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V Day II obs


RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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link me please sir

Take not of where the lines of color meet on the n shore. That's more or less the front. For some reason the loop crashes every single time for me. I just refresh it every 15. Yellow red side is the place to be.

 

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=1&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=BOS&type=TV0&showstorms=0&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000&centerx=400&centery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0&MR=1

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Here's your sore-butt line ...

 

post-904-0-57573500-1392313529_thumb.jpg

 

Hard to say if it will lock in this position or penetrate further up the keester of SNE, but as long as the low stays S of PVD-BOS line, it won't penetrate much farther.  

 

That doesn't atone for whether an elevated warm layer might make p-type flips into the cold air, but that's different.

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Had a couple of those about 30-45 minutes ago when the sleet came through.  I'm guessing you're still cold enough in the column for all snow up there.  Back to snow here...don't know how long it's going to last though up to 31.5o.

good news that you're back to snow.

Can't see my neighbors house across street right now

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Here's you sore-butt line ...

 

attachicon.gifhosed.jpg

 

Hard to say if it will lock in this position or penetrate further up the keester of SNE, but as long as the low stays S of PVD-BOS line, it won't penetrate much farther.  

 

That doesn't atone for whether an elevated warm layer might make p-type flips into the cold air, but that's different.

Those in the interior areas should really be watching dual pol for the warm layer. the marine bl won't show up like the sleet will. Sleet for those who warm aloft, rain for those who warm the bl. At least you'll know whos f'ing ya.

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It's raining way west of that though... I mean west of Rte 24 up towards Sharon they have an inch of slush and it's mainly a mix already.

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Those in the interior areas should really be watching dual pol for the warm layer. the marine bl won't show up like the sleet will. Sleet for those who warm aloft, rain for those who warm the bl. At least you'll know whos f'ing ya.

It;s going to sleet/zr up past ORH and Springfield..well NW of there for a time

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The intensity of the frontal zone given the air mass contrast, rapid pressure falls, could produce astounding totals now in most of CT, nwRI and w/c MA. I would not be surprised if this goes to 35 or even 40 inches in some places with a widespread 25-30.

 

NAM has clearly indicated a very compressed thickness gradient that the GGEM failed to handle. That is structurally how this storm will avoid a widespread changeover during the rapid intensification stage later today and in fact the dynamics are so intense that rain may lose the battle along the front. No doubt this will lead to epic thunder-snow, and closer to the frontal zone thunder-sleet with large ice pellets possible.

 

Very strong NNE winds will develop with the heavy precip (ESE near the Cape). This could be a very similar storm in structural terms to the Blizzard of 1888.

 

The 30-40 inch snow potential will likely extend into NH and ME which will have fewer cases of coastal mixing as the cold air is already in place before the rapid deepening phase.

 

Then it looks like another 6-12 inches on Saturday, if there's any real break between storms, since this one will backbuild as it pulls away (it will be absorbing the Wisconsin blizzard remnant, yesterday this was dumping S+ in nw ND and se SK.

 

This is feedback from the anomalously cold winter further west, another similarity to 1888.

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