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Feb 13-14 Storm Banter Thread


ORH_wxman

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I think you've said that already :)

Nukes have a tendency of doing that. Blockbuster? That I would have to respectfully disagree with Gulf Coast to Maine with 2' amounts in the Mid-Atl, Tens of thousands of customers without power. If a book III is written this storm will have a page.

Ya ya. You are correct for it being a blockbuster on a larger scale. I guess I meant for SNE specifically
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Halftime stats:

000
NOUS41 KBOX 140004
PNSBOX
CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-141204-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER REPORTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
704 PM EST THU FEB 13 2014

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 4
HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION
IS EXTENDED TO SKYWARN SPOTTERS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...MEDIA AND
HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE
ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     SNOWFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...HARTFORD COUNTY...
   BERLIN                10.0   603 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   GLASTONBURY            9.3   452 PM  2/13  SPOTTER
   CANTON                 9.0   556 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   BURLINGTON             9.0   332 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   GRANBY                 8.5   334 PM  2/13  NWS EMPLOYEE
   NEWINGTON              8.5   612 PM  2/13  NONE
   MANCHESTER             8.0   307 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   AVON                   7.8   501 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   EAST HARTFORD          7.5   552 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   1 WNW WINDSOR LOCKS    7.4   658 PM  2/13  AIRPORT
   ENFIELD                7.3   514 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   SOUTH WINDSOR          7.0   605 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   WEST HARTFORD          7.0   643 PM  2/13  MEDIA
   EAST FARMINGTON HEIG   7.0   652 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER

...TOLLAND COUNTY...
   COVENTRY               9.0   503 PM  2/13  GENERAL PUBLIC
   STAFFORDVILLE          9.0   435 PM  2/13  NONE
   VERNON                 8.0   551 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   STORRS                 7.5   340 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SOMERS                 7.0   435 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER

...WINDHAM COUNTY...
   EAST KILLINGLY         8.4   405 PM  2/13  NONE
   MOOSUP                 8.3   637 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   DANIELSON              8.0   439 PM  2/13  NONE
   HAMPTON                7.0   306 PM  2/13  COOP OBSERVER

MASSACHUSETTS

...BRISTOL COUNTY...
   TAUNTON                2.2   600 PM  2/13  NWS OFFICE

...ESSEX COUNTY...
   NORTH ANDOVER          9.0   512 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   WEST PEABODY           8.0   548 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   GEORGETOWN             8.0   554 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   SALISBURY              7.0   434 PM  2/13  COOP OBSERVER
   TOPSFIELD              6.6   501 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   BRADFORD               6.5   520 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   DANVERS                5.9   441 PM  2/13  MEDIA
   BOXFORD                5.7   600 PM  2/13  COCORAHS
   IPSWICH                5.2   449 PM  2/13  NONE
   MARBLEHEAD             3.4   412 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER

...FRANKLIN COUNTY...
   SHELBURNE              8.5   400 PM  2/13  NONE
   HEATH                  8.0   505 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   DEERFIELD              7.0   546 PM  2/13  PUBLIC
   LEYDEN                 6.5   345 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   GREENFIELD             6.5   523 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO

...HAMPDEN COUNTY...
   SOUTHWICK             10.3   418 PM  2/13  NONE
   WESTFIELD             10.0   454 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   WEST SPRINGFIELD       9.5   455 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   SPRINGFIELD            7.8   327 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   LONGMEADOW             7.5   617 PM  2/13  NONE

...HAMPSHIRE COUNTY...
   PLAINFIELD             8.6   520 PM  2/13  NONE
   WORTHINGTON            8.4   357 PM  2/13  CO-OP OBSERVER
   AMHERST                8.4   512 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NORTHAMPTON            8.0   331 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...
   SUDBURY               11.0   534 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   FRAMINGHAM            10.1   403 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   ACTON                 10.1   531 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   LOWELL                10.0   332 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   ARLINGTON             10.0   600 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   DRACUT                 9.8   408 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   TOWNSEND               9.6   516 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WINCHESTER             9.5   519 PM  2/13  GENERAL PUBLIC
   NATICK                 9.0   333 PM  2/13  GENERAL PUBLIC
   CHELMSFORD             9.0   506 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   HUDSON                 8.6   444 PM  2/13  SPOTTER
   WILMINGTON             8.5   426 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   LITTLETON              8.5   400 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NORTH CHELMSFORD       8.5   511 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   GROTON                 7.8   614 PM  2/13  NONE
   WAKEFIELD              7.5   530 PM  2/13  GENERAL PUBLIC
   BURLINGTON             7.5   410 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   WEST NEWTON            7.0   608 PM  2/13  GENERAL PUBLIC
   PEPPERELL              6.6   413 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   AYER                   6.0   312 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   CARLISLE               5.0   450 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   MELROSE                4.5   324 PM  2/13  NONE
   WAYLAND                4.0   318 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   EVERETT                3.0   322 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO

