WinterWxLuvr Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Responding to Bob's post from the other thread: Radar looks real healthy in VA. Maybe snow starts on the earlier side of things…7-8pm? Ha, you beat me to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Raleigh is DONE, If your stuck in this, game over man. Come back in 3 days. That makes me think we do real well as I don't remember any storms where they get smoked that we didn't get hammered unless the storm slid way to our south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Crystal Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Really been enjoying all the model watching and talk over the last couple of days. It has been a wild ride of highs and lows. Speaking of highs and lows, the temp was 16* in Ellicott City at 8 AM. The high IMBY today has been 26* thus far at 2:40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 27/15 wouldn't be surprised by 22-23 in the city overnight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0091 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1242 PM CST WED FEB 12 2014 AREAS AFFECTED...VA...SE WV CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 121842Z - 130045Z SUMMARY...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON FROM SERN WV EWD ACROSS MUCH OF VA. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BECOME COMMON WITH LOCALLY HIGHER RATES. DISCUSSION...LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE MS VALLEY WITH A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS SEWD ACROSS SC. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS LOCATED JUST AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE IN A BROAD ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION FROM ERN GA NEWD INTO THE CAROLINAS. MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ALONG THIS ZONE WILL MOVE NWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BECOME INCREASINGLY ENHANCED ACROSS NRN NC AND VA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL AID THE DEVELOPMENT OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL ACROSS VA AND SERN WV LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE 18Z SOUNDING FROM GREENSBORO NC SHOULD BE REPRESENTATIVE OF THE AIRMASS IN VA...SHOWING THE PRIMARY ZONE FOR DENDRITIC GROWTH BETWEEN 700 AND 500 MB. AS MOISTENING CONTINUES TO OCCUR BELOW 850 MB...AN ISOTHERMAL LAYER SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY SNOW WITH RATES OF 1 INCH PER HOUR COMMON. LOCALLY HIGHER RATES COULD OCCUR WITHIN THE MORE ORGANIZED BANDING. ..BROYLES.. 02/12/2014 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...RNK...RLX... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 That makes me think we do real well as I don't remember any storms where they get smoked that we didn't get hammered unless the storm slid way to our south and east. That's exactly what I was wondering all yesterday. What other Miller A has ever gone from dropping 7-11" of snow in Charlotte, then come up the coast on a classic track with plenty of moisture, and yet flips over to plain rain for a significant chunk of the storm for the entire DC to Boston corridor (what the warmer models were showing yesterday)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Look at the northern NC snow obs. Visibility drops very fast with moderate snow right on the edge of the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 That's exactly what I was wondering all yesterday. What other Miller A has ever gone from dropping 7-11" of snow in Charlotte, then come up the coast on a classic track with plenty of moisture, and yet flips over to plain rain for a significant chunk of the storm for the entire DC to Boston corridor (what the warmer models were showing yesterday)? Negative tilt troughs can screw new england, we've had some big snows where they've rained in Boston. Not common but the blizzard of 66 was such a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Radar soundings are already here in Cville. Nothing in the air. But looking at Raleigh.. I am getting the heck out of the office as soon as I see the first flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 By the way, temps never got above 25F here in Charlottesville. Down to 24F now. Cold aplenty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Negative tilt troughs can screw new england, we've had some big snows where they've rained in Boston. Not common but the blizzard of 66 was such a storm. 1/22/87, 1/25/00 and 12/29/00 weren't that kind to Boston either... but, yeah, that does happen with a city or two. It was just this idea that everyone from here through Boston was going to be receiving less snow than Charlotte and now perhaps Raleigh that was intriguing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I think the short range models are more obs related than other models so here's HRRR t-snow threat: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 warning texts have been updated mine is now from 8pm to 5am Friday with 7-12 inches and 15 inches for places above 800ft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoosTC Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 First flakes falling now 12 miles north of LYH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Light snow here in LYH. 24 degrees with dewpoint 11, still gonna drop some as the column saturates. Radar looks great. Game on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 if you go to trafficland.com and go down to VA... You can clearly see where the snow is based on the traffic colors of the roads. Red/Black in NC, yellows showing up in Blacksburg/Roanoke, green in Lynchburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 29/17 now at home. Earlier obs was via wx bug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scratchart Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Don't know the rules about posting pics, but this is a scene out of Raleigh. A big question down there is whether the dookies will be able to make it 8 miles to play UNC tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 if you go to trafficland.com and go down to VA... You can clearly see where the snow is based on the traffic colors of the roads. Red/Black in NC, yellows showing up in Blacksburg/Roanoke, green in Lynchburg. Thanks for the reminder. I forgot to post my usual link. http://www.511virginia.org/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Decenlty light snow here in LYnchburg. Steady, smaller flakes and improving radar. 12+ or bust! I want a top 10 event which #10 is 12.7 We have a ton of events clustered between 10-12 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 3:18pm: 29.8F 4.3Dp 1035.4hPa -- cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I highly recommend stay up until or setting an alarm for the 1-3am period This is 1am sim from the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I highly recommend stay up until or setting an alarm for the 1-3am period This is 1am sim from the nam 1amrakage.JPG staying up all night. we all deserve this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 27.5. Definitely staying up for the 1 to 3am period. Heck, we've been doing this for the last 5 days with the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshfsu123 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Navy Yard runs cold but according to the weatherbug station, they made it to 26 today ( add a degree or two to that for actual temp since they run cold) --- now down to 24 degrees... the forecast high was 30, and then was adjusted up to 33, but we never came close. Definitely going to be cold for the front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I highly recommend stay up until or setting an alarm for the 1-3am period This is 1am sim from the nam 1amrakage.JPG My plan is get home, nap for 3 hours til like 8:30 - 9ish, then stay up for the thump until 3:30 - 4. Gonna be hard to fall asleep for that nap though, too much excite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DSF Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Wifey and I will be staying up despite having to take care of the toddler tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelScott Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Mod snow here in LYH now. Healthy dusting on all surfaces. Around 22 deg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Im gonna stay up till around 2 and check out the pounding for a while. Then go to bed and wake up to winter wonderland. I always love big night snows. Waking up to 6-10 inches is awesome. Especially when its still dumping on you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 18z HI-RES NAM closes off h5 at 24, which is in C NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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