DCAlexandria Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I think we are gonna need a bigger boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Not nessasarly. The NAM seems to have a warm layer in there somewhere... DCA switches at about 10z to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 That's wrong (as in the good type) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 We won't be in heavy sleet at that point. Ok nostradamus don't taze me bro if i report pingers at 2am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Shallow warm layer at 900-925mb shows up at 9z. 850s look good. Flirting with the 0 line at 15z. I know Matt was talking about that layer earlier today. Maybe sleet mixes around then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Nam has 0.25+ in 1 hr near dc at 10z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Shallow warm layer at 900-925mb shows up at 9z. 850s look below 0 through I know Matt was talking about that layer earlier today. Maybe sleet mixes in then. Pretty sure the snow rates should be able to overcome that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 With those rates, I'm thinking the warm layer should be too pedestrian to really change to sleet. Can't be warmer than +0.5 and all other levels are colder. Slow push east at gametime with guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I think overnight the major sleet/rain threat will evaporate and totals will go up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Pretty sure the snow rates should be able to overcome that Thanks...I'm not good at deciphering types with a layer like that. Rates are great at that time. What a run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Ok nostradamus don't taze me bro if i report pingers at 2am I'm just saying...there's been nothing to indicate we'll be in sleet at that point. Nothing at all. If we flip, it'll be in a lull during the day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Thru 2 pm...that lol shaped thingy in central va is 18-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 NAM is mix or rain from 10z through 20z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Shallow warm layer at 900-925mb shows up at 9z. 850s look good. Flirting with the 0 line at 15z. I know Matt was talking about that layer earlier today. Maybe sleet mixes around then. its at 900mb....925 mb is fine the whole way thriugh this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I think overnight the major sleet/rain threat will evaporate and totals will go up. Yes, I fully expect LWX to show 8-10 over Baltimore in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 This is pretty awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jacindc Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Thru 2 pm...that lol shaped thingy in central va is 18-20 It's an arrow pointing right at Ji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I think overnight the major sleet/rain threat will evaporate and totals will go up. You haven't changed over yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm just saying...there's been nothing to indicate we'll be in sleet at that point. Nothing at all. If we flip, it'll be in a lull during the day tomorrow. could be before then...it will be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 NAM is mix or rain from 10z through 20z. Damn, you are always a buzzkill dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm just saying...there's been nothing to indicate we'll be in sleet at that point. Nothing at all. If we flip, it'll be in a lull during the day tomorrow. Not saying you are wrong....i just haven't often experienced rates with that kind of intensity around here without it having at least some sleet...awesome if it's all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 Damn, you are always a buzzkill dude. Doubt it's rain at 10z...hell, at 12z it's still sub 32 at the surface Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Lol .98 at jyo in 6 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm not seeing any rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 NAM is mix or rain from 10z through 20z. The Accuweather Radar just flipped half of Delmarva over to rain in 2 frames.... maybe that was supposed to happen.. I dont know... but people are gonna freak if someone in the southern portions of our subforum report sleet before midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 deform looks good...this run is preposterously wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Comparing the 0h sim radar on NAM with actual... almost an identical match (!!!!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 deform looks good...this run is preposterously wet How much liquid falls as a part of the deform portion of the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I get why everyone is stressing over the time for changeover, but I prefer to dream of never changing over. Nor looking for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 hi-res over 1" for DC by 5am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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