usedtobe Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Here's Jason and my thoughts on the clipper. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/02/14/more-snow-tonight-but-may-not-stick-near-the-city/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 What QPF does the 12Z Euro spit out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Eh im out on this one..maybe an inch for 95ers. 2-3 usuals spots. Boundary layer looks bleh to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Euro is better on temps (still marginal) but super light on precip. Like .05-.10 for the cities and burbs. .2 contour pretty far west. Like okv west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Euro is better on temps (still marginal) but super light on precip. Like .05-.10 for the cities and burbs. .2 contour pretty far west. Like okv west. Figures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 This system will likely cause radar hallucinations to the max. Pretty wet into the wv mountains and south but it all falls apart after the coastal takes shape offshore. Areas in far eastern Mass might get destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It's 46f btw. Ptype issues again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 If it's going to be warm, I'd rather keep precip light. Nothing worse than getting a big snow than have it all melt away a couple days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 If it's going to be warm, I'd rather keep precip light. Nothing worse than getting a big snow than have it all melt away a couple days later. like yesterday's is doing today....yep, I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 This event looks pretty lame imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Larry Cosgrove is all in. 3-6 for DC Metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Larry Cosgrove is all in. 3-6 for DC Metro. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 lol LC's forecast would be bullish even with deep cold. Marginal cold and not knowing where any stripe of heavier precip might fall makes it uber brave. Lots of uber brave facebook forecasters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Larry Cosgrove is all in. 3-6 for DC Metro. you must be joking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Larry Cosgrove is all in. 3-6 for DC Metro. He had a conference call with Tom Keirn J/K Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 No nam love. It's just about time to let it go if you haven't already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 No nam love. It's just about time to let it go if you haven't already. yeah, the kicker behind it is kicking us below the belt it seems http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=024ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F18%2Fnam_namer_024_500_vort_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M heavy flurries with a period or 2 of light snow, but no big deal unless 0Z shows a massive change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 No nam love. It's just about time to let it go if you haven't already. I gave up after all the 0z data last night. Vort pass is perfect, etc...but we somehow get next to nothing. Temps look marginal too. Blah...on to the warm up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 No nam love. It's just about time to let it go if you haven't already. It's worth watching but not worth spending lots of time on. The only solace you can take about the run is the models still often get the bands a little wrong. The bad news is the NAM looks pretty similar to the last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Vort on the NAM goes negative a little late. Disappointing to see the precip disappear as it approaches. Oh well. Bring on the warmup, and keep this one in our pocket to cash it in in a few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 you must be joking 100% serious. Check his page, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 It's worth watching but not worth spending lots of time on. The only solace you can take about the run is the models still often get the bands a little wrong. The bad news is the NAM looks pretty similar to the last run. It's a shame too because it's close to a ma special. Feels like we are wasting a pretty good upper level feature. Maybe it wraps a little east of the mountains. I was feeling pretty good 2 days ago about the possibility of 2-4 for most of the area but the feeling has passed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 He had a conference call with Tom Keirn J/K In addition, JB2 has 2-4 (using the Canadian again), Foot's Forecast got 2-4. We be great if it verifies, but I am not seeing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 WWA's up for the usual N and NW burbs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 How much does Bastardi JR have? Can't ever feel safe until Bastardi Jr is onboard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 This one might be worth saving. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nam-hires/18/nam-hires_namer_024_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 LC said i would see 6-10 yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 12z CRAS. Im out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 12z CRAS. Im out funny that even the CRASS from 0Z last night looked like that....that model is cutting edge I tell you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I'd love to program my own model someday. Lot of money to be made if someone could make a model that was the best on the planet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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