mattie g Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 preview of tonight/tomorrow's radar Don't get our hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 15Z RAP gets DC to about .5" by h18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 preview of tonight/tomorrow's radar *Snif!* That radar loop still brings a nostalgic tear to my eye. What a great storm, still remember it vividly!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Per twitter, Ian predicts 12/19/09 redux.It's on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 eight fiddys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 22z...high pressure stays strong to the west..this is real deal fresh arctic 22z.PNG hmm..this is wrong...disregard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Per twitter, Ian predicts 12/19/09 redux. Awesome! I'll gladly take my 23.6 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Its 21 degrees right now in Baltimore... that is significant as far as I am concerned.. there is gonna be a s-load of mid to upper level frontogenic forcing/ strong upward motion as the storm gets going along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 FYI just came across this NAM CONUS nest total precip Throw away the key. Bullseye for me. On a more serious note, we're all about locking down the finer details of track and backend at this point. I have to say...it might be a little nerve-wracking, but it's pretty interesting to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's on Your serious right?.... cause most of the time you are sarcastic... but this looks like the real deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GGEM is better than RGEM it looks like. Yoda, confirm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 UKMET gets 0.8" for DC by 12z then 0.25" from 18z to 0z other 2 panels are missing, but I think we can safely assume around 1.25+ for DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 zwyts you're killing me, no RAP images? http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/?prevpage=index&MainPage=index&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&page=MODEL+GUIDANCE 5H low closes off over the northern AL-GA border and the surface low works up right along the SC-NC coast, spreading precip about 750 miles north and a few hundred miles west of the center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 eight fiddys? well east of DC throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 yep...as usual..fresh arctic air masses totally disrespected by the models This cold is the real deal. Still only 16 here. Maybe some 12-1,15-1 ratios for several hours overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 12z NAM Cobb for Westminster: 1.28 qpf, all snow except for one hour of sleet I know. Amazing if it happens...easily a foot if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It doesn't get much better than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 eight fiddys? Locked and loaded, and good to go sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Based on that NAM CONUS, we get "really" buried. How legit is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 yep...as usual..fresh arctic air masses totally disrespected by the models That's why last night we talked about the surface temps never warming....I think that's still likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 As others have mentioned, UKmet track is total sickness and 850's never come close to above freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 That's why last night we talked about the surface temps never warming....I think that's still likely. yes...BTW...I expect the euro to shift east again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 15z RAP sim radar says we are raked midnight to 4am (thats as far out as it goes)... 35+ dbz in a LARGE band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The ratio aspect isn't just about surface temperatures. If it wasn't for how shallow and high the dendritic growth zone is at DC, I would have no problem forecasting 15:1 to 20:1. But, those would be confined to bands only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Rap precip through 4am and radar shot. We would be getting destroyed. Nobody should sleep tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Are we feeling better w/mostly all snow and a select few pingers now? Speaking DCA/BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Your serious right?.... cause most of the time you are sarcastic... but this looks like the real deal.I've been fully in except for some hiccups yesterday. I don't actually expect a 12/2009 repeat because that was a huge event but someone could match totals from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 well east of DC throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Are we feeling better w/mostly all snow and a select few pingers now? Speaking DCA/BWI. Heaviest precip should be all snow. Lulls can ping and drizzle sometime after sunrise. I expect a lull. If the deform moves overhead in the afternoon it will be all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The ratio aspect isn't just about surface temperatures. If it wasn't for how shallow and high the dendritic growth zone is at DC, I would have no problem forecasting 15:1 to 20:1. But, those would be confined to bands only. I think someone w/sw of IAD will have 15"-18" by 10am...not sure who... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.