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V Day II obs


RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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can you explain.....

 

im very intrigued ..seriously

 

What you see on radar to the south is actually almost a small low for a few hours this afternoon into tonight.  Earlier runs were further south with the ULL..so they kept this little low further ESE extending back with a trough to the "parent" low off NJ.  This run actually has a small elongated low passing right over Falmouth and Sandwich in a few hours.  It's counter intuitive but instead of winds maybe at 50 degrees in earlier runs they're 30 and later due north even here (mine are still veering) locking in the surface cool longer.  Doesn't stop the upstairs torched but coupled with dynamics it was able to undo the damage from earlier.

 

Part of the reason we probably torched is that this little extension was dramatically further NW than modeled even 12 hours ago (Sandwich vs Chatham).

 

IMO it's not just dynamics, if they still had a raging east wind in boston it wouldn't have mattered right on the water IMO.

 

The change back to snow coincided with a change in winds (nice catch SBos Wx)

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