TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm really surprised you're so bearish tonight. This is going to be wild..and alot of WTF's come tomorrow morning There really isn't much to support that from you to ORH, right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm really surprised you're so bearish tonight. This is going to be wild..and alot of WTF's come tomorrow morning 1-2 inches? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 There really isn't much to support that from you to ORH, right now. All you have to do is look at the radar and satellite to know what's coming ..Let's wait and see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm really surprised you're so bearish tonight. This is going to be wild..and alot of WTF's come tomorrow morning Where have you been? You have three mets telling you that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I'm really surprised you're so bearish tonight. This is going to be wild..and alot of WTF's come tomorrow morning It is going to fill in and be fun to track...but east of the Berks and Litchfield county its going to be a lot of crapola like dippin' dots graupel, pellets, ZR, and plain rain during the heaviest precip we get this evening. There's a good chance for thunder too...so yes, I'm on board for "wild" weather. I'm just NOT on board for 4-7" of snow like you are. By the time we flip back to straight snow, its going to be mostly out of here...perhaps an inch or two if lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Where have you been? You have three mets telling you that. He is just hoping harder than I am, thats all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 It is going to fill in and be fun to track...but east of the Berks and Litchfield county its going to be a lot of crapola like dippin; dots graupel, pellets, ZR, and plain rain during the heaviest precip we get this evening. There's a good chance ofr thunder too...so yes, I'm on board for "wild" weather. I'm just NOT on board for 4-7" of snow like you are. By the time we flip back to straight snow, its going to be mostly out of here...perhaps an inch or two if lucky. Steve Ginx 12/9/05 surprise redux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 8" here (14" on ground). Snow is spotty. Waiting for round 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 It is going to fill in and be fun to track...but east of the Berks and Litchfield county its going to be a lot of crapola like dippin' dots graupel, pellets, ZR, and plain rain during the heaviest precip we get this evening. There's a good chance for thunder too...so yes, I'm on board for "wild" weather. I'm just NOT on board for 4-7" of snow like you are. By the time we flip back to straight snow, its going to be mostly out of here...perhaps an inch or two if lucky. I think 2-4 here and 3-5 or 6 up by you..I don't see why that isn't reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I think 2-4 here and 3-5 or 6 up by you..I don't see why that isn't reasonable 21z RAP shows more 1-3 ORH and coating by you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 21z RAP shows more 1-3 ORH and coating by you RAp has 2-3 here and 3-6 for ORH..see the one Freak just posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 RAp has 2-3 here and 3-6 for ORH..see the one Freak just posted My wxbell maps are much less friendly. This is why using these weenie snow total maps is a disaster. EDIT : That is taking into account snow that already fell pre ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 It is windy and brutal here in wakefield 7.5 new was final total Winds seem N/NNE and HOWLing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 My wxbell maps are much less friendly. This is why using these weenie snow total maps is a disaster. Well I've said my thoughts..let's just track it and see how things turn out. I like when ULL's go south of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I think 2-4 here and 3-5 or 6 up by you..I don't see why that isn't reasonable Well if you are backpedaling to 2-4"...its not quite as hard to believe...I'd still take the low end though..more like 1-2". It is because the mid-level 7H low tracks basically up the CT River or even slightly west...that's why I'm not forecasting 4-6" tonight. If it had been about 100 miles southeast, I'd be pretty gung ho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well if you are backpedaling to 2-4"...its not quite as hard to believe...I'd still take the low end though..more like 1-2". It is because the mid-level 7H low tracks basically up the CT River or even slightly west...that's why I'm not forecasting 4-6" tonight. If it had been about 100 miles southeast, I'd be pretty gung ho. That weenie map from PF is taking into account snow that already fell pre ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well if you are backpedaling to 2-4"...its not quite as hard to believe...I'd still take the low end though..more like 1-2". It is because the mid-level 7H low tracks basically up the CT River or even slightly west...that's why I'm not forecasting 4-6" tonight. If it had been about 100 miles southeast, I'd be pretty gung ho. Yup... exactly. For far western CT into the Berks and E NY it's adifferent story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Here is a nice graphic. Notice the warmer air east of the yellow solid line which is the 850-700 critical thickness. In actually the snow line is east of this, but now you entrained drier air noted by the lack of shading. The drier air actually is aiding in tstms or upright convection here. These can have narrow mesoscale bands so it would not surprise me if someone further east lucked out...but the overall scenario is tough east of the CT river and into ORH. The 1-2 seems realistic for you Kev. Maybe you'll luck out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Anyone in the HFD area just see a flash and here a boom....it didn't really sound like thunder so thought I'd check if anyone else saw this.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Well if you are backpedaling to 2-4"...its not quite as hard to believe...I'd still take the low end though..more like 1-2". It is because the mid-level 7H low tracks basically up the CT River or even slightly west...that's why I'm not forecasting 4-6" tonight. If it had been about 100 miles southeast, I'd be pretty gung ho. Ok thanks. And for the record I never called for 4-7 tonight. Anyway a few more fun days left before spring break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 anything is bonus down here anyway. 13" on the front end far exceeded my expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Heard a report of 10" in Lowell. Seems a little high but then again I never measured officially. I would guess 8-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Roads are really bad. Went down to DD and it was closed..Very icy with the zr falling No zr here. Still really crappy flakes. Not that it matters given the rate. Anyone in the HFD area just see a flash and here a boom....it didn't really sound like thunder so thought I'd check if anyone else saw this.... Transformer? 25.0/24 and breezy in Shelburne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Still hanging on to solid 1"/hour WAA snow as the dryslot nears. 5" total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Zero pings for me Hoping for 1-2" later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdgraves Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 estimate we got about 8" so far in PWM, and most of that coming in the last 4 hours. I just went out to move my car and it was raging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 nasty out there. Temp has risen to 29. We have winds gusting to perhaps 30mph occasionally, and the air is filled with freezing drizzle and needles -- very blue tinted evening. Classic! I was wrong on my eyeball estimate earlier. I have 7" in 4 different measures, right on the button. ...so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 13, 2014 Author Share Posted February 13, 2014 radar really starting to blossom in the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 About 25 cm altogether here (10) temp is holding at -2C (28-29F). Shoveled the stuff that fell after the heaviest snow moved out and there is a thin layer of ice on it. Sort of freezing drizzle/fog here in the north east side of ORH. Will the surface temps rise much more tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 26/26 6.5" windy and snowing ok, that's pretty weak if almost over, would struggling to hit Dendrite's basement of 8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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