Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Lol the PBP is a riot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Ukie is a big hit...like GFS now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 .75 ultimately gets in to 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Qpf through 30: 0.5 down through western ct up well west of ORH 0.75 me to ginxy 1.0 scooter se Dare I ask the question as to whether this would have a deformation band NW of the track--guess perhpas from HubbDave land toward central NH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Somebody slipped on there triple sowcow in there PBP, Too funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 GFS is pretty much the best mid level low track of any run for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 This is the only qpf panel we can see on the Ukie until like 1am...but its obvious that its a big hit...also just looking at the mid-level centers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Crusher guys on both, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 QPF queens need to look at this. Take that lift and extrapolate west a bit and it covers ORH and into TOL for a little while. Hopefully it doesn't tick SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 This is the only qpf panel we can see on the Ukie until like 1am...but its obvious that its a big hit...also just looking at the mid-level centers No will that's to 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 No will that's to 7pm.Gerald hitting the tequila tonight? He means not out until 1 am, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 How is 6-12 a tease? What were people expecting? Yea This was a little advisory clipper at best before yesterday...its never enough for sickos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 How is 6-12 a tease? What were people expecting? I'm happy with the 2-4 it's offering me. Inside of 495 and east of 395 (in CT) look to be rockin'. Congrats! Have a good night folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Here's a quick illustration of the mid-level concepts I was trying to describe earlier about the low being "elongated to the north" vs more tightly wound.....this is the 12z Ukie vs the 00z Ukie...note the wind vectors near E MA. The top image is 00z and the bottom image is the old 12z run. The top image has much more robust easterly component to the wind at 850mb (and this would translate upward too toward 700mb)...ripping out of the northeast there on the map. Now note the bottom image where the wind becomes weak and more northerly near E MA with the elongated and weaker/diffuse 850mb low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 How is 6-12 a tease? What were people expecting? I am responding to posts that bring up 15 inches plus and the multiple other hype comments. Awesome surprise for 95 east but real quick hit on a weekend night. It's not that big a deal. Too fast moving, in and out in no time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Gfs at 0z just epic banding for this winters usual suspects ginxy to pvd to scooter . WOW at 7H VV's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I am responding to posts that bring up 15 inches plus and the multiple other hype comments. Awesome surprise for 95 east but real quick hit on a weekend night. It's not that big a deal. Too fast moving, in and out in no time. Not enough time for >12 probably. But (I wasn't here) it seems the 8-12 12/9/05 is memorable (not to compare...lol). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I am responding to posts that bring up 15 inches plus and the multiple other hype comments. Awesome surprise for 95 east but real quick hit on a weekend night. It's not that big a deal. Too fast moving, in and out in no time.Unless you are living on the Cape with heavy wet snow and gusts to near hurricane force that is. All we need is a pedestrian post and my night is made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 I think there was only 1 person who said more than 15". The guardian of the gulfstream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Guys try to keep the discussion on the storm itself...the subjective debates whether 11" in 6 hours is pedestrian or epic or you feel like crap because you got 16" yesterday and will miss the brunt of this one should be in the banter thread for this storm (which is pinned BTW) Help us keep this thread a good one stop shop for analytical posts on the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 QPF queens need to look at this. Take that lift and extrapolate west a bit and it covers ORH and into TOL for a little while. Hopefully it doesn't tick SE. avn_24_700.gif My whole tease comment that 4 ppl quoted was MEANING i think the banding will set up a bit se of where currently modeled . Im not the type to describe a 6-10 inch snowfall as a "tease"...im just not sold on the warning solutions in bos/n shore. Esp. when a 15 mile tick se is advisory snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 2 hours till we have the euro verdict but the envelope is right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Take that lift and extrapolate west a bit and it covers ORH and into TOL for a little while. Hopefully it doesn't tick SE. avn_24_700.gif Wow, that would be awesome... hope this makes it that far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 My whole tease comment that 4 ppl quoted was MEANING i think the banding will set up a bit se of where currently modeled . Im not the type to describe a 6-10 inch snowfall as a "tease"...im just not sold on the warning solutions in bos/n shore. Esp. when a 15 mile tick se is advisory snows Why do you think this with such a bombing system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bruinsyear Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Local stations are pretty conservative IMO. 4-6, 4-8 looks underdone for my area (Melrose). GFS and NAM are signaling 8-12 easy. Pete just had 8-12 for SEMA but said potential for over a foot and a half if they stay snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 I think the southeast goalpost is at least a big crushing (8-12") for the Cape and adjacent SE MA for a good chunk of PYM county and Bristol county. Northwest goalpost seems to be warning snows to maybe I-91 or maybe east slope of Berks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Unless you are living on the Cape with heavy wet snow and gusts to near hurricane force that is. All we need is a pedestrian post and my night is made. Really? Hurricane force gusts? That's 74 mph right? I hadn't heard anything close to that mentioned, sorry, if that is true then I'm way off base on impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15, 2014 Author Share Posted February 15, 2014 Really? Hurricane force gusts? That's 74 mph right? I hadn't heard anything close to that mentioned, sorry, if that is true then I'm way off base on impact. Both NAM and GFS have 65 knots sustained at CHH at 900mb...so there would def be potential for some gusts at least close to hurricane force. GFS has 61 knots sustained down to 950mb...so that is almost asking for 70mph to mix to surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 This has the look of a really wound up spinner with not that much flow to the West side. Im suspect of even the most generous qpf blobs past death valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 15, 2014 Share Posted February 15, 2014 Both NAM and GFS have 65 knots sustained at CHH at 900mb...so there would def be potential for some gusts at least close to hurricane force. GFS has 61 knots sustained down to 950mb...so that is almost asking for 70mph to mix to surface. This storm with such a high rate of bombogenesis occurring to our southeast, and heavy precip rates, I expect the strongest winds to gust near 70-75mph on Cape Cod and Islands. Nantucket, MA and Hyannis, MA tend to do the best in these type of storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.