Allsnow Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm out to 33 at the 32 line is not north of NYC. We are in a dry slot. Ccb forming sw of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The 12z GFS insists on flipping most to rain SE of KMMU for a period of time with sleet or freezing rain for the 287 corridor. Sub 984mb right on the NJ coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wow hr 42 wow Ccb ownage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS destroys the whole area with the deformation banding on the back end! 976mb over Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Hr 45 still blitzing wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 if we get rain it's likely to be 33f drizzle in the dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Still not shutting off before 12z on Friday. Moves in after 06z, looks like a 30+ hour event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Pretty massive differences between the RGEM and NAM for NEPA, NWNJ up into ENY. Saratoga Springs would be about 2" on the NAM and about 20" on the RGEM. But more locally, these differences will have major implications for places along a line from about Allentown PA to Kingston, NY. Hopefully there are heavy fronside and backside snows for the metro no matter how close the SLP tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Everyone east of the DE river is at least 1.25" QPF. City close to 1.75". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 According to the GFS if it were to verify NYC and LI would have no problem combining the front end thump and back end CCB to total 12"+ easily. Inland is buried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 One could argue that the back end is actually more intense for some sections than the front end on the GFS. If you take the NAM front end and the GFS back end you get a prolific snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS has almost 2" QPF for NYC... unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 KNYC .6 on the front , drizzle then CCB looks like an inch ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS snow maps spitting out 12-18" for most sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 We should keep an eye on how things are evolving in the SE, that should be telling going forward. 12z models have the piedmont of NC on west getting absolutely smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 REGM, GFS both Showing 12+ most of the Metro should be fun watching this unfold tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 The GFS initialized very well wit the SE convection over SW Georgia and FL Panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjvesnow Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS hour 42. Getting owned! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Radar looks great if your us because were nuts LOL it is a sickness i think we need a 12 step program,The supply ends in spring then withdrawal and we move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS snow maps spitting out 12-18" for most sections. Any link for that? Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Gfs still has the thermals a bit too warm with the CCB, I suspect it would end up a bit colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Still a start time of around midnight for NYC? Bro, come on. Here is a simple way to interpret the times for this: These models are the 12z ones, which means they reference a 0hr of 1200 UTC, or 7am EST. Thus, every HR listed is that number of hours beyond 7am. For example, hr 24 is 7am Thurs, hr 36 is 7pm thurs, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 how much of it is rain and how much is snow, could you image if we don't flip to rain My gut is telling me mostly snow. Not much rain here in essex county atleast. Maybe some sleet. E LI and south jersey shore might see rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 nice TROWAL signature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm chaser Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Any word on UKMET ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I hear the gfs snow maps show 5" for western long island so the 12-18 most area's must mean inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 GFS keeps the front end thump going 1-2 hrs later than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I know this is off topic from the models but you can just tell a storm is coming in, the sun is out here in brooklyn n.y but you can see it fading to the higher clouds starting to roll in looks cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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