Sparky Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 3:55 PM, Bob Chill said: RGEM total. The destruction over Wes' house is mostly snow. Deform parks over and crushes between 95 and the bay. rgemtotal.JPG reminds me of Jan 2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meridian Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:06 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: For those wanting a foot of snow, that dry western edge is, and always has been a concern. The GFS can't just be dismissed. And now it appears the RGEM joins that party. If youre happy with a few inches, I'd say you're locked in. More, you could be disappointed. Regarding western and central VA, current radar supports this IMO; looks more like a RIC-DCA event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:15 PM, Ian said: preview of tonight/tomorrow's radar I already got the future satcast too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:15 PM, Ian said: preview of tonight/tomorrow's radar Does that say December 19 at the top? ... oh the memories Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cgillesp Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:11 PM, lsukev5 said: It shows 8 on their graphic: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/onset/ Odd. The hourly shows 6, but light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:17 PM, BTRWx said: Does that say December 19 at the top? Yes, that is the Dec 2009 storm radar loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:17 PM, Bob Chill said: I already got the future satcast too 12.19 sat loop.gif a beauty! i'm hoping for a bit east but the dry slot came to my doorstep in both of those storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:17 PM, BTRWx said: Does that say December 19 at the top? That's the point. lol And as to the start time, these systems usually come in earlier than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:17 PM, meridian said: meridian, on 12 Feb 2014 - 11:17 AM, said:Regarding western and central VA, current radar supports this IMO; looks more like a RIC-DCA event I'm guessing you probably live in RIC. Just wait and let the radar play out. It has only just begun. You can't make a judgment off the current radar just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 FYI just came across this NAM CONUS nest total precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 3:59 PM, Bob Chill said: Check out this 3 hour panel of the RGEM between 4pm-7pm Thursday. Congrats Wes. rgem 3 hourly.JPG Bob, where'd you get that image....I might use it in a mini post discussing mesoscale banding but need the to give attribution to the vendor and also need a scale for the precip amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Per twitter, Ian predicts 12/19/09 redux. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:20 PM, snowfan said: Per twitter, Ian predicts 12/19/09 redux. he posted it here too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:14 PM, zwyts said: RAP is a stone cold massacre Is that the 14z or 15z run you are looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meridian Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:19 PM, Disc said: I'm guessing you probably live in RIC. Just wait and let the radar play out. It has only just begun. You can't make a judgment off the current radar just yet. CHO actually - just interpreting the effect that convection to the southeast is having; understood that it can fill in back to the southwest but it just doesn't look impressive yet [for west central VA that is]. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 22z...high pressure stays strong to the west..this is real deal fresh arctic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:19 PM, ohleary said: FYI just came across this NAM CONUS nest total precip That looks nice... thanks ohleary for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:23 PM, yoda said: Is that the 14z or 15z run you are looking at? 15z, son Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:20 PM, usedtobe said: Bob, where'd you get that image....I might use it in a mini post discussing mesoscale banding but need the to give attribution to the vendor and also need a scale for the precip amounts. Here's you go. HR 36 panel. Gotta blow it way up though. Maybe snip it and zoom out and snip the scale and piece together? http://models.weatherbell.com/cmc/2014021212/ne/rgem_precip_mslp_ne_stamp.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Any UKMET info? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 zwyts you're killing me, no RAP images? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 if you look at 21z on GFS for instance, it is completely inconsistent with progged pressure levels to our northwest...this is probably a resason CLT is having trouble saturating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm starting to believe..... Here's to hoping the GFS is just a dry outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:26 PM, stormtracker said: Any UKMET info? On 2/12/2014 at 3:52 PM, yoda said: 12z UKIE 24 -- 997 just off of SE NC coast 30 -- 991 50 miles or so offshore of Southern part of Delmarva 36 -- 983 E of Ocean City ~50 to 70 mikes, SE of ACY about same 42 -- 978 ramming into S CT/LI area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:25 PM, zwyts said: 22z...high pressure stays strong to the west..this is real deal fresh arctic 22z.PNG cold air is in place and not getting rushed in hours prior to precip starting. Keeping a funnel into our area will be a extra bonus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:27 PM, DCAlexandria said: zwyts you're killing me, no RAP images? I have to work too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:24 PM, meridian said: meridian, on 12 Feb 2014 - 11:24 AM, said:CHO actually - just interpreting the effect that convection to the southeast is having; understood that it can fill in back to the southwest but it just doesn't look impressive yet [for west central VA that is]. Precip has already begun to blossom down towards Chattanooga, TN and you can begin to see it pivot. It's coming. Don't worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 12z NAM Cobb for Westminster: 1.28 qpf, all snow except for one hour of sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:28 PM, H2O said: cold air is in place and not getting rushed in hours prior to precip starting. Keeping a funnel into our area will be a extra bonus yep...as usual..fresh arctic air masses totally disrespected by the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 On 2/12/2014 at 4:27 PM, DCAlexandria said: zwyts you're killing me, no RAP images? instantweathermaps.com has RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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