+SNfreak21 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 What is this pathetic weenie suicide for, new RAP looks good and so does the radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 .50 looks to be the mean from Nassau county West .75 into W and NNJ 850`s are Minus 6 to 8 . Could go 12 to 1 in spots with 45 mph wind gusts and a rumble of thunder is possible . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 What is this pathetic weenie suicide for, new RAP looks good and so does the radar Agreed, the Hi-Res short range models are still showing a nice little snow tonight from Jersey through central Long Island. Not sure why we're back in storm cancel mode... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That was clear as day based on what was happening down south yesterday. You knew tonights TROWAL was going to set up west of 287 based on obs from yesterday 100s of miles away? Cmon dude lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 SREF .50 - .75 area wide EURO .4 NYC HRRR .6 to .8 CNJ thru NC NAM .5 NYC Think we are in line W .50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The RAP hardly looks great but it is east of the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Still hope though, as the RAP puts us into the heavier banding 3-5" tonight....just takes some time to switch to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 What time is the second part supposed to begin ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman9 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That was clear as day based on what was happening down south yesterday. I believe this is called sarcasm folks. I guess we need emoticons to help us decipher facial expressions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The RAP hardly looks great but it is east of the NAM 19z looks nice...it's just warmer than it's previous runs at 850 to start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The 4k NAM is not even close to 0.50 for NYC or anywhere close to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The RAP hardly looks great but it is east of the NAM The new 19z RAP has 19mm of precip for NYC. How is that not great? LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The latest HRRR is 8-12" for most of the area west of Suffolk County with a few spotty amounts over a foot. Hopefully it's the most accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman9 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well it looks like snizzle is starting to fill in over NJ right now, wakwakawaka, guess I didn't get enough sleep last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The latest HRRR is 8-12" for most of the area west of Suffolk County with a few spotty amounts over a foot. Hopefully it's the most accurate. Been pretty damn good so far. So im probably like 4-8" then? It nailed this morning to perfection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The new 19z RAP has 19mm of precip for NYC. How is that not great? LOL. My assessment was based on looking at the hourly panels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 the wetter models also have this "feeder band" feature in VA. the nam doesn't really have it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The latest HRRR is 8-12" for most of the area west of Suffolk County with a few spotty amounts over a foot. Hopefully it's the most accurate. YESSS it Finally RAn!!! All Hail! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That includes jersey?Yes NJ gets the most in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 YESSS it Finally RAn!!! All Hail! Where do you see it ran? I'm looking here and it's not updated?: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 If you just average the track of the 700 and surface lows on most models most indicate only Suffolk county and east being dry slotted as usually the area between those lows is where the dry slot if Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 A matter of 20-30 miles will determine who might see just another inch or two or 6"+...I wouldn't put much stock in any of the models at this point. I'd just be willing to say anybody from KMPO to JFK has to be on the lookout for another round of significant snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The latest HRRR is 8-12" for most of the area west of Suffolk County with a few spotty amounts over a foot. Hopefully it's the most accurate. lol wow. Do you have a link for HRRR that you can share? I think it did pretty good for my area on the south shore of LI. saw the mega thump on the front end, turned it over like literally right at 10AM as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I thought it was the most recent. Didn't know it was having issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Took a drive up north and a nice ice storm is going on up around 25a temp dropped from 36 to 32 in ten miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 lol wow. Do you have a link for HRRR that you can share? I think it did pretty good for my area on the south shore of LI. saw the mega thump on the front end, turned it over like literally right at 10AM as modeled. http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/ BEAUTIFUL for the NYC area. It's back running again, 18z is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Where do you get updated HRRR, the site I go to hasnt updated since 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJWeather201 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wow. Crazy out there. Totaled 13" with the first thump. Upton upped totals here to 18-24" Looking good for the CCB. WHAT A STORM HERE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Where do you get updated HRRR, the site I go to hasnt updated since 12z Its on NCEP now look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Now it's updated, hammers LHV and Western NE. Meh for here, gets going too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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