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0z Models 2/12/2014 | Potential Major Coastal Storm


WE GOT HIM

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  On 2/12/2014 at 2:17 AM, jm1220 said:

I figured it was time for the NAM to have one of those runs. That probably means it should be one consolidated low further west, and therefore in line with other guidance.

 

Not sure though, its H5 depiction keeps the trough broad/neutral for just long enough that it doesn't crawl N

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  On 2/12/2014 at 2:19 AM, JetsPens87 said:

Big hit at 39 as the low consolidates and pulls ENE/E/NE from CHPK bay.... who  the hell knows, there was 6 lp centers at one point LOL

It too must be suffering from SQL errors.

 

 

Seriously though. I will hand the NAM one thing, it has been consistent.  HPC is probably right with regards to not using it beyond day 1, but to see its solution so different then the other models kinda makes you think for a second.

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  On 2/12/2014 at 2:19 AM, YanksFan27 said:

It looks like a good amount of interaction is taking place with the kicker.

 

Was just gonna say that, you can really see that kicker bearing down on the southern trough. At 42 you can see the kicker literally pressing in on the backside of the southern trough which keeps it from going sharply negative

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  On 2/12/2014 at 2:21 AM, OrangeCountySnowZ said:

This model has been terribly inconsistent... It hasn't had a single consecutive set of runs... Once again it has flip flopped from west to east to west back east

Huh idk about that. It started off pretty west but it's been east for the past few cycles now.

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