moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Because we're talking the difference between 1.9" and 2.1". Looks about right to me. I'm hoping for 2". That'll be a gift. Messenger/James special incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 They all have it at different points. It's a bowling ball curling up the front of a negatively curling wave. It will rotate north on the curl but how much? Gfs looks reasonable through 30 Gfs may be a tad sharper with the troff then 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 GFS is major! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Blizzard for all of eastern ma! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 GFS is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 DE Maine gets wiped off the map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Looks about right to me. I'm hoping for 2". That'll be a gift. Messenger/James special incoming. ACK will be close to sniffing ozone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 0.5 to mpm, 0.75 inside 495. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 GFS not backing down on this. WOW! Huge hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 GFS is interesting. LP is slightly south of 06z but a little deeper. EDIT: My wxbell products must be a little behind you guys, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Water Vapor imagery shows a lot more moisture to deal with than models currently have as of their 12z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Oh yes, hr 42 is further west in the GOM. Definitely leading to greater things. Nice little tug to the nw from its originally further s postion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Seems to roll it within a few miles of the bm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The CCB is epic in ern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 More often than not, these large snow bands tend to move further west than modeled in the end game, 1.50" of QPF comes to Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 This run is significanly better up towards my way. E Ma special per the GFS. Rolls down to 972 to our east. Important to note. 23mb dropped as it traverses NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The CCB is epic in ern areas. Little closer to what the RPM was showing the other day. Obviously not the same amounts tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 RGEM nukes the low late and has a slight hook back NW over DE Maine maybe helps us in the long term build an -NAO to hook up with the coming +PNA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Oh my! Best GFS run yet. What is the GFS doing "right" with the main players to consistently come up with this high impact solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It's incredible how persistent the GFS is with this thing. I'm starting think that such stalwart consistency shouldn't be ignored. NCEP diagnostic folks were siding with a NAM/ECM blend, but did admit lowered confidence (re 00z anyway...). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Let's see if the euro ramps up a bit. If it does, game on for something big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 GFS = 4-6" Hartford straight north and south. 6-12" Tolland- ORH- Rt 2 slant. Probably 12+ South shore and SE MA. Maybe around a foot Boston. 6-10" interior NE MA. This is straight QPF without any enhancement or banding features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Basically GFS coming in stronger 3 runs in a row now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Any idea for the timing up to Maine? On my phone, cant check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Let's see if the euro ramps up a bit. If it does, game on for something big. You probably at or above a foot in BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Well the mid level lows are SE of the area lol. Lesson learned from last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Interesting that it's very consistent, even getting stronger. We are very close to the event as well. That type of solution would yield 12+ in southeast ma and cape. Could* be a doozy. Would like to have the euro on board, but the gfs is being rock solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Uncle seems to favor nam and rgem but you can't see the most important panel...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Basically GFS coming in stronger 3 runs in a row now. 500mb is a mini-nuke. Closes off just E of CC. If that happens any sooner, we are in for an even bigger system than what's portrayed on the GFS, verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It's incredible how persistent the GFS is with this thing. I'm starting think that such stalwart consistency shouldn't be ignored. NCEP diagnostic folks were siding with a NAM/ECM blend, but did admit lowered confidence (re 00z anyway...). The Euro has been so bad on anything not coming out of the Gulf all year its surprising they'd go near it as preferring it on a more northern stream system...the Euro is not terribly far east of the GFS but its been too low on QPF for non-southern branch systems all season til inside 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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