...NORFOLK COUNTY...
   MILLIS                 8.7   501 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   FRANKLIN               7.5   409 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   WALPOLE                4.8   459 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   CANTON                 4.5   341 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   NORWOOD                4.0   315 PM  2/13  NWS EMPLOYEE

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...
   BRIGHTON               5.5   535 PM  2/13  COCORAHS
   CHELSEA                5.2   345 PM  2/13  NONE
   WEST ROXBURY           3.8   324 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   1 N EAST BOSTON        3.2   700 PM  2/13  LOGAN AIRPORT
   WINTHROP               3.2   700 PM  2/13  NONE

...WORCESTER COUNTY...
   3 WNW WORCESTER       10.5   558 PM  2/13  WORCESTER AIRPORT
   LUNENBURG             10.5   425 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NORTH GRAFTON         10.0   504 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   SPENCER               10.0   615 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   SHREWSBURY             9.8   445 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WESTBORO               9.5   317 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   LEOMINSTER             9.2   427 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   ASHBY                  9.2   428 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   GRAFTON                9.0   310 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   AUBURN                 8.5   343 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   WARREN                 8.5   329 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   STERLING               8.5   651 PM  2/13  GENERAL PUBLIC
   SOUTHBRIDGE            8.0   307 PM  2/13  NONE
   MILFORD                8.0   342 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   LEICESTER              8.0   652 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   TEMPLETON              8.0   629 PM  2/13  NONE
   HUBBARDSTON            8.0   429 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   ASHBURNHAM             7.3   553 PM  2/13  CO-OP OBSERVER
   HAVERHILL              6.5   320 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO

NEW HAMPSHIRE

...CHESHIRE COUNTY...
   RINDGE                 7.0   404 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   WALPOLE                6.5   406 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   MARLBOROUGH            5.0   559 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO

...HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY...
   PETERBOROUGH           8.5   456 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   SOUTH HUDSON           7.6   624 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   GREENVILLE             7.5   447 PM  2/13  SPOTTER
   MERRIMACK              7.0   411 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   NASHUA                 6.3   417 PM  2/13  CWSU
   MILFORD                6.2   638 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   SOUTH WEARE            6.0   410 PM  2/13  SPOTTER
   GOFFSTOWN              6.0   442 PM  2/13  SPOTTER
   HUDSON                 5.9   351 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER

RHODE ISLAND

...KENT COUNTY...
   GREENE                 7.0   400 PM  2/13  NONE
   2 NNW WARWICK          2.0   651 PM  2/13  TF GREEN AIRPORT

...PROVIDENCE COUNTY...
   WEST GLOCESTER         9.6   529 PM  2/13  TRAINED SPOTTER
   BURRILLVILLE           9.0   622 PM  2/13  GENERAL PUBLIC
   NORTH SMITHFIELD       8.4   421 PM  2/13  GENERAL PUBLIC
   SCITUATE               5.0   313 PM  2/13  HAM RADIO
   PROVIDENCE/NORTH PRO   4.0   515 PM  2/13  GENERAL PUBLIC

$$

JWD
 

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Long time follower. My girlfriend is in Fairfield County/SW CT. Is 4-8 likely there?

 

MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH THIS BACKSIDE DEFORMATION
BANDING OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS...AND CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE TO
HIGH IN A SWATH OF HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...NE
NJ...NYC/LI METRO AND SW CT. TRAVEL WILL ONCE AGAIN NOT BE
RECOMMENDED TONIGHT IN THIS AREA...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 3
INCHES...AND AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW LIKELY
HERE. THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY OF AN ADDITIONAL 8 TO 12
INCHES...PARTICULARLY N&W OF NYC. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS
LIKELY AFT MIDNIGHT ACROSS THIS AREA AS WINDS BEGIN TO PICK
UP...WITH VSBY DROPPING TO QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

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It's staying west as all guidance has had...may creep into western MA or western CT but it's NBD this storm is mainly over for most of SNE.

 

 

Yeah the writing has been on the wall for over 24 hours with the backside deformation stuff for anyone east of ORH and really the Berks...nothing more than an inch or two.

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There comes a time that models just don't cut it. I find it hard to believe that just north of NYC receives another 24" But then again who's laughing at Roger now. 

My thoughts from midday Tuesday worked out well, which were:

 

6-12" outside of 495

4-8" betwn 495 and 128

3-6" inside of rt 128

2-5" se ma.

 

In hindsight, I should have upped to 5-10" from 4-8", but never pulled the trigger.

I also should have tightened the gradient inside of rt 128...I had the immediate coast right, but it built up quickly inside of rt 128.

 

A-

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My thoughts from midday Tuesday worked out well, which were:

6-12" outside of 495

4-8" betwn 495 and 128

3-6" inside of rt 128

2-5" se ma.

In hindsight, I should have upped to 5-10" from 4-8", but never pulled the trigger.

I also should have tightened the gradient inside of rt 128...I had the immediate coast right, but it built up quickly inside of rt 128.

A-

Nice pic change lol
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