SnowMan Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I'm hoping for 6" more tonight, in between greenfield and the vt line... We shall see!meant to post that comment in the banter thread. I will continue it over there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Man, you can see that batch that's going to head through the Hudson Valley--that's a monster dump incoming. Anything east of that is going to be small potatoes. I call that earlier HRRR map BS. In fact, I can see what Ryan was alluding to when he said he thought it migiht go even further west than depicted. Following the radar, that seems plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Man, you can see that batch that's going to head through the Hudson Valley--that's a monster dump incoming. Anything east of that is going to be small potatoes. I call that earlier HRRR map BS. I think you get into it. Might not be the sweet spot, but you'll get some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Man, you can see that batch that's going to head through the Hudson Valley--that's a monster dump incoming. Anything east of that is going to be small potatoes. I call that earlier HRRR map BS. In fact, I can see what Ryan was alluding to when he said he thought it migiht go even further west than depicted. Following the radar, that seems plausible. sure looks that way on the radar loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I think you get into it. Might not be the sweet spot, but you'll get some. We'll see--see the other comment I made in that post (I edited it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 sure looks that way on the radar loop Yeah--road trip to Rick's for the heavy stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Scott--do you think the HRRR is on crack with that depiction/placement? With the tstms prior to any snow? No they are happening now near NYC, I mean it's tough to sat if it's pff by 20 miles with the actualy heavy snow, but it males sense. Still think Hudson valley to just west of you is best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 How does one post a radar looop? I'm looking at the weather tap regional radar. I think if you look at the axis of the radar return from the kicker, you can see energy radar pivoting. Instead of 'kicking' this system, it looks like it's pulling it. I'm not sure if what I'm seeing is what ryan was interpreting from data, but I see this taking a track quite a bit further west that expected and a helluva lot west of what people hope. I hope I'm proven wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 With the tstms prior to any snow? No they are happening now near NYC, I mean it's tough to sat if it's pff by 20 miles with the actualy heavy snow, but it males sense. Still think Hudson valley to just west of you is best. In other words...."yes, the hrrr is on crack". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 In other words...."yes, the hrrr is on crack". No..lol..I think it's fine so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 NAM wants no part of what HRRR/RAP is selling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I think you get into it. Might not be the sweet spot, but you'll get some. The 00z NAM bombs the Catskills with like 0.75" melted in 6-hours lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 NAM wants no part of what HRRR/RAP is selling.It's the NAM. I still don't trust it this close in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 No..lol..I think it's fine so far.1-2" possible here ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 NAM says even Albany might be too far east lol. Oy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 The 00z NAM bombs the Catskills with like 0.75" melted in 6-hours lol. It's the NAM. I still don't trust it this close in... You don't need to trust the NAM. Take a look at the radar and you'll see it's right. This will be meh for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Early on in the day today, one of the mets posted a wv loop and made the comment that the kicker was almost trying to phase with the southern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 NAM says even Albany might be too far east lol. Oy! Let the words "backlash" and "stinger" never be uttered again on Americanwx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I know you guys are going crazy over the HRRR totals... but look at that snowhole over Plymouth State on the model...2" surrounded by totals of 12-18" ...I've never seen anything like it lol. I'll weenie myself but WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Feeling good for at least 6 inches tonight. Would love to cash in on 12 6 inches more? from what? we are in the dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 1-2" possible here ? I think so. Small chance it could be a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 6 inches more? from what? we are in the dry slotSee weatherma post above. Hoping that comes to fruition. Not saying it will but would be a nice surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Let the words "backlash" and "stinger" never be uttered again on Americanwx. You'll really hate your 3-6 in the overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Early on in the day today, one of the mets posted a wv loop and made the comment that the kicker was almost trying to phase with the southern stream. Look at the radar as mentioned below. It's plain to see. Start clearing the driveways folks. It's done. How does one post a radar looop? I'm looking at the weather tap regional radar. I think if you look at the axis of the radar return from the kicker, you can see energy radar pivoting. Instead of 'kicking' this system, it looks like it's pulling it. I'm not sure if what I'm seeing is what ryan was interpreting from data, but I see this taking a track quite a bit further west that expected and a helluva lot west of what people hope. I hope I'm proven wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 You'll really hate your 3-6 in the overnight. Ironicallly, Maryland beat the pants off us on this one, Jay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 I know you guys are going crazy over the HRRR totals... but look at that snowhole over Plymouth State on the model...2" surrounded by totals of 12-18" ...I've never seen anything like it lol. I'll weenie myself but WTF does this include snow already fallen or still to come? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Look at the radar as mentioned below. It's plain to see. Start clearing the driveways folks. It's done. I know, I cleared 4 hours ago lol. Just saying somebody made a very good call early in the day. I just don't remember who. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 does this include snow already fallen or still to come? No this is only post 22z so 6pm. So maybe like an inch or two but not majorly so. I think the model got ahold of the liquor cabinet however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 https://twitter.com/mattnoyesnecn/status/434147099769180160 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 14, 2014 Share Posted February 14, 2014 Ironicallly, Maryland beat the pants off us on this one, Jay. Don't remind me... But I think you see 3-4" tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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