Stormlover74 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:03 PM, PB GFI said: AT 18Z .9 around Trenton .6 into NNJ into the lower hudson valley .5 into Monmouth County .4 KNYC to Nassau County . .2 into Suffolk County AT 24 its on its way up the hudson The RAP and HRRR take this ENE IS that the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:05 PM, Plfdwxdude said: IS that the Euro? yes 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:03 PM, PB GFI said: AT 18Z .9 around Trenton .6 into NNJ into the lower hudson valley .5 into Monmouth County .4 KNYC to Nassau County . .2 into Suffolk County AT 24 its on its way up the hudson The RAP and HRRR take this ENE Eek hardly anything for suffolk county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 33 and drizzling in Astoria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Kind of bothers me that some local stations are saying that they had called for it to happen this extreme...and the NWS didn't really see it coming. not true!!! NWS had me in 10-14" since early yesterday when we even doubted it ! Unbelievable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:05 PM, Plfdwxdude said: IS that the Euro? It does look like it wants to ride the TPKE N on the RGEM GFS EURO . The max would w b west of the TPKE and up the Hudson . but .5 does get to the city and .4 to Nassau County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:03 PM, PB GFI said: AT 18Z .9 around Trenton .6 into NNJ into the lower hudson valley .5 into Monmouth County .4 KNYC to Nassau County . .2 into Suffolk County AT 24 its on its way up the hudson next question is how much of that is snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:09 PM, REDMK6GLI said: Eek hardly anything for suffolk county Yeh looks like the models want to take the max just W of the city . The HIGH res take it ENE . You`re not dead yet you get some , see how it plays out over the next few hours . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Snow on the ground really compacting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:13 PM, green tube said: next question is how much of that is snow? On the Euro ALL - the RAP and HRRR only eat up an hour On the Euro at 18z its minus 5 at Trenton - 3 KNYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kborne Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 What thread is still discussing the models for the rest of today/tonight and into Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 8.5-9 in Woodbridge before the complete change to rain around 12 45 pm. I think the forecasts were damn close by all. CBS 4-8 for metro was lower end, but ABC at 6-10 was right. CPK with 9.5. Now, if more comes in tonight, then they will bust a bit.Lee Goldberg just said 2-6 overnight. That's a lot of leeway, and 6 would make their original forecast bust low, but not by much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The global models don't give the city nearly as much as the RAP gives our area for tonight....last RAP gave us 5-10 or so....euro seems like a few inches maybe? Looking at it again, the 850s seem warm on the RAP to start which would cut down...not 5-10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:11 PM, WintersGrasp said: Kind of bothers me that some local stations are saying that they had called for it to happen this extreme...and the NWS didn't really see it coming. not true!!! NWS had me in 10-14" since early yesterday when we even doubted it ! Unbelievable I won't stay off topic for too long, just wanted to agree 100% - Upton & Mt. Holly have done a fantastic job with this storm considering the uniquely difficult forecast. I've heard similar sentiments too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:15 PM, PB GFI said: On the Euro ALL - the RAP and HRRR only eat up an hour On the Euro at 18z its minus 5 at Trenton - 3 KNYC EURO Has done an honorable job with this storm but im riding the RAP/HRRR that have been stellar so far in the short range with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:13 PM, PB GFI said: Yeh looks like the models want to take the max just W of the city . The HIGH res take it ENE . You`re not dead yet you get some , see how it plays out over the next few hours . Sorry, just wanted to confirm. You said the EURO shows .9 for the end batch Trenton north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:18 PM, REDMK6GLI said: EURO Has done an honorable job with this storm but im riding the RAP/HRRR that have been stellar so far in the short range with this storm Euro was meh in my area until thr 0z last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:18 PM, REDMK6GLI said: EURO Has done an honorable job with this storm but im riding the RAP/HRRR that have been stellar so far in the short range with this storm Even the RAP the best is west of you . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:20 PM, jjvesnow said: Sorry, just wanted to confirm. You said the EURO shows .9 for the end batch Trenton north? As per Ryan Maue`s ALGO . maybe .8 but thats what it says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman9 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 anyone know when 0c 850mb is progged to begin collapsing back toward the deepening low? my snowpack is getting wimpier by the minute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 New RAP shows us changing over to all snow on the backend at around 11pm, when 850s crash and all other levels are below freezing as well. Until then, probably a sleety mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Trees are developing a light glaze in Smithtown. Temp at 1:20 is still 30. Every once in a while I see a few snowflakes, but I think it is just snow that has blown out of the trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:17 PM, mikemost said: I won't stay off topic for too long, just wanted to agree 100% - Upton & Mt. Holly have done a fantastic job with this storm considering the uniquely difficult forecast. I've heard similar sentiments too... and they were clear about the problems they had with it too. I like them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Snow changed to sleet here shortly after 9 am and for the most part stayed sleet for several hours ... had 9 in. of snow and sleet... been having plain rain for an hour or so as temp hit 34, now back down to 32. (Staten Island). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:22 PM, PB GFI said: As per Ryan Maue`s ALGO . maybe .8 but thats what it says That would mean another 6-10 inches on top of the 12-13 i already have. Can anyone confirm the Euro is showing this much? I see the RAP is showing around .50 so that may be accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:21 PM, PB GFI said: Even the RAP the best is west of you . You'd think that even if the 500mb passes south of LI we'd get a chance of a 3-6" snowfall still as the setup would be pretty good. Guess not at this time, we'll have to see how it works i suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:24 PM, NorthShoreWx said: Trees are developing a light glaze in Smithtown. Temp at 1:20 is still 30. Every once in a while I see a few snowflakes, but I think it is just snow that has blown out of the trees. How is long island 30º and zr while hpn-bdr is 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Freezing drizzle continues temp 31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 On 2/13/2014 at 6:28 PM, jjvesnow said: That would mean another 6-10 inches on top of the 12-13 i already have. Can anyone confirm the Euro is showing this much? I see the RAP is showing around .50 so that may be accurate. Yes, the euro focuses the band on Trenton and especially north of Trenton. The RAP focuses it on the lower Hudson valley...and the newest RAP just out now gives the NYC area about 4-5" of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 temps just jumped up to 35 in Astoria Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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