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Feb 15 clipper/redeveloper


ORH_wxman

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Models are starting to try and redevelop this clipper and mvoe it northeast. Could be some sneaky totals...esp for eastern areas?

 

A lot of us have been focusing on the Feb 13 event, but this one is starting to ramp up a bit. Could be a Lance Bosart "little critters that bite" Special.

 

 

 

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  On 2/13/2014 at 3:24 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Models are starting to try and redevelop this clipper and mvoe it northeast. Could be some sneaky totals...esp for eastern areas?

 

A lot of us have been focusing on the Feb 13 event, but this one is starting to ramp up a bit. Could be a Lance Bosart "little critters that bite" Special.

 

Does not look overly big right now.  It's a nice s/w as modeled on the 06z GFS.  There is a trailer s/w that may try to muck things up a bit.  Let's see what the 12z runs bring today.  12z NAM was sort of a wide right with a trough hanging back over the area

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  On 2/13/2014 at 3:35 PM, SnowlieSnowstormson said:

I saw this on the euro and gfs... What are the chances it continues to trend closer?

 

 

I think there's a decent chance it trends closer. Its been trending closer every run for about 3 runs now.

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Glad you started this thread.  It is certainly a treat for 1"-3" now, and MORE importantly a Huge threat to Alabama and George and right threw the southern regions that Just got snow.  They're getting more in Georgia recently than parts of SNE haha.  Could end up with 3 significant events in 1 month.  

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  On 2/13/2014 at 3:39 PM, Dan said:

The 12z RPM is a monster with this and nailing eastern mass into NH and Maine. Essentially a nuke, with a corridor of 18-24" of snow from just north of the pike and from 495 in Mass northeast up into Maine.

18-24" with this event for Saturday? That seems a little insane?

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GFS still a bit shy for the QPF Queens...but I think I like the upper and mid-level look a lot more than what QPF suggests....this one may be coming in pretty solid the next run or two.

 

We'll see what the other useful guidance says...particularly the Euro, which made a nice move last night.

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  On 2/13/2014 at 3:48 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

18-24" with this event for Saturday? That seems a little insane?

 

Certainly does, but cool to see it simulated.  It's far out on the RPM, but I suppose you never know.  Not sure what it's keying off of, that's different from the other models, in respect to bringing in onshore versus the other models.

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  On 2/13/2014 at 3:24 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Models are starting to try and redevelop this clipper and mvoe it northeast. Could be some sneaky totals...esp for eastern areas?

 

A lot of us have been focusing on the Feb 13 event, but this one is starting to ramp up a bit. Could be a Lance Bosart "little critters that bite" Special.

 

This one I like....!

 

Nice looking system on the models.

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