 Share Posted February 17, 2014 bring it on and then flash freeze.. folks will be ice skating down the roads to work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.