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2/15 Snow threat


SnowGoose69

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The snow should generate over us as time goes on. The short range models mostly have it from 4pm to maybe 8-9pm. And if it doesn't, oh well. I'm losing a good amount of snow depth today though with temps near 40 again.

Snow starting to blossom down near the Delmarva.

 

http://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=DOX&brand=wui&num=1&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map.y=240&centerx=400&centery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=0

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Notice that earthlight and jets fan aren't here..as I recall they both had concerns about this event producing..especially for western areas

This is even better than guessing how models will turn out...guessing how an event will turn out based on who is in the thread on saturday afternoon of a holiday weekend. ;)

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...looking at the radar..dont like that hole in the precip..heading right for us..

stopped snowing here @ 1:25pm

To my eyes the radar shows the hole filling in.

 

Sleet has changed to snow here. Visibility has come down a bit. NE wind. 34 degrees.

 

Snow starting to stick to black top.

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People on here consistently exaggerate snowfall rates though. That much you do have to admit.. Its comical

 

The rules are these:

 

Visibility greater than 1/2 mile is light snow

Visibility between 1/4 mile & 1/2 mile is moderate snow

Visibility under 1/4 mile is heavy snow

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Yep.. Like someone said earlier. Find a landmark 1/4 mile from your house and use it as a measuring stick in regards to intensity. 

 

Some people also use these:

 

Less than 1/2 inch per hour is light snow

1/2 inch to 1 inch per hour is moderate snow

1 to 2 inches per hour is heavy snow

Greater than 2 inches per hour is very heavy snow

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The rules are these:

 

Visibility greater than 1/2 mile is light snow

Visibility between 1/4 mile & 1/2 mile is moderate snow

Visibility under 1/4 mile is heavy snow

The judgment call is how much of the visibility reduction is from the fog that often accompanies snow. Or blowing snow.
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Notice that earthlight and jets fan aren't here..as I recall they both had concerns about this event producing..especially for western areas

Hey there. Just got in from work. Yes this event Western areas wound be lucky to get sticking at this point. The writing was on the wall when the mid level features started trending away from what the gfs was showing. Also as we noted only higher rates would overcome the EWL. I've had mostly tiny mist like flakes through the morning probably due to a nested layer around 925 to 900mb.

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And just like that it looks like banding is concentrating on NJ, and Long Island looks to be staring at a nice snow hole, when things should be the complete opposite. Color me unsurprised.

 

I'm doing pretty well here on W LI (Queens) ... snowing harder than it has all day despite the lower reflectivities on radar.

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