Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Check out this 3 hour panel of the RGEM between 4pm-7pm Thursday. Congrats Wes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 RGEM total. The destruction over Wes' house is mostly snow. Deform parks over and crushes between 95 and the bay. rgemtotal.JPG RGEM looks a lot drier to the west than earlier runs. What is the 1 inch contour on that map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Heh, GFS boosts the backend and finally jumps to 1-1.25" overall precip for DC. Temp profiles still suck, but seals the deal.GFS should be fully on board by tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Check out this 3 hour panel of the RGEM between 4pm-7pm Thursday. Congrats Wes. rgem 3 hourly.JPG The wes destroyer! That'll be nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 RGEM looks a lot drier to the west than earlier runs. What is the 1 inch contour on that map? First light yellow is 1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The wes destroyer! That'll be nice It's over a foot of snow in 3 hours. Seems suspect but why not. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 First light yellow is 1.0 First red is 1.5, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PDIII Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 NWS thoughts on timing Hey I love this graphic.. great post/ find... its 10 hours of snow for DC metro... little more for me and a lot more for you!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 First light yellow is 1.0 Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 First red is 1.5, right? Crap, forget what I just said. First yellow is .75 on the rgem. Still a foot of snow over Wes in 3 hours though. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltimoreguy Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Heh, GFS boosts the backend and finally jumps to 1-1.25" overall precip for DC. Temp profiles still suck, but seals the deal. This is how I feel - regardless of the torturous path it took the GFS to get there, it's now calling for 1+" of precip to start falling in 7 or 8 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS should be fully on board by tomorrow For the Friday night event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Double crap. RGEM has mixed scales on different panels. The one I posted is 1.0 first yellow. I need to take a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 12Z GFS better thermal profiles IAD/DCA than the NAM now. Next...juice it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Check out this 3 hour panel of the RGEM between 4pm-7pm Thursday. Congrats Wes. rgem 3 hourly.JPG Like that is going to happen....a 48 hr mesoscale band being perfectly forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's over a foot of snow in 3 hours. Seems suspect but why not. lol Euro show that band but a little weaker and further west. It may have some merit. Tomorrow will be fun either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 For those wanting a foot of snow, that dry western edge is, and always has been a concern. The GFS can't just be dismissed. And now it appears the RGEM joins that party. If youre happy with a few inches, I'd say you're locked in. More, you could be disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ohleary Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 First light yellow is 1.0 Request not to crop titles/legends off maps so they're easy to read and people don't have to waste posts asking for them to be interpreted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Like that is going to happen....a 48 hr mesoscale band being perfectly forecast. But it parks right over your house! So it has to happen, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Like that is going to happen....a 48 hr mesoscale band being perfectly forecast. I was just having some fun. I do however hope that you get deformed big on the way out. We're just not going to know how the backside goes until tonight or even tomorrow morning. How do you feel about the gfs looking good at all levels but so light on precip? is this a shot across the bow for the front end or does other guidance put most of those fears at bay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12, 2014 Author Share Posted February 12, 2014 Like that is going to happen....a 48 hr mesoscale band being perfectly forecast. Sarcastic Wes is being sarcastic. It's gonna happen bud. Look forward to your excited rapid posts about 2" per hour and how you and Mrs Junker are making snow angels. 12Z GFS better thermal profiles IAD/DCA than the NAM now. Next...juice it up. oh yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 For those wanting a foot of snow, that dry western edge is, and always has been a concern. The GFS can just be dismissed. And now it appears the RGEM joins that party. If youre happy with a few inches, I'd say you're locked in. More, you could be disappointed. It's a little concerning. But It's still 8 inches or so. Not awful IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Request not to crop titles/legends off maps so they're easy to read and people don't have to waste posts asking for them to be interpreted. The problem is regional panels. I have to zoom way in to get the detailed shots. I can post full maps and let you guys zoom in if that's better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wxsouth posted rap closing ull in northern AL. Good. Bad? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cgillesp Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Does anyone know why the NWS has the onset for DC proper at 6pm? Seems inconsistent with the models I'm looking at. Do they see something we don't? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 It's a little concerning. But It's still 8 inches or so. Not awful IMO. 4-6 does me just fine. But I'm not buying the giant totals, or anywhere near them right now. I would like a long duration event though. All day snows are nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Does anyone know why the NWS has the onset for DC proper at 6pm? Seems inconsistent with the models I'm looking at. Do they see something we don't? It shows 8 on their graphic: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/onset/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Does anyone know why the NWS has the onset for DC proper at 6pm? Seems inconsistent with the models I'm looking at. Do they see something we don't? Caution, perhaps? 6PM is during rush hour, maybe they wanted to "start" it a tad early so that people will not be out on the roads by the time it really begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 RAP is a stone cold massacre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 preview of tonight/tomorrow's radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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