PhineasC Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 heh...took it only 100 runs to catch on...oh well...cant win em all Careful, dtk is reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 wtf? still going must end well after 0Z tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 lol...GFS gives me like 1.2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Careful, dtk is reading. no he's not....he's taking notes and making a list of names! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm no longer mad at the gfs and I just proposed to the rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 GFS caves! NAM/Euro wins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 lol...GFS gives me like 1.2" Wow. Finally gave in 3 hours after storm started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Did the GFS just cave? Life is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm no longer mad at the gfs and I just proposed to the rgem gives us 1.9" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
welbane Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 So, since GFS is on board now, can we say 10"+ throughout the DC metro is a lock @ 7 am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Still hate the GFS. Far too much unnecessary anxiety because of that POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 So, since GFS is on board now, can we say 10"+ throughout the DC metro is a lock @ 7 am? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 nice to see models catching on to the deformation axis potential. Looks like if we miss TSSN from the CSI tonight we might get TSSN from CI (convective instability, ie CAPE) tomorrow if the RGEM is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Done deal So, since GFS is on board now, can we say 10"+ throughout the DC metro is a lock @ 7 am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Doug Kammerer just said 4-6" by this time tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm calling it, someone somewhere in VA within a 50 mile radius of CHO is going to hit or even exceed 24" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 gives us 1.9" Even though i was basically sure it was wrong there has been too much recent history of ways to go sour. It's a bit of a relief tbh. What a great 24 hours ahead of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
m045400 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Does anyone think the huge rates later tonight will be able to overcome the warm 850's in Southern MD and keep us all/mostly snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 nice to see the GFS get a clue. I think this storm will trigger a case study. After more careful review, I agree this was not convective feedback error in the traditional sense, but convection parameterization is definitely off on the model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Lol did Doug out all his eggs in the gfs basket Doug Kammerer just said 4-6" by this time tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Wow. Finally gave in 3 hours after storm started Somewhere on the other side of the Atlantic, there is a super computer chuckling. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Even though i was basically sure it was wrong there has been too much recent history of ways to go sour. It's a bit of a relief tbh. What a great 24 hours ahead of us. Well I hope you get 12 + and TSSN...you deserve it for your efforts. Radar trends have looked good for MoCo... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Doug Kammerer just said 4-6" by this time tomorrow night. I saw that, and during the Olympics...not pretty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Looking at the nest 12k NAM, it has parts of AA and Calvert counties getting 6"+ during a 3-hr period ending tomorrow at 10pm. Doesn't seem realistic, but ya never know with these bands. Of course, it also has places with >4" liquid by then too, so..... And snowfall well over 20" Can you give me a link to that model? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm calling it, someone somewhere in VA within a 50 mile radius of CHO is going to hit or even exceed 24"At 11" now in Roanoke County VA live nearby to Disc who reports a lot. It is absolutely pouring the snow right now too. Any idea timeframe wise what time this deform band rolls thru my area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well I hope you get 12 + and TSSN...you deserve it for your efforts. Radar trends have looked good for MoCo... I'm totally stoked that all of us are going to get nailed. Especially dc proper. It's not a game of inches for once. This will go down as one of my favorite storms. It's a fluke. Right place at right time. We don't do this often at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 Big time back end loving on the RAP tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I saw that, and during the Olympics...not pretty Pretty sure he meant by the morning, which is still on the low side considering recent models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Last few frames of radar... ka BOOM http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php (time sensitive) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Big time back end loving on the RAP tomorrow evening where is ravenrules when you need him! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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