tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 84 looks to have a 1012 centered over se col...lgt to mod precip breaking out in the plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 90 has a 1012 low over north tex, not as amplified as 0z so far with the s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 also the 50/50 low is a lot stronger and closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 96 has lgt precip over the plains, and lgt to mod precip over tx,ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 102 has a 1016 low looks to be over dallas....lgt precip from mn to mo...mod precip over oklahoma and tx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 The euro seems just as volatile as any other model...big bomb at 0z then ots at 12z its isnt OTS....the slp is still is Texas....it is 12 hours slower than 0Z which is a bit discouraging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 500 mb pattern looks similar to 00Z so far, which I guess is a good sign.. the ridge out west might have been a bit more amplified at 00Z, but not by too much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 108 has a 1016 low somewhere in southern la the pressure is very broad... lgt precip from mn to mo...lgt to mod precip over eastern tx and ok and western mo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Much slower than GFS through Day 4, but still potently threatening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 looking at the h5 pattern, the s/w is a good bit less amplified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteoutwx1796 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 classic overrunning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 114 1016 low, broad pressure again seems to me centered over new oreleans.... lgt to mod precip from chi south...mod precip over la and southern ark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 looking at the h5 pattern, the s/w is a good bit less amplified yea, actually, you're right. at this time frame last run, low pressure was starting to develop. it's a bit different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 120 sub 1012 low the beach at mobile al...lgt precip mainly oh river south....lgt to mod precip over al and ms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 northern stream is starting to dive in at hr 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 this run should theoretically go east of the last run... I think.. based on what I'm seeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Lets be quiet and let Tombo call the euro until its over....statements like the above make me wonder if the person has a clue what he's talking about Yea gotta love when people start assuming before the run even comes out haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 126 sub 1012 low over panama city lgt to mod precip from ky south, mod precip over al and ga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 way less amplified, the northern stream is later trying to phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Day 5 for those wanting to see it: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 500 mb pattern looks similar to 00Z so far, which I guess is a good sign.. the ridge out west might have been a bit more amplified at 00Z, but not by too much looking at the h5 pattern, the s/w is a good bit less amplified yea, actually, you're right. at this time frame last run, low pressure was starting to develop. it's a bit different. which one is it? to me, using plymouth, day 4 for each of the last 2 runs it looks SLIGHTLY less amp'ed up w/re to the ridge out west.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 132 sub 1008 low over savannah, ga...lgt precip up to dc, majority of the heavier precip is in the se Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 20, 2010 Author Share Posted December 20, 2010 what day is 132 hour? Christmas Day or Day after Christmas? 0z December 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 138 has a sub 1004 low about 50 miles east of cape fear. lgt precip up to m/d line all the hvr precip is nc and sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Day 5 looks like the GGEM, in terms of troughing/pos tilt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 which one is it? to me, using plymouth, day 4 for each of the last 2 runs it looks SLIGHTLY less amp'ed up w/re to the ridge out west.... sorry. I'll be quiet now. My hunch was east, but I'll let Tombo take it away and not comment on anything till it comes out. I might very well be way wrong anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 144 has a 996 just east of hse...se va to southern delmarva getting hit good, some lgt precip from dc south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 sorry. I'll be quiet now. My hunch was east, but I'll let Tombo take it away and not comment on anything till it comes out. I might very well be way wrong anyways. no jay, please comment...your just giving your opinion as am i. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 hr 150 sub 988 about 150-200 miles east of lewes del lgt to mod precip i95 east, coastal nj and del mod precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 without tapping GOM mositure, the qpf is going to be very limited for this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